Monday, October 5, 2026

Selling Cenovus: Up 78% in 10 Months

Cenovus Energy, up 78% in 10 months, is sold after agreeing to buy Athabasca Oil for $5.7 billion at a rich valuation.

CVE $61B

Bison Insights Oct 5 3 clicks

Oct 5 GFL $15B

The Final Countdown: An Update on GFL’s Sale

310 Value’s Newsletter

Oct 5 CRWV $43B

The Thin Margin of Safety in Selling Compute

MBI Deep Dives 10 clicks

From X

@irbezek Sep 3 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@burningbushcap $CIB is a quarter of the Colombia ETF, $AVAL is 4%. Need folks to go stock-picking in individual names, right now, people are mostly buying the index.

@KEDM_COM Sep 3

KEDM.com on X

Icon $ICLR finally published their restated financials. The revenue had been overstated by roughly 1% in 2024 and 2025. With shares up 40 percent since we added this name, we're declaring victory and will remove this from the monitor. We doubt AI will fully disrupt the others; this narrative will probably pressure the multiple going forward.

@ChrisCamillo Sep 3 2 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@SkillJoy_00 how many GTA VI launch month, quarter, yr 1 units and what eventual online ARPU do you think the market is currently pricing in to $TTWO ? And how does your analysis differ from those expectations?

@DeepSailCapital Sep 3 1 click

Deep Sail Capital on X

Anti Software trade. Short $OKTA and $TWLO. Both are up 80-120% this year. If software trends down they both will get crushed 30%.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 3

Deep Sail Capital on X

$CRDO It’s pretty rare you find such a high moat business with massive growth that has been managed so well to keep extending their growth pathways. Three years ago they were just copper, now much more. The optics position: Credo isn’t just an AEC (copper) story anymore — they now own the full AI interconnect stack: • Optical DSPs (record Q1 revenue, 50G/100G-per-lane shipping now, 1.6T ramping later this FY) • ZeroFlap Optics • Silicon Photonics PICs (first revenue post-DustPhotonics deal) Management’s guiding >$600m in optical revenue for FY27 alone, with each of DSP/ZeroFlap/SiPho individually clearing $100m As AI clusters scale and speeds push past 800G toward 1.6T, connectivity becomes the bottleneck, everyone knows this. Credo sits at nearly every layer of that bottleneck, it’s been really thoughtful about product expansion so far. Management deserves more credit.

@DOMOCAPITAL Sep 3

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$CPB is completely uninvestible for as long as Marc Lautenbach remains on the Board of Directors. Have been telling people this for over a year now... Just look at $PBI performance over his career and then from the moment he "left" the CEO position... https://t.co/Px6gacUNjZ

@valuedontlie Sep 3

Colin King on X

Another consumer staples dividend cut... $CPB reducing dividend by 36% (CAG cut theirs in half) https://t.co/VVVvo0Gh8k

@evantindell Sep 3

Evan Tindell on X

Dang I missed this one -- Nielsen CEO $NIQ almost bottom ticked it at $9 https://t.co/Zh7pIvOHua

Portfolio Update September 2026

Portfolio added Otis Worldwide in the mid-$60s, increased Pool, Copart and Floor & Decor, and sold Berkshire Hathaway.

OTIS $26BCPRT $25B

D Invests Oct 5 1 click

Ciena, A Former Telecom Bust, Is Now In The Early Stages Of A Bona Fide Mega Boom

Ciena’s optical networking equipment sales to stronger telecom customers underpin a 2027 long thesis, unlike its 2000-era boom.

CIEN $57B

Marc Gerstein Oct 5 2 clicks

Brazil could be the Q4 Macro Play – My stock ideas: $NU, $INTR, $PICS and maybe $STNE, $PAGS, $DLO and $MELI

Brazilian fintechs NU, INTR and PICS stand to benefit from a Bolsonaro-led runoff surprise that lowers fiscal risk premiums, rates and the…

NU $75BINTR $3.3B

Substack von Philipp Oct 5 5 clicks

Alliance Resource Partners: A ~10% Yield Backed By Contracted Coal And Growing Royalties

Alliance Resource Partners has 2026 coal sales fully contracted and is expanding oil and gas royalties through AllDale, supporting its 9.8%…

ARLP $3.2B

Timur Mekhantev Oct 5 4 clicks

Practical Parametric Yield

Cerebras’s WSE-3 faces parametric-yield constraints that could restrict supply, making power and clock-speed tradeoffs central to its next…

CBRS $39B

Irrational Analysis Oct 4 3 clicks

Did Group 1 Overpay for Hennessy? The Seller’s Own Banker Says It Was a Record.

Group 1 paid $1 billion of goodwill for Hennessy’s 10 dealerships, a record $100 million per store, financed largely with $1.25 billion of…

GPI $2.7B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 4 4 clicks

M&T: Buy Reaffirmed, Despite Market Pullback, As Growth And Earnings Story Remain Strong

M&T Bank's 10.4% five-year revenue CAGR, improving net interest margin and commercial loan growth support its earnings resilience despite a…

MTB $31B

Albert Anthony Oct 3 2 clicks

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is…

LEN $17BMRP $3.7B

Hunterbrook Oct 2 2 clicks

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Nike targets EBIT margin recovery from 5.2% in FY2027 to 13% by FY2032 as revenue declines persist and wholesale, China and digital remain…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 3 clicks

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Nike’s second Latticework program examines the company and the global athletic footwear and apparel industry for professional investors.

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 1 click

HRVFF · long

Harvia Oyj

HRVFF $927M

Value Investors Club Jul 7 2 clicks

Geely: Strategic NIO Battery Deal Is A Win

Geely’s ZEEKR nearly doubled first-half 2026 deliveries to 178,000, while Geely bought 30% of NIO’s battery-swapping unit to reduce…

NIO $8.9B

The Asian Investor Oct 4 5 clicks

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $52B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 2 2 clicks

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

NOC $68B

Dhierin Bechai Oct 2

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $35BIRDM $4.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 2 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.7B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 2 1 click

Crocs: Double-Digit Buyback Yield (Ticker: CROX)

Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…

CROX $5.6B

Emerging Moats Research Oct 2 4 clicks

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 2 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $4.8B

Seeking Profits Oct 1

Ian Bezek on X

KEDM.com on X

Chris Camillo on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

Deep Sail Capital on X

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Colin King on X

Evan Tindell on X

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