Monday, October 5, 2026

Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months

Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.

CVE $61B

Bison Insights Oct 5 4 clicks

Oct 5 GFL $16B

The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale

310 Value’s Newsletter

Oct 5 CRWV $34B

The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Aug 12

SG on X

finally took a position in $BCHT. I believe it reports after the close tomorrow. https://t.co/NB75qn9wGD

@majgeoinvesting Aug 12

Maj Soueidan on X

$ITRN is pristine (was $36 at the time of this post). It’s $55 today, up $3 on a solid Q2. The moron I am, I still haven’t bought. The valuation was never “perfect.” Some things are just worth paying up for. I do see a path to $100. Lesson👉 InfoArb exists even outside microcaps. https://t.co/kJghFGxAph

@ActAccordingly Aug 12

PAA Research on X

I'm short a little $CRWV. Obviously I'm not happy with the move today, but I listened to the @cnbc interview with the CEO and two things really made me feel better: 1) @jimcramer called it an "inflection point" and a day that will go down in history (thank you for your tireless service Jim) 2) The $CRWV CEO's stuttering and non-stuttering sequences really were quite revealing. I'm not trying to belittle someone's speech challenges. Public speaking is hard, but someone with some basic CIA interview skills training would have a field day with his 5-10 minute segment on CNBC, particularly when asked about margins, insider selling, and project delays. He struggled mightily there to get the words out, which is telling. Of course @CNBC clipped out most of those parts of the interview, but you can watch the rest here. https://t.co/ldWzhWZXlO

@leevalueroach Aug 12

Lee Roach on X

@kingdomcapadv posted a good $EVC write up on Seeking Alpha this morning. https://t.co/k96glqoOiQ

@stockgutter Aug 12

SG on X

$CAPS "Stone Business Adjusted EBITDA" 🤡 https://t.co/56EcAIgFSv

@ToffCap Aug 12 1 click

ToffCap on X

Solid results from Marex $MRX yet again. Strong beat + in the portfolio. That means the stock will probably close 20% down today https://t.co/8EYa8jlUHZ

@TheBenSchmark Aug 12 2 clicks

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Bernstein China Semicap & WFE update: $101 bn in ‘28 > WFE ramp drives reacceleration of local WFE vendors > logic underestimated > memory revised up: CXMT, YM & JHICC easier to ramp clean rooms > local vendors take share from global vendors > ‘27-28 numbers go up $ACMR https://t.co/8qZFoulEau

@leevalueroach Aug 12

Lee Roach on X

The management team at $NCMI are idiots. Pausing the dividend and buyback to buy an operate of digital video elevator and lobby advertising in office buildings. For $275 million. They pulled guidance too and net leverage is 3.9x. They are buying this garbage at 14.5x 2025 EBITDA. The $3.5 million of annualized syngeries only gets you to 12.2x EBITDA. And they are headlining a 10x acquisition multiple. Any management team that spends shareholder capital buying overvalued assets needs to be fired.

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

OTIS $26BCPRT $26B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom

Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.

CIEN $51B

Marc Gerstein Oct 5 2 clicks

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

NU $75BINTR $3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 6 clicks

Nyxoah: Label Expansion Set To Unlock A Monopoly In A Billion Dollar Market.

Nyxoah's Genio implant could reach CCC patients after an FDA label expansion, targeting 30% of the obstructive sleep apnea device market by…

NYXH $112M

Stephen Tobin Oct 5 3 clicks

OMSE 2026-10-05

The Monday Morning Briefing: AI Drives Everything, Yet ROI on Massive Capex Remains Uncertain

Latticework’s briefing questions AI capex returns while featuring Close Brothers, Green Landscaping and OMS Energy Technologies.

OMSE $177M

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 5 2 clicks

40 Best Stock Pitches (28th-4th October) 🟢

Old Market Capital, a delisted holding company owning a rural fiber network, trades below comparable network valuations after institutional…

OMCC $26M

Capital Employed Oct 4 7 clicks

💥Leslies Term Lenders Toss a Life Preserver💥

Leslie’s and nine affiliates filed Chapter 11 in Texas on September 30, 2026, after 18 months of deteriorating performance.

LESL $1.6M

PETITION Oct 4 3 clicks

🤿New Chapter 11 Bankruptcy Filing - Leslie’s Inc.🤿

Leslie’s, the pool-supplies retailer, filed Chapter 11 after deteriorating operations, pricing and inventory missteps, and a burdensome…

LESL $1.6M

PETITION Oct 4 3 clicks

British American Tobacco: Harvest

British American Tobacco’s U.S. reset revives combustibles and rebuilds its nicotine-pouch portfolio after legacy-brand writedowns and Velo…

BTI $130B

Invariant Oct 4 5 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

GELHY $162BNIO $8.7B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $937M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Pyxis Oncology: Better Runway Is Bullish For MICVO's Remaining R&D

Pyxis Oncology's recent financing extends MICVO's runway to clinical milestones as the oncology candidate works to establish a safe,…

PYXS $150M

Myriam Alvarez Oct 4 2 clicks

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…

CBRS $33B

Irrational Analysis Oct 4 3 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

M&T: Buy Reaffirmed, Despite Market Pullback, As Growth And Earnings Story Remain Strong

M&T Bank's 10.4% five-year revenue CAGR, improving net interest margin and commercial loan growth support its earnings resilience despite a…

MTB $31B

Albert Anthony Oct 3 2 clicks

The Art of Doing Financial Engineering

AI infrastructure’s $6.3 trillion financing gap is driving structured debt and asset-backed solutions, starting with Meta’s planned 5GW…

MS $285B

Net Interest Oct 3 5 clicks

Magnolia Oil & Gas: The WildFire Acquisition Closes

Magnolia Oil & Gas closed its $4 billion WildFire acquisition, adding Eagle Ford acreage with cost synergies and funding the deal with…

MGY $6.8B

Long Player Oct 3 2 clicks

EVI Industries. Margin inflection or fake out?

EVI Industries says its ERP and service-platform build is largely complete, testing whether 10.8% revenue growth can finally outpace…

EVI $243M

Kairos Research Oct 2 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $17BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #16: Huckleberry.AI (HUCK)

Huckleberry.AI trades near $3.30 against $221 million of cash and $900 million-plus of NOLs after selling its operating business, creating…

HUCK $147M

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Oct 2 5 clicks

SG on X

Maj Soueidan on X

PAA Research on X

Lee Roach on X

SG on X

ToffCap on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Lee Roach on X

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