Saturday, October 10, 2026

Hippo Holdings ($HIPO): The Insurtech That Stopped Chasing Hype and Started Making Money

Hippo’s insurance platform posted 61% premium growth, a 95.8% combined ratio and a fifth profitable quarter as it shifted toward carrier and MGA fee income.

HIPO $931M

Substack von Philipp Oct 10 8 clicks

Oct 9 GLNG $4.7B

You Understand Now, Why You Came This Way

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 3 clicks

Oct 9 HY $524M

Hyster Yale (HY) Multibagger potential as confluence of negatives subside. Attractive after markets part services model

Calvin Blissett 3 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Apr 9

catechwilliams on X

$NX 5% of COGS/ direct input costs sourced from China. Tariffs + zero pricing power, high fixed cost structure + only 30% GMs = 25-30% hit to EBIT. Add 4x leverage, declining volumes, ambitious mgmt guidance while integrating a large acquisition is a setup for a trainwreck.

@Adam_Wyden Mar 31

Adam D. Wyden on X

@JerryCap @AutumnCapital $PAR

@catechwilliams Mar 11 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AVO calling out the fact that they have been overearning and margins reverting. “experienced normalization of our per unit avocado margins during in Q1.” Noted weak harvest anticipated in Mexcico. $CVGW will be even more adversely impacted by these factors.

@catechwilliams Mar 6

catechwilliams on X

$DAKT CEO departing, new high-quality CFO (temp) w very attractive secular tailwinds in digital display demand + activist involvement = increased likelihood of takeout. Optimal business for PE. Multiple logical strategics. +75% upside.

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

Research & Analysis: Legence Corp. (NASDAQ: LGN)

Legence trades at 10.4x EV/aEBITDA with a $5.7 billion backlog, as AI data center installations drive growth and expand its maintenance…

LGN $4.8B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 9 3 clicks

OceanaGold: A Debt-Free Gold Miner Priced Below Its Mines, With Its Best One Still Being Dug

OceanaGold trades below its mine value despite US$655 million of cash and no debt, with production set to dip before Wharekirauponga begins…

OGC $5.7B

The Bullionaire Oct 9 1 click

Cava Group: Buying The (Feta) Dip? (Ticker: CAVA)

Cava’s $3 million AUVs, 25.1% restaurant margins and sector-leading same-store sales support its expansion case as awareness rose from 40%…

CAVA $6.4B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 9 6 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Special-situations survey profiles 26 activist, capital-return, M&A and strategic-alternative catalysts, led by buybacks at Under Armour,…

GEO $4.1BUAA $2.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 8 2 clicks

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

MRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update

Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…

GLNG $4.7B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 8

Lesaka: A $4.69 Stock With a $20–30 Case

Lesaka CEO Ali Mazanderani has bought more than $10 million of stock while pursuing a $20 to $30 valuation case through targeted…

LSAK $384M

Mispriced Assets Oct 8 5 clicks

Alamar: The Consumables Flywheel Is Just Getting Started

Alamar Biosciences' consumables revenue rose 147% in 2Q26, lifting gross margin to 60% as the company expands into clinical diagnostics.

ALMR $1.8B

Petri Dish Reports Oct 8

What I’ve Been Up To

Cogent Communications and AI data-center bottlenecks feature in a newsletter update on recruiting, financial media and conference takeaways.

CCOI $428M

Stock Thoughts Oct 7 4 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: Brookfield Renewable, Annaly Capital, Seagate, And More

Undercovered Dozen spotlights 12 lesser-covered stocks, including Brookfield Renewable, Annaly Capital and Seagate.

BEP $8.6B

The Undercovered Dozen Oct 7

POST · long

Post Holdings INC

Post Holdings remains a large position after the stock's recent decline.

POST $3.5B

Value Investors Club Jul 10

Lesaka: Why He's Betting Big | Ali Mazanderani | Ep. 5

Lesaka’s executive chairman has invested more than $10 million personally and targets EPS compounding above 40% through consumer, merchant…

LSAK $384M

Mispriced Assets Oct 7 2 clicks

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.2B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.6B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Golar LNG’s fourth FLNG vessel targets 3.5MTPA capacity and a 2029 delivery, supporting projected adjusted EBITDA above $1 billion in…

GLNG $4.7B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 6 1 click

Group 1 Automotive (GPI): The CEO Takes a Driving Test

Group 1 Automotive CEO Daryl Kenningham’s Toyota ties, capital-allocation decisions, compensation and stock sales face scrutiny after the…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 6 3 clicks

Solid Power Still Has Promise

Solid Power reported a $0.11 Q2 loss and $419.3 million of cash, with its electrolyte pilot line and BMW and SK On validation central to…

SLDP $473M

Quad 7 Capital Oct 5 2 clicks

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

POOL $5.7B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

INTR $3BPICS $1.7B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 6 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Saturday, October 10, 2026

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