Thursday, October 8, 2026

Boyz in the Hood

Robinhood’s AI agents, 24/7 equity trading and 10:1 crypto perpetual futures encourage higher retail trading velocity, leverage and momentum.

HOOD $98B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 8

Oct 8 CCJ $38B

The Uranium Cycle Is Turning Up: In Conversation with YCA & Cameco

Aurelion Research 2 clicks

Oct 8 STZ $21B

This Week in Special Situations: Constellation Brands, GEO Group, Under Armour, CITIC Resources

Latticework by MOI Global 2 clicks

From X

@irbezek Sep 27

Ian Bezek on X

@TexDoggie I lived in Queretaro for years, loved weekend trips to Guanajuato. Very cool city with all the mines and tunnels and punches way above its weight with stuff to do thanks to the university. That airport has been one of the fastest growing ones for $PAC, love Bajio region.

@John_Hempton Sep 27

John_Hempton on X

yes I am a miserable fuck. There are several things I like. I like that hedge funds bought $AMC debt at pennies on the dollar. I like that Apes kept buying $AMC as the stock count 20x - and the money went to hedge funds. I like that Apes have thus lost a lot of money to make hedge fund managers richer. And I will especially enjoy it when $AMC eventually fails. Now you know what makes me happy.

@valuedontlie Sep 26

Colin King on X

To $FOUR credit, they've already been buying back lots of stock and recently killed the Up-C structure (which are terrible) https://t.co/0kRHGBybWV https://t.co/BBTKz873dC

@Fierce__beast Sep 26

Fierce_beast on X

@brianjrobben I mention this possibility as a reason for why it sold down too. I don't think 8% returns are bad for $MCD, but yea, it's not obviously good here. At the same time i'm a bit torn given i am short many resturants this idea maybe is a bit of an idea to balance my book a bit.

@AltayCapital Sep 26 2 clicks

AltayCap on X

The only industries where obvious capital allocation lingo is useful is leasing / banking / insurance. It's much more nebulous in operating businesses that do real things. $AER ceo saying the cheapest commercial jets are on the NYSE under the ticker AER is easy to understand. As math is pencilling out cost of new orders vs buying back stock. $FOUR competes in the real world. Leasing/banking products are fungible. Much harder biz to forecast. Cap allocation is still important, but a lot harder.

@Fierce__beast Sep 26

Fierce_beast on X

@SolutionOrganic There are other reasons, beyond the return to buy it. But my base case is closer to 8% here. But there are reasons for instance that if inflation rise or rates increase, i think bonds would suffer more than $MCD and $otis at this valuation if you look out 1 year

@Fierce__beast Sep 26

Fierce_beast on X

I guess the issue with buying corporate debt is what if interest rates keep going up or if there is inflation? Fixed rate coupon at 6% you might need to wait till maturity to get paid back. But what if there's also increased inflation? according to blackrock it looks like weighted average maturity is like 9-10 years or so for their BBB index $LQDP. With $MCD and $OTIS i think you get a 6%+ total return in most inflation or interest rate environments at these valuations, hopefully more. I was underwriting something closer to 7-8% for both those stocks personally, but probably 6% would be OK, as I am 200% leveraged long and maybe gonna go higher, so expected return on my equity from these ideas is closer to 12%, maybe 16%. But then adds some other benefits that seem decently valuable, like MCD beta .4, otis .88, defensively better than a lot of stocks in case of a recession. Maybe $MCD is just getting degrossed as everyone leveraged it up on their portfolios at the same time expecting an accepetable return of lets say 5% but leveraged 2x or more they were getting a 10%+ ROE on thier protfolio and now degrossing it at the same time. Not totally sure if i'm underwriting correctly, or if this is the best idea in the world, seemed just OK.

@Fierce__beast Sep 26 1 click

Fierce_beast on X

@JJNews002 bought a little of it too $ABVX

The Story Millrose Told Wall Street About Lennar Purchases Doesn’t Match The Evidence

Millrose told Goldman its Lennar purchases had rent-to-own tenants lined up, but most analyzed homes were advertised for rent and showed…

LEN $18BMRP $3.8B

Hunterbrook Oct 8 4 clicks

Nike Taught Me A Dividend Lesson And A China Lesson (Rating Downgrade)

Nike's 4.8% dividend yield masks payout ratios above 100% of forward EPS and inadequate free cash flow coverage, while China sales declines…

NKE $51B

Sensor Unlimited Oct 8

Golar LNG q2’26 Operational Update

Golar LNG ordered a $2.45 billion fourth FLNG vessel, targeting 3.5MTPA of capacity and $400 million in annual EBITDA under a 20-year…

GLNG $4.9B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 8

Ex-Goldman MD: "Credit Markets Move in Step Functions"

Geoffrey Williams explains CMBS underwriting, post-GFC securitized-credit risk transfer and why credit markets reprice in step functions.

