Thursday, September 24, 2026

Long Opportunities In Semiconductor Capital Equipment Part I - ASML, AMAT, LRCX

Grupo Aeroportuario Del Sureste: Quant Ratings Say Sell, But The Underlying Moat Says Strong Buy

ASR’s $992 million Motiva acquisition broadens its South American airport network after a 25% YTD decline, while its 8.5% FCF yield and…

ASR $6.4B

SA C Jessen Sep 24 3 clicks

Firefly Aerospace q2’26 Earnings Update

Firefly Aerospace ended Q2 2026 with $1.5 billion backlog and a 2.49x book-to-bill ratio, adding lunar, defense and launch contracts for…

Atlassian: A $140 Billion Market Growing At 14% Annually Creates A Massive Opportunity

Atlassian targets a $140 billion market growing 14% annually, with Rovo reaching 5 million monthly active users and assisted actions rising…

TEAM $48B

SA Muhammad Cheema Sep 24

A special situation with a 23% spread (110% IRR) by Q4 2026. Where the worst-case scenario is the deal closing and upside is higher if it doesn’t

ZIM’s proposed deal carries a claimed 23% spread and 110% IRR by Q4 2026, with Q3 and Q4 dividends potentially raising returns if closing…

Research Roundup Vol. LIII

Micron’s customer agreements, Analog Devices’ acquisitions, Ondas’ GATE deal and Baker Hughes’ power systems position them for AI…

SiTime: Wall Street May Be Underestimating Its Growth

SiTime’s MEMS timing portfolio, Renesas acquisition and 1.6T transition are positioned to drive growth and margin expansion as supply…

SITM $20B

SA Gil Rotstein Sep 23 2 clicks

$FOUR: Shift4 at 6.5x EBITDA. Is the organic growth real? | Emeth Value Capital

Shift4 trades at 6.5x EBITDA despite 11% reported organic growth, with Shift4 Dine equipment leases cited as evidence of net-new merchant…

CoreWeave, Inc (CRWV)

CoreWeave funds GPU data-center expansion with debt backed by $104 billion in contracted revenue, while GPU cloud rentals generate roughly…

Analog Semiconductor Smorgasbord, Feat. TXN, ON, VSH

Texas Instruments, ON Semiconductor and Vishay are rated Accumulate on rising robotics demand for analog, power and discrete chips after a…

LULU · long

Lululemon Athletica INC

Lululemon Athletica, a high-end women’s sportswear retailer, is presented as a long investment.

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

Revisiting my Rubrik pitch and what I am doing now after a 100% run

Rubrik, RBRK, has risen more than 100% since a February pitch at $48; the investor updates plans for shares bought at a $53 average.

The Airbnb Blueprint

Airbnb’s Q3 guidance implies 17% TTM GBV growth, while World Cup-driven North American strength may create a difficult Q2 FY27 comparison.

Cerebras Systems, Inc.

Cerebras Systems’ WSE-3 wafer-scale chip targets low-latency AI inference with faster decode than GPU racks, while higher per-token costs…

WD #354: Colombia Earthquake, Software, CIB/AVAL/NU Earnings

Colombia’s earthquake frames risks for Tecnoglass as Grupo Aval, Bancolombia and Nu report strong earnings, including Nu’s 67% EPS growth.

Deep Dive: Uber ($UBER)

Uber generated $52 billion of FY25 revenue and $10 billion of free cash flow as investors weigh whether autonomous vehicles can erode its…

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

Private Equity is coming for Software (NOTW#104)

Silver Lake’s reported talks to buy Workday briefly lifted software stocks, reviving hopes that private equity sees value in beaten-down…

If Everybody Knows It's a Bargain, Where's the Alpha?; Company Updates

Large active managers cluster in Visa, Mastercard, S&P Global, FICO, Alphabet, Meta and Berkshire, challenging alpha in widely owned…