Thursday, September 24, 2026

Formula 1: Liberty Media’s Drive for Success

Liberty Media bought Formula 1 for $4.4 billion in 2017 and monetizes its exclusive commercial rights through racing, media and sponsorship.

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

SA C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

[scuttleslops] AAPL, SHOP, Databricks, Lonza

Apple has ceded frontier AI to partners like Google while planning AI-native glasses, camera-equipped AirPods and a smart-home hub over the…

Navios Maritime Partners: Significant Upside Still Ahead

Navios Maritime Partners targets $150-plus per unit by late 2027 as dry-bulk cargo demand, fleet scarcity and $200 million of buybacks…

NMM $2.6B

SA J Mintzmyer Sep 24 1 click

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

Intel: The Party Is Only Getting Started

Intel reported Q2 2026 revenue of $16.13 billion, up 25.4%, as AI PCs and data-center CPUs lifted margins and narrowed foundry losses.

INTC $631B

SA Danil Sereda Sep 23 2 clicks

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

MIDD · long

Middleby CORP

Middleby trades at about 11 times EBITDA, below its history and peers, as a sharper management focus is expected to address the commercial…

Under The Hood, Novo Nordisk A/S ($NVO)

Novo Nordisk’s GLP-1 franchise transformed obesity treatment, while its valuation framework prices in 17 years of discounted cash flows.

The Consultant’s Dilemma: What AI Actually Does to Accenture ($ACN)

Accenture’s $5.9 billion in FY2025 genAI bookings supports implementation demand, while AI’s automation of junior work threatens the…

Sirius XM (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Sirius XM grew 2025 free cash flow 24% to $1.26 billion as capex peaked, while companion plans revived subscriber additions and debt fell…

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

Future-proofing A Portfolio (An Excerpt From Our Recent Letter)

Eagle Point favors McKesson, AutoZone and other physical-network businesses with durable demand, scale moats and lower disruption risk than…

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

Alta Fox PBH CN Presentation

Premium Brands Holdings faces margin expansion and free-cash-flow growth as a six-year investment cycle ends, while Alta Fox says its…