Friday, October 2, 2026

EXCLUSIVE: Lennar’s Big New Customer Is Its Own Spinoff, Millrose

Lennar is selling homes to former spinoff Millrose, whose revenue largely comes from Lennar and whose largest voting shareholder is Lennar’s CEO.

LEN $20BMRP $4.3B

Hunterbrook 35h ago 2 clicks

38h ago NKE $53B

Nike: The Defense Holds, the Offense Is Unproven

Latticework by MOI Global 1 click

39h ago NKE $53B

Nike, Part Two: The Deep Dive

Latticework by MOI Global

From X

@MaiusPartners 24h ago 1 click

Maius on X

Some $PSIX thoughts off the recent 8-K: The banking syndicate lifted committed capacity from $135m to $220m (+$85m), cut the SOFR margin from +2.60% to +1.80%, and pushed maturity from July 2027 to September 2029 (~26 months). Credit committees are structurally risk-averse. More exposure, less spread, and longer tenor only clears if they like the repayment case. So what are they underwriting that most equity investors still won’t touch? Two things the disclosures imply: 1) Weichai’s North American strategy is locked in. Change-of-control remains tied to Weichai keeping board control and ≥40% ownership (same economic threshold as before). The extension removes left-tail risk that Weichai pursues a different go-to-market path. 2) The extra capacity isn’t for today’s balance sheet. Net debt was essentially zero at Q2’26 (cash ~$70m, debt ~$73m). The new investor materials flag Prime Power as a deliverable for the first time—ranges that overlap $INIO’s data-center gas engines, a segment where $INIO recently highlighted as an area "Chinese players have historically struggled to break in" and hence command "100% market share in several datacenter power ranges". As Bezos put it: your margin is my opportunity. Have a great weekend, everybody!

@ACapitalLP 26h ago 2 clicks

A Capital on X

@GuptaSach1988 I was thinking ~0.55 $SPCX shares short per $ECHO share long, roughly the tax-adjusted look-through ratio...

@leevalueroach 30h ago

Lee Roach on X

Ryan Cohen just bought another $17 million of $GME. Wall Street is completely unaware and brain dead here. https://t.co/sy5wCrmcKN

@negligible_cap 31h ago 1 click

Negligible Capital on X

*EQUAL-WEIGHT S&P 500 DOWN FOR 7 STRAIGHT WEEKS, MOST SINCE 2022 $RSP has been horrendous. I miss when breadth was healthy https://t.co/hsKW5s6ODt

@marginofdanger 31h ago

marginofdanger on X

Blows my mind that the 3x semiconductor ETF $SOXL has $25 billion of assets. Seems like an incredible value destruction machine.

@irbezek 31h ago

Ian Bezek on X

@elcolombiano More good news for Sureste Airports $ASR and Corporacion America Airports $CAAP. "Medellin has peaked bro" folks in disbelief. https://t.co/d7nDOraQbO

@irbezek 32h ago

Ian Bezek on X

@aurelius28 I think $CIB is worth about $100 so you're hoping for overshoot of fair value if you buy it here. I much prefer its smaller and much less liquid peer $AVAL as the "catch-up" trade.

@finphysnerd 32h ago

Myles on X

I've been out for a while due to opportunity cost, but $CTOS has sold of to 55c or 12x earnings and looks very juicy again here. https://t.co/p7vKdPj0bZ

Nike, Part One: The Story

Nike grew from a $1,000 shoe-distribution venture in 1964 into the largest sports brand, using athlete endorsements, product innovation and…

NKE $53B

Latticework by MOI Global 39h ago

Boeing F/A-XX Win: A Surprise Blow For Northrop

Boeing won the $20 billion Navy F/A-XX contract after securing the Air Force F-47, concentrating U.S.

NOC $69B

Dhierin Bechai 39h ago

Rocket Lab (NASDAQ: RKLB) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% to $234.1 million and backlog up 137% to $2.36 billion, while operating losses and cash burn…

RKLB $42BIRDM $5.1B

Cestrian Capital Research 40h ago 1 click

Research & Analysis | AAR Corp. (NYSE: AIR): MRO Holdings Reshapes the Margin Profile

AAR’s $1.8 billion acquisition of a 65% stake in MRO Holdings adds widebody aircraft maintenance and targets a 19% to 20% EBITDA margin by…

AIR $4B

Monte Independent Investment Research 40h ago 4 clicks

The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Do Nothing After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings

The Trade Desk's Q2 revenue grew 3% to $715 million as Q3 guidance called for a year-over-year decline; TTD has fallen over 90% from its…

TTD $5.8B

Cestrian Capital Research 41h ago

$TPB: can Turning Point Brands be the third player in nicotine pouches? | Saberpoint Capital

Turning Point Brands' FRE and Alp nicotine pouches aim to become a third C-store brand behind ZYN and Velo as PMTA rules limit new entrants.

TPB $1.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Oct 1 3 clicks

Mattel: M&A Buzz And A CEO Change Create Substantial Uncertainty

Mattel rose 19% on takeover speculation, but a potential $20-per-share bid, margin pressure and CEO transition leave its standalone…

MAT $3.6B

Seeking Profits 47h ago

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Constellium: The Spread Between Feedstock And End Prices Keeps Widening

Constellium’s widening feedstock-to-end-price spread supports 2026 EBITDA guidance of $980M-$1.02B and free cash flow above $300M.

CSTM $3.3B

Andres Veurink Oct 1

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

Muse could sidestep ads by becoming a neutral commerce agent, while DoorDash and Airbnb build proprietary agents that steer users toward…

DASH $81BABNB $94B

MBI Deep Dives Oct 1

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

Joby Vs. Archer: The Race Is No Longer About Who Certifies First

Archer Aviation's Insitu, Wisk and SkyGrid acquisitions add military and drone revenue, cutting FAA-certification dependence and leaving…

ACHR $3.9BJOBY $6B

The Alpha Analyst Sep 29 2 clicks

Dark arts or infinite reload? $TTD’s CEO options and the repricing proxy

The Trade Desk’s CEO received a new 10-year option package targeting $105 per share as the company seeks shareholder approval to reprice…

TTD $5.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 29 5 clicks

Cullinan Therapeutics: Compelling Pullback For CLN-978's Potential In Autoimmune Diseases

Cullinan Therapeutics plans December 2026 autoimmune updates for CLN-978, while zipalertinib awaits an FDA decision in previously treated…

CGEM $997M

Myriam Alvarez Sep 29 2 clicks

Group 1 Automotive (GPI) vs Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR)

Alpha Metallurgical Resources director Ken Courtis bought $10.5 million above $190 after a blackout lifted, while Conifer’s 12.7% Group 1…

GPI $2.9BAMR $2.2B

Cannibal Stocks Sep 29 3 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXX

Monte Investments upgrades Karman Holdings to Buy with a $133 target after a 65% drawdown, citing 28.83x EV/aEBITDA and governance changes.

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 29 1 click

Applied Optoelectronics: The Biggest Growth Phase Starts Now

Applied Optoelectronics targets $1.1 billion in 2026 revenue as 800G and 1.6T data-center demand drives capacity expansion, despite…

AAOI $9.1B

Infinity Curve Sep 29 2 clicks

Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings

Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…

ZS $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 3 clicks

Uber: The Aggregator on Trial

Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…

DASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 28 2 clicks

Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank

Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…

VEEV $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

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