Thursday, September 24, 2026

Ciena & Fabrinet: The Road Ahead for Optics

Ciena and Fabrinet benefit as AI clusters require high-speed optics within and between data centers, through networking systems and contract manufacturing respectively.

FN $18BCIEN $63B

Aurelion Research Sep 24 3 clicks

Sep 24 ORCL $429B

Oracle: Hyperscaler or Neocloud? A Look into Q1 FY2027

Kakashii's Materials 3 clicks

Sep 24 MSFT $3.9T

Capital Cycle IQ & the Forensic Files of the Big 5 Hyperscalers

Cassandra Unchained 4 clicks

From X

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 12 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

@CapitalVoss Jan 29 1 click

Voss Capital on X

The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken). https://t.co/zxTIFVgn1s

@catechwilliams Dec 19

catechwilliams on X

$NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@StockJabber Thank you. As a read on $PLUS Q3 is tracking in October, $CSCO just reported -23% sales in networking (products account for ~50% of $PLUS revenue) for the Oct quarter-end. Further confirmation that PLUS Q3 is going to be ugly and no turnaround in sight.

@catechwilliams Nov 13 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating, sales -14% y/y in Q2, noted Q3 not improving yet implied FY guide is for flat sales (downward revisions to come). Margins benefitted from 1-time financing segment gain-on-sale. Still trading at a premium to higher quality industry leader CDW, makes zero sense.

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

FWONK $24B

Open Insights Sep 24 4 clicks

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

ASML $693BAMAT $404B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 24 2 clicks

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

FLY $3.5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 24 15 clicks

[scuttleslops] AAPL, SHOP, Databricks, Lonza

Apple has ceded frontier AI to partners like Google while planning AI-native glasses, camera-equipped AirPods and a smart-home hub over the…

AAPL $4.9T

scuttleblurb Sep 24 7 clicks

Navios Maritime Partners: Significant Upside Still Ahead

Navios Maritime Partners targets $150-plus per unit by late 2027 as dry-bulk cargo demand, fleet scarcity and $200 million of buybacks…

NMM $2.7B

J Mintzmyer Sep 24 1 click

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

ZIM $3.6B

Calvin Blissett Sep 23 13 clicks

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

MU $1.2TADI $197B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 23 4 clicks

Intel: The Party Is Only Getting Started

Intel reported Q2 2026 revenue of $16.13 billion, up 25.4%, as AI PCs and data-center CPUs lifted margins and narrowed foundry losses.

INTC $598B

Danil Sereda Sep 23 2 clicks

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

FOUR $3.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 22 17 clicks

MBGL · long

Mobility Global INC -spn

Mobility Global Inc. will become a standalone public company through S&P Global’s spin-off of its Mobility division.

MBGL $5.3B

Value Investors Club Jun 25 2 clicks

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…

CRWV $46B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Sep 22 9 clicks

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

TXN $260BON $31B

Cestrian Capital Research Sep 22 6 clicks

Monte Investments Market Brief Vol. CXXVIII

Firefly Aerospace grew backlog to $1.5 billion, won two 2028 lunar missions and acquired Space-ng for autonomous navigation across its Blue…

FLY $3.5B

Monte Independent Investment Research Sep 22 8 clicks

Cellebrite (CLBT) Management Meeting: The Road Ahead

Cellebrite converts more than 110% of EBITDA into free cash flow and trades at 12.5 times free cash flow, with management targeting 15% or…

CLBT $2.9B

Aurelion Research Sep 22 9 clicks

Abbott: Quality Remains, But Exact Sciences Has Raised The Bar For Buy

Abbott’s Exact Sciences acquisition raises leverage, leaving Medical Devices’ 8% growth and 33.9% margin to carry cash flow until…

ABT $170B

PV Research Sep 22 1 click

Meta's Muse Could be Big Win for Innodata

Innodata's new Meta contract for long-horizon agent personalization ties the data company to Meta's Muse AI assistant, despite Meta's Scale…

INOD $2.2BMETA $1.8T

Hunterbrook Sep 22 11 clicks

Reddit's Valuation Is A Compelling Opportunity: Upgrading To Strong Buy

Reddit’s subreddit-driven communities support targeted advertising, and its 0.3 PEG ratio makes RDDT undervalued, according to the upgrade…

RDDT $31B

Fountainhead Sep 22 3 clicks

Emeth Value Capital’s Andrew Carreon on Shift4 ($FOUR)

Shift4 trades at 6.5 times EBITDA despite 11% organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases reaching a $400 million run rate as…

FOUR $3.1B

Yet Another Value Blog Sep 22 4 clicks

McDonald's Stock Selloff Is Hiding An Even Better Setup

McDonald’s trades at $248 versus a $309.29 intrinsic-value estimate as its U.S.

MCD $166B

Future Stack Investment Sep 22 3 clicks

Thursday, September 24, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Voss Capital on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 92

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 45 of 216

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors