EVI Industries. Margin inflection or fake out?
EVI Industries says its ERP and service-platform build is largely complete, testing whether 10.8% revenue growth can finally outpace operating costs and lift margins.
EVI Industries says its ERP and service-platform build is largely complete, testing whether 10.8% revenue growth can finally outpace operating costs and lift margins.
Sobering one: of 31 distinct names, only 2 have actually reached my Realistic Valuation target. $EVTL and $RR. Median downside capture on the Sept '25 list: 73% of the decline I forecast. On the 2026 lists: 22-41%. Direction right. Magnitude still pending. This means there is still lots of meat on the bone in many of these names.
What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.
Across all 110 position-instances: Average short return: +25.7%Median: +23.1%Hit rate: 81% — 89 of 110 names fell Best call, and it wasn't close: $EVTL Vertical Aerospace $5.00 → $0.58 Top performer on all five lists. The Sept '25 entry is +88%. Even the July '26 entry is +66%. The company flagged going-concern risk in a filing this month.
The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.
Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.
@BertrandPirel to what do you attribute the substantial availability (1.85m shares) and low borrow cost (3.25%) for $GPRO at IBKR?
Astute observation here. $STLN could not be better situated for the current environment, imo. https://t.co/sy97F9J9YU
August quick value write-ups... 1) $CALM -- cheap P/B mean reversion idea 2) $MNRO -- strategic review + activist + CEO incentive 3) $FOUR -- beaten down roll-up 4) $MKTW -- fundamental inflection point https://t.co/RcptMg3HfE
Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…
AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…
The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…
Belden targets net leverage of 2.9x by 2027 from 3.9x, using RUCKUS's 65%+ gross margins and free cash flow to reduce debt.
Crocs has $2 billion of buyback authorization, more than a third of its market cap, as North American sales stabilize and HeyDude drags on…
Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.
Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…
Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…
Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…
Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…
AEGXF · long Aecon Group’s long thesis targets 50-80% share-price upside over 6-12 months as the company shifts beyond a complex special situation.
Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…
Ladder Capital trades below book value with high yield, but faces margin pressure and office-loan exposure despite diversified funding and…
Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…
Entravision, the portfolio’s largest position, fell more than 40% from its highs as Q3 returns dropped to 37.8% YTD.
Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…
LeMaitre Vascular’s shift to larger acquisitions lifted its success rate to 80% and gross margin to 72%, supported by $376 million of cash…
Zentek shipped its first ZenGUARD air-filter order to a Canadian federal facility as its Albany graphite PEA confirmed a US$3.85 billion…
Yuanbao pairs a 10.2% dividend and cash exceeding its market value with 33.5% first-half profit growth from AI-enabled Chinese insurance…
Vicor, Rayonier, Accenture and nine other lesser-covered stocks make up Seeking Alpha’s Undercovered Dozen.
Every publication on this site, hand-picked.
Every account on this site, hand-picked.
Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.