GS $257B

Odds on Open Oct 8 2 clicks

Top Rebound Stocks for Oct’26

Intuitive Surgical, down 32% from its January 2025 peak, faces slower US procedure growth and new robotic-surgery rivals despite $10.1…

ISRG $147B

Rebound Capital Oct 8 1 click

Credo: The Market Is Wrong About Optics, And That's Creating A Buying Opportunity

Credo expects optical revenue to reach $600 million in FY27 after Q1 revenue grew 114.7% year over year, expanding from AEC cables into AI…

CRDO $38B

Analysis Fundamental Oct 8 4 clicks

Vertiv Holdings Co. (VRT)

Vertiv's 33% stock decline followed a 2026 forecast increase, despite a $15 billion backlog and rising AI data-center demand for power and…

VRT $94B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Oct 8

Maase: The Math And The Valuation Don't Add Up To Me

Maase, a $5B AI infrastructure company with sub-$50M annualized revenue and persistent losses, faces governance concerns over super-voting…

MAAS $5.5B

Wolf Report Oct 8

A Qualitative Primer on the Nicotine Pouch Space

Nicotine pouches show low brand loyalty and sharply varied preferences, with U.S.

BTI $120B

Sylence Capital Oct 7 4 clicks

ezCater and the Other Half of Uber's FCF

Uber’s $2.3 billion cash purchase of ezCater extends its buy-versus-build strategy and raises questions about the price and capital…

UBER $140BDASH $84B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 7 1 click

POST · long

Post Holdings INC

Post Holdings remains a large position after the stock's recent decline.

POST $3.3B

Value Investors Club Jul 10

L3Harris Technologies (NYSE: LHX) Upgraded Rating: Accumulate

L3Harris upgraded to Accumulate after a 38% stock decline, backed by 8% Q2 revenue growth, a $42 billion backlog and planned Missile…

LHX $44B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 1 click

Cerebras: OpenAI's Nvidia Move Doesn't Break The 750 MW Deal

Cerebras retains its 750 MW commitment despite OpenAI's Nvidia move, but TSMC supply, owned capacity and gross-margin recovery remain the…

CBRS $39B

Deep Value Investing Oct 7

💥New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - And Go Concepts, LLC (Salad and Go)💥

Salad and Go filed Chapter 11 after its Texas and Oklahoma expansion failed, seeking to sell 65 leases to Dutch Bros for $105 million as 7…

BROS $5.5B

PETITION Oct 7 3 clicks

West Pharma: Still A Buy, But Expectations Are Rising

West Pharmaceutical Services’ GLP-1 demand, HVP upgrades and Annex 1 conversions support double-digit growth, but its premium valuation…

WST $26B

Petri Dish Reports Oct 7

Research Roundup Vol. LV

OpenAI’s enterprise privacy push and Synopsys’s Factory 2 royalty model anchor a technology roundup, alongside oil above $100 and Bitcoin’s…

SNPS $97B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 7

Adobe (NASDAQ: ADBE) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q3 FY11/26 Earnings

Adobe rates Accumulate at $189-$266 after Q3 FY26 revenue grew 12.9%, while management guided slower growth and RPO growth decelerated.

ADBE $93B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 7 2 clicks

Marvell 2026 Investor Day: Irrational Recap

Marvell’s 2026 investor day draws a skeptical review of its optical connectivity, DSP and AI infrastructure claims, while crediting its…

MRVL $241B

Irrational Analysis Oct 7 2 clicks

New Position (ONON): Game is On

On Holding (ONON) is gaining sportswear share, expanding store space and launching soccer with Kylian Mbappé as investors debate U.S.

ONON $11B

Aurelion Research Oct 6 3 clicks

Astronics: Marked Down After A Record Quarter - Buy

Astronics targets $1.02 to $1.04 billion in 2026 revenue after adjusted operating margin reached 20.3%, with Boeing representing 12% of…

ATRO $2.8B

Jordan Aquilina Oct 6

Thursday, October 8, 2026

Ian Bezek on X

John_Hempton on X

Colin King on X

Fierce_beast on X

AltayCap on X

Fierce_beast on X

Fierce_beast on X

Fierce_beast on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 92

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 46 of 219

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors