What the AI Boom Looks Like From Inside Cisco with Sam Badri | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 77
Cisco’s Sam Badri says roughly 90% of AI users remain at basic prompting, with few advancing to skills files or AI agents.
Monday, September 28, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Negligible Capital on X
So 25% of Anthropic’s revenue comes from 2 customers according to Reuters. One is probably $META based on recent reports (who probably pulls back the spending soon if Watermelon ends up being any good) Who’s the second?
John_Hempton on X
@stubmt I lost 0.02 percent on $AMC today. Position is tiny.
Calvin Blissett on X
@bull_moose26 @ConsensusGurus I'm saying to the GSEs, if there isn't differentiated pricing grid they don't need to use $FICO to sell $10m worth of loans to save say $300k due to pricing grids, its just parity now. No large incentive from that angle
Barbarian Capital on X
Meta launches enterprise AI business seeking to cash in on vast spending $META https://t.co/YsP5NnbgVz
Barbarian Capital on X
Northern Star Rejects $27 Billion Takeover Proposal From Gold Fields $GFI https://t.co/loTzZWh7IZ
Barbarian Capital on X
AAR to Pay $1.8 Billion for Stake in Aircraft-Maintenance Company $AIR https://t.co/y3DZLQRhaO
Barbarian Capital on X
Vail Resorts Loss Widens After a Year of Tough Weather $MTN https://t.co/8UH8LNPKDb
Barbarian Capital on X
Raytheon Gets $20.7 Billion Contract to Accelerate AMRAAM Missile Production $RTX https://t.co/qzm27WPV1F
Investor Letters
All letters- Asset Value Investors Ltd August 2026 MSLOF $15B
- Guinness Global Investors August AFL $56BCRM $193B
- Protean Funds August 2026 BVNKF $2.5B
- Janus Henderson Investors July 2026 KLAC $270BMCK $107B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. July 2026 ALM $3.9BJXN $8.8B
- Asset Value Investors Ltd July 2026 UNVGY $26B
- PenderFund Capital Management Ltd. July 2026 VNP $2.1B
- Kernow Asset Management July 2026 CKNHF $2BCMCX $2.5B
Uber: The Aggregator on Trial
Uber's $193 billion in gross bookings and $10 billion in free cash flow contrast with modest stock gains as autonomous vehicles and…
Veeva Systems (NYSE: VEEV) Stock Rating: Distribute After Q2 FY1/27 - Significant Gains To Bank
Veeva Systems moved VEEV to Distribute at $277 after a 41% gain in less than two months, despite Q2 revenue growth of 18% and 45% EBITDA…
Quick Value #332 - Gentherm (THRM)
Gentherm’s Oct. 1 Reverse Morris Trust with Modine adds commercial and off-highway operations, leaving THRM at 7.4x pro forma EBITDA with…
Inside AMD and Meta’s Equity-for-Compute Deal
AMD granted Meta warrants for nearly 10% of its shares tied to a 6 GW compute commitment, creating roughly $100 billion of potential…
RTX Corporation: Improving Margins Could Unlock More Value From Its Backlog
RTX’s $289 billion backlog and margin gains at Raytheon and Collins support its 2026 sales target of $95–96 billion, while Pratt & Whitney…
Vishal Jadaun 3 clicks
On’s Premium Playbook
On Holdings targets premium growth through 2029, using LightSpray soccer cleats and higher pricing, with ASPs rising from $145 to $170…
Oracle: Here's How Badly The AI Trade Could Go (Rating Downgrade)
Oracle faces rising credit and spending risks as OpenAI-linked backlog, Project Jupiter delays and higher component costs threaten FY27…
Tech Stock Pros 2 clicks
The Monday Morning Briefing: Micron and Nike Earnings on Deck
Micron and Nike earnings headline a weekly briefing featuring Exor’s NAV discount, Meta’s Muse agent and Bellway’s UK housing valuation.
Campbell's: Profit Continues To Fall, But The Stock Is Becoming Interesting
Campbell’s $500 million savings program and Rao’s growth could lift EBIT despite weak FY2027 guidance, while volume declines and inflation…
Investor Overview 
An open letter to Senator Elizabeth Warren
NAIC oversight missed Delaware Life’s $13.34 billion affiliated-bond exposure and permits capital treatment that props up Brighthouse’s…
RSI · long Rush Street Interactive INC
Rush Street Interactive (RSI) is presented as a long investment idea.
Ferrari Exploratory Report
Ferrari sells about 13,000 vehicles annually, generating €7 billion of revenue and 28% operating margins; its shares trade at 32 times…
Evolution: 4Q25 Business Update
Evolution's fourth-quarter revenue fell 4% as Asia cyber disruption and European channelization outweighed U.S.
2026: Radio silence, software setbacks and more from me in 2026
RELX and Sage have fallen 46% and 35% as markets label them AI losers, creating potential value opportunities alongside risks of genuine…
My Biggest Position: A Monopoly Priced for Failure
A former value-investor darling, down 50%, pairs a monopoly with a recurring-revenue razor-and-blade business; debt paydown, margin…
Mispriced Kalshi Contract: Snapchat Family Center
Kalshi’s 87% odds of “Family Center” on Snap’s earnings call far exceed its 2.9% historical mention rate and a 15–20% street-adjusted…
CrowdStrike: A Glass DeathStar during SaaSmageddon | Short Thesis
CrowdStrike faces a renewal cliff after its July 2024 outage, with Microsoft Defender bundling, litigation, SEC and DOJ scrutiny, and a…
Portfolio Update January 2026
DInvests sold Thermo Fisher, Dollar General, Dollar Tree and Edwards Lifesciences, then bought Pool Corp and Kraft Heinz while adding to…
Meta: 4Q25 Business Update
Meta’s 4Q25 revenue rose 24% as AI lifted ad performance, but 2026 costs are guided up about 41% and capex to $115–135 billion.
How We Made 233% Trading a Starbucks Condiment Bar
A Kalshi contract on whether Starbucks would mention “condiment bar” on its earnings call rose from 30 cents to $1 after the term went…
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