Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 DASH $81B

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

MBI Deep Dives

Oct 1 ADSK $44B

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@P_Remarks Oct 1

Prepared Remarks on X

I cannot reconcile the significant insider buying at $celh w/Bloom’s scanner data, clear shelf space gains, & social momentum. Plus freight headwind Alani LTOs (witches brew) are doing well/slight accel but core CELH doesn’t have accel potential until Q1 Too much risk I think

@leevalueroach Oct 1 1 click

Lee Roach on X

On timber companies $RYN and $WY. If the long end keeps going up. 6-7% which I think is definitely possible. Then timber companies will get crushed. But my overall thesis remains and is happening in real time: energy-driven inflation, fiscal deterioration, failed treasury buybacks, the Fed losing the long end. Right now the market is repricing duration before it reprices scarcity. This gap can run for decades. Equities were destroyed in real terms through 1973 and 1974. But hard assets won the decade. I’m praying both of these timber companies keep going down. Land is my favorite asset to own. You can see it. You can touch it. You can hunt on it. You can fish on it. And you can grow productive timber on it. Huge swaths of land have massive optionality. Let’s hope Scott “I am the house” Bessent continues to lose the bond market. I want to see a bloodbath here.

@junkbondinvest Oct 1 1 click

junkbondinvestor on X

“Good news. We got you your full $PSKY allocation.” https://t.co/oKKwqUnBNn

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

Keurig Dr Pepper Hires Kimberly-Clark President Torres to Helm Coffee Spinoff $KDP $KMB https://t.co/8CPQhRReM4

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

McCormick Is Working to Win Over Value-Conscious Shoppers $MKC https://t.co/cNn2B5biRP

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

$HAS also moved up Barbie-Maker Mattel Draws Takeover Interest From Authentic Brands Group $MAT https://t.co/HZXNiDyOkj

@BarbarianCap Oct 1 1 click

Barbarian Capital on X

getting more interesting Nike Projects Sales Decline This Year After Lower First-Quarter Revenue $NKE https://t.co/pV51lJLbbK

@BarbarianCap Oct 1

Barbarian Capital on X

ON Semicondcutor to Buy Synaptics for Cash, Not Stock, in Downsized Deal $ON $SYNA https://t.co/ZBg5wXAYaX

How Ethos Sold Wall Street on AI While Powering an Analog Boiler Room

Ethos Technologies ($LIFE) sells AI-driven life insurance while relying heavily on multilevel marketing agencies using aggressive cold…

LIFE $2.2B

Hunterbrook Oct 1 1 click

Karman Holdings q2’26 Earnings Update

Karman Holdings reported 58% Q2 revenue growth, $1.3 billion backlog and margin expansion while replacing leadership and remediating…

KRMN $4.3B

Monte Independent Investment Research Oct 1

Innodata: The 45% Pullback Has Changed My View (Rating Upgrade)

Innodata's 45% pullback resets its valuation after two quarters of 50% revenue growth, though two customers still supply 71% of revenue and…

INOD $2.4B

Kurt Christensen Oct 1

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

KMX $7.8BTLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $10B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Group 1's CEO Said "Competitive Advantages and Opportunities." A Car Dealer? I Went Looking.

Group 1’s 19% ownership cap, tied to automaker franchise agreements, frames Conifer’s 1.9 million-share stake and potential buyback-driven…

GPI $2.9B

Cannibal Stocks Oct 1 1 click

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $55B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

MGRC · long

Mcgrath Rentcorp

McGrath RentCorp's conservatively financed hard assets, pricing growth and a struggling competitor, WSC, underpin the long thesis.

MGRC $2.8B

Value Investors Club Jun 10 2 clicks

US-Canada Tariffs: Finding Investment Opportunities

US-Canada tariffs impose 50% duties on $20 billion of Canadian goods, lifting US steel makers while pressuring Canadian exporters and…

STLD $32BNUE $54B

Aurelion Research Aug 24

NRIX 2026-08-24

Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case

Nurix Therapeutics gained $700 million upfront from Roche, a 50% U.S. profit share and Roche-funded global bexobrutideg development,…

NRIX $2.5B

Equity Eagle Aug 24 3 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $30B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

Planet Fitness: The $10 Gym That Grew Into a Franchise Machine

Planet Fitness runs 2,930 clubs and 21.5 million memberships through an asset-light franchise model funded by $15 monthly dues, royalties…

PLNT $3.2B

Open Insights Aug 23

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $94B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

AppLovin: Deep Dive Analysis

AppLovin’s Axon AI matches advertisers with profitable users while MAX auctions app inventory, as investors question whether its…

APP $95B

Hated Moats Aug 23 1 click

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) vs. Warrior Met Coal (HCC)

Warrior Met Coal’s lower-cost longwall mines and Blue Creek expansion protect cash flow, while new high-vol supply depresses Alpha…

AMR $2.2BHCC $4.7B

Cannibal Stocks Aug 23

SEZL 2026-08-23

Sezzle: The Numbers Don't Support The Selloff

Sezzle fell 20% after Q2 despite a revenue and EPS beat and higher guidance, as marketing spending and seasonality drove a sequential…

SEZL $3.6B

Daniel James Aug 23 3 clicks

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Prepared Remarks on X

Lee Roach on X

junkbondinvestor on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Barbarian Capital on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 93

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 42 of 199

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors