Friday, September 25, 2026

The Enron-Era Tricks Are Back in AI: How These Companies Are Hiding Their Debt | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman says AI companies are reviving Enron-era off-balance-sheet and circular financing, alongside concerns around Oracle and Blue Owl.

META $1.8TORCL $429B

Steve Eisman Sep 25 6 clicks

Sep 25 RDDT $31B

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Hated Moats 8 clicks

Sep 25 META $1.8T

The Agents Revolt

Net Interest 7 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Feb 5 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 2 clicks

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@catechwilliams Dec 19 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@catechwilliams Nov 13 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.

@catechwilliams Nov 13 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.

@catechwilliams Oct 9 5 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$AS 50x P/E levered retail roll-up w only one decent asset (Arc’teryx). Stagnating in the US, nearly fully-penetrated in China. >$500 jackets didn’t work for $GOOS in Asia. Arc already bigger. Hyper promotional mgmt sent the stock skyward. This is going to be an epic crash.

@IdeaBrunchEmail Oct 6 1 click

Idea Brunch on X

Idea Brunch with @Derek_K_Brown of Dardanelles Capital Tickers mentioned include $FLUT and $ELF https://t.co/RqbtxVhwEo

@catechwilliams Sep 23 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$CVGW In MRQ benefited from temp avocado price spike and 1-time F/X add-back. Volumes have been declining LDD for the last 3Qs ($CMG shifting suppliers). DOJ investigation continues. Prices & earnings reverting lower. Commodity distributor trading at 30x P/E is not sustainable.

Oklo: Shares Have Plunged, But I'm Still Bearish

Oklo shares have fallen 77% since October 2025 as commercialization slips beyond 2027, revenue estimates fall and dilution continues.

OKLO $6.4B

Ian Bezek Sep 25 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/25/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Ralph Lauren’s $1 billion distribution pullback, Peloton’s $2,195 foldable treadmill and $800 million…

RL $22BPTON $2.2B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 25 6 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #15: Rocket Companies (RKT)

Rocket Companies combines Redfin, Rocket Mortgage and Mr. Cooper into an end-to-end homeownership platform, adding mortgage servicing fees…

RKT $33B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 25 7 clicks

Eckert & Ziegler: The Pick-and-Shovel Supplier of the Radiopharma Boom – Finally at a Fair Price

Eckert & Ziegler trades near €12, about 14 times expected earnings, as its isotope supply business expands with radiopharma demand despite…

NVS $272B

Substack von Philipp Sep 25 4 clicks

Buffett's Succession Plan Shows What Makes Berkshire Hathaway Unique

Berkshire Hathaway's succession elevates Greg Abel to CEO and Howard Buffett to chairman, reinforcing its acquisition, buyback and…

BRK.A $1.1T

Jim Sloan Sep 25 7 clicks

Ouster (NASDAQ: OUST) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Ouster began coverage at Accumulate as lidar revenue rose 56% in Q2, while annual cash burn near $80 million has driven an 86% share-count…

OUST $2.9B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 25 8 clicks

Research & Analysis: The Aaon Group (NASDAQ: AAON)

AAON's BASX data-center cooling business targets $1 million to $1.5 million per megawatt, with new capacity and backlog conversion expected…

AAON $7.2B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 25 9 clicks

Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics

Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and…

FN $18BCIEN $63B

Aurelion Research Sep 24 5 clicks

Oracle: Hyperscaler or Neocloud? A Look into Q1 FY2027

Oracle’s Q1 FY2027 AI infrastructure push relies on leasing, debt, customer prepayments and OpenAI’s Stargate project, resembling a…

ORCL $429B

Kakashii's Materials Sep 24 4 clicks

Honeywell: Post-Spin Growth Story Is Just Getting Started

Honeywell is refocusing on automation after its Aerospace and Advanced Materials spinoffs, with a 1.1x book-to-bill ratio, raised guidance…

HON $66B

Gen Alpha Sep 24 1 click

Capital Cycle IQ & the Forensic Files of the Big 5 Hyperscalers

Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta and Oracle have $3 trillion of commitments and are driving net investment to 2.07% of GDP, reviving…

MSFT $3.9TAMZN $2.7T

Cassandra Unchained Sep 24 6 clicks

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

FWONK $24B

Open Insights Sep 24 7 clicks

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

ASML $693BAMAT $404B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 24 5 clicks

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

C Jessen Sep 24 4 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 17 clicks

Atlassian: A $140 Billion Market Growing At 14% Annually Creates A Massive Opportunity

Atlassian targets a $140 billion market growing 14% annually, with Rovo reaching 5 million monthly active users and assisted actions rising…

TEAM $52B

Muhammad Cheema Sep 24 1 click

[scuttleslops] AAPL, SHOP, Databricks, Lonza

Apple has ceded frontier AI to partners like Google while planning AI-native glasses, camera-equipped AirPods and a smart-home hub over the…

AAPL $4.9T

scuttleblurb Sep 24 9 clicks

Navios Maritime Partners: Significant Upside Still Ahead

Navios Maritime Partners targets $150-plus per unit by late 2027 as dry-bulk cargo demand, fleet scarcity and $200 million of buybacks…

NMM $2.7B

J Mintzmyer Sep 24 2 clicks

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.6B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 16 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

MU $1.2TADI $197B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 6 clicks

Friday, September 25, 2026

catechwilliams on X

Voss Capital on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Idea Brunch on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 92

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 44 of 216

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors