Thursday, October 1, 2026

Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 Earnings - Distribute Below $260

Twilio posted Q2 revenue of $1.50 billion, up 22%, and guided 16% Q3 growth; the note rates TWLO Hold at $305, with a $260 risk line.

TWLO $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Oct 1 1 click

Oct 1 DASH $81B

Why Muse May Never Need Ads

MBI Deep Dives

Oct 1 ADSK $44B

Autodesk (NASDAQ: ADSK) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q2 FY1/27 Earnings - New Rating Bands, Stop And Price Targets Inside

Cestrian Capital Research

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 22

Deep Sail Capital on X

I echo these thoughts on $CRDO. https://t.co/GUUJOngRvK

@leevalueroach Sep 22 5 clicks

Lee Roach on X

What do you think the unit economics to make a magic the gathering card is and what the markup is? What happens when you capture the entire retail margin by in housing. What happens when you sell the dumb toy biz? What happens when you stop allocations of MTG from everyone else and funnel to $GME shelves? How does store traffic improve?

@leevalueroach Sep 22

Lee Roach on X

If I was @ryancohen at $GME, I would drop the bid for ebay and instead go after Hasbro, Inc. They own Magic the Gathering and if Cohen could get ahold of the MTG IP it would transform the company. Hasbro is only a $12 billion market cap and GameStop has enough capital to do a deal there. Cohen could then dispose of the non-MTG junk and cut costs like crazy. The CEO of Hasbro made $18.6 million in 2025. There is so much bloat you can take out of Hasbro. It is filled with suits that don't own the company and make millions with no risk at the table.

@negligible_cap Sep 22 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

Lots of financials like insurance brokers, banks, retail brokerages getting smoked on Muse / agentic concerns / cash sweeps / wealth mgmt? $SCHW, $LPLA, $RJF all getting crushed along with all of insurance Looks like sell first, think later is back https://t.co/pvWN2aytg3

@finphysnerd Sep 22 2 clicks

Myles on X

$LDOS looks interesting to me. They provide a variety of government services including healthcare, intelligence, defence and homeland security stuff. Currently overearning due to a VA healthcare contract that will be renegotiated lower going into 2027. The market has sold them

@ACapitalLP Sep 22 1 click

A Capital on X

Know fins are selling off today, but the $JEF underperformance since Radiant World feels like perception <> reality. We literally just saw this movie with First Brands: scary headline, fears of a much bigger balance-sheet problem, then the actual exposure comes into focus. Fool me once…

@OddDiligence Sep 22

Odd Diligence on X

$SRAD is explicitly mentioned in $META Muse source code & technical documentation - although functionality does not appear to have been turned on yet I believe Meta will expand their relationship with Sportradar https://t.co/OS10T9268i https://t.co/MzTsyf3WV0

@LaughingH20Cap Sep 22

Laughing Water Capital on X

@310Value reminder that $APG pfd A stock, by which the holders get paid hedge fund-like incentive comp based on year end share price, will be converted at year end. Management/board are well incentivized to do everything they can to juice the stock price into year end.

[ROL – Rollins] The exterminator’s dilemma

Rollins’ shares have fallen more than 50% from their peak, resetting valuation as route density, reliable service and pricing support…

ROL $14B

scuttleblurb Oct 1

This Week in Special Situations: Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR, Apollo Commercial Real Estate

Pearson, CarMax, Talen Energy, KBR and Apollo Commercial Real Estate lead a 33-company survey of activist campaigns, buybacks, M&A and…

TLN $15B

Latticework by MOI Global Oct 1

HubSpot Valuation: SaaS-Pocalypse Discount And DCF Imply More Upside

HubSpot trades at 18.4x forward earnings and 3x sales after the SaaS selloff; a DCF using 22% FCF growth values shares at $302.66.

HUBS $10B

Bishop Research and Analytics Oct 1 2 clicks

Deckers (DECK): From Clown Shoes To Compounder

Deckers built HOKA into a brand nearing UGG’s scale, with HOKA revenue up about fivefold since FY21.

DECK $11B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 1 1 click

Q3 2026 Consolidated Holdings, Performance, and Ideas

Irrational Analysis reports 51.55% outperformance versus a semiconductor ETF, adding Credo for SerDes and QMCO for AI-driven tape storage…

CRDO $40BCBRS $40B

Irrational Analysis Oct 1 1 click

Occidental Petroleum: Great Inventories To Ride Lower Structural Capex In The Industry

Occidental Petroleum could benefit as declining shale inventories and high rates curb industry capex, tightening oil supply against demand…

OXY $55B

Gen Z Investor Sep 30

EQT Corporation (NYSE: EQT) Stock Rating: Hold After Q2 FY12/26 - Why Europe's Gas Shortage Has Not Lifted The Stock

EQT remains tied to roughly $3 Henry Hub gas despite European prices near $23 per MMBtu, with US LNG export capacity limiting overseas…

EQT $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 30 1 click

POSCO Holdings: A Resource Conglomerate Still Priced Like A Distressed Steel Mill

POSCO Holdings trades at a 78.6% P/B discount as lithium, gas and trading profits reshape the steelmaker, while capex and lithium prices…

PKX $17B

Capital Connoisseur Sep 30

Toll roads in the sky

Asia's elevator boom favors maintenance and modernization providers, with Otis deriving nearly 90% of operating profit from after-sales…

OTIS $24B

Asian Century Stocks Sep 29 1 click

Portfolio and performance update, September 2026

Portfolio returned 65.7% through September 28 versus the S&P 500’s 13.2%, while backing Tourmaline, EQT, Athabasca and SLB on gas demand…

EQT $31B

Guardian Research Sep 29 5 clicks

FTAI Aviation (FTAI US) – The Engine Shop That Owns the Engines

FTAI Aviation’s engine-exchange model swaps CFM56 engines in days rather than 200-day overhauls, driving Aerospace Products adjusted EBITDA…

FTAI $17B

Bristlemoon Capital Sep 29 2 clicks

Kimberly-Clark's Dividend And Safe Haven Trade Outweigh Post-Merger Risks

Kimberly-Clark's 5% dividend yield and Kenvue merger upside outweigh Tylenol litigation risk after a 30% share-price decline.

KMB $32BKVUE $33B

Zoltan Ban Sep 29 1 click

Zscaler (NASDAQ: ZS) Stock Rating: Accumulate After Q4 FY7/26 Earnings

Zscaler posted 25% Q4 revenue growth to $898.2 million and a 24.3% operating margin, but guided FY27 growth down to 16.6%-17.5% as free…

ZS $33B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 3 clicks

Uber: The Aggregator on Trial

Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…

DASH $81B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 28 2 clicks

Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank

Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…

VEEV $45B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 28 4 clicks

The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck

Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.

NKE $53B

Latticework by MOI Global Sep 28 3 clicks

CBOE · long

Cboe Global Markets INC

Cboe Global Markets trades near $232, with a roughly $24.3 billion market cap, net cash and a 16-17x forward P/E.

CBOE $29B

Value Investors Club Jun 30 3 clicks

Hindsight Capital

Hindsight Capital tests crisis-era investment decisions using anonymized company financials, including TransDigm, Halma and Texas Pacific…

TDG $60BTPL $23B

Rebound Capital Sep 27 6 clicks

New Buy : Honeywell Aerospace $HONA

Honeywell Aerospace, newly spun off as HONA, fell 41% from post-listing highs after Q2 2026 as supply-chain bottlenecks delayed revenue…

HONA $49B

D Invests Sep 26 13 clicks

Roblox: When Will Growth Turn Into Profits?

Roblox needs an estimated $6.5 billion in revenue to break even, versus $4.9 billion projected for 2025, making sustained growth and cost…

RBLX $30B

Hong Chew Eu Sep 26

Thursday, October 1, 2026

Deep Sail Capital on X

Lee Roach on X

Lee Roach on X

Negligible Capital on X

Myles on X

A Capital on X

Odd Diligence on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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