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Wednesday, September 16, 2026

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@BlueDuckCap

BDC on X

$AIRS needs to refi their debt. Its a mega catalyst which we have no reason to believe won't happen. "term sheets on our desk". Been a frustrating stock and mgmt still has a lot to prove. Think they are the right team, but again, show me. GLP1 creating all sorts of new aesthetic demand. ASPS flagged lift/contour as the defining category. Facial fat grafting +39%, brow lift +29%, upper body lift +22%, arm lift +21%, neck lift +21%, thigh lift +20%, facelift +13%, breast lift +8% — broadest gains in the report, tied to post-GLP-1 skin laxity. AIRS has direct shots on goal to address much of this (not all). They also have partnered on AlloClae which looks timely. Checks here are encouraging. Minimally invasive still dominant by volume. Neuromodulators (~50%) and HA fillers (~30%) account for most non-surgical treatment volume — the space AIRS's new AlloClae partnership targets. These new pockets of growth need to offset what was a -1% lipo print in 2025 per ASPS. Still #1 by volume, though. Time to make it happen, Yogi. The opportunity is too big and timely for it to not start showing up. Start by signing those term sheets.
@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

Old KEDM flag Butler National $BUKS continues to perform, and insiders are still adding shares on the open market. The last quarter (ending Jan. 2026) showed very strong, accelerating revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of>40%. As a reminder, Butler has a casino and an aerospace business (because why not). It's mainly the latter that is performing quite well. Plenty of aircraft need (military) modifications. Still 8x LTM EV/EBITDA (though EBITDA can be lumpy), strong margins, ramping cash flow, no coverage.

Investor Letters

All letters

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $641M
Yet Another Value Podcast 3 clicks

Titan Mining Q2 Update

Titan Mining reported Q2 revenue of $25.7 million and adjusted EBITDA of $9.6 million as zinc output rose, while advancing its Kilbourne…

TII $284M
Sylence Capital 4 clicks

Sangamo Bankruptcy (SGMOQ)

Sangamo Therapeutics’ Chapter 11 asset sales leave common equity tied to $100 million in PTC Fabry therapy approval milestones and a…

SGMO $60M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 6 clicks
LWAY · long

Lifeway Foods INC

Lifeway Foods holds 95% market share in kefir, is growing 20% to 35%, and trades at 12 times projected 2027 earnings as its capex cycle…

LWAY $328M
Value Investors Club

Hidden in Plane Sight

An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…

ASLE $260M
The Mikro Kap 3 clicks

RI(N)sing higher

RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.

FF $223M
Treasure Hunting 4 clicks

Clear the DEC?

Diversified Energy (DEC) has paid $21.84 per share in dividends since June 2017 and trades at $13.35 amid a bullish U.S.

DEC $959M
The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

What Amazon Can't Buy

Betterware de Mexico sells locally designed home organizers through direct sellers in informal neighborhoods, generating 67% gross margins;…

BWMX $661M
Phynvesting 1 click

Matan on Stitch Fix

Stitch Fix’s rushed Freestyle pivot cannibalized its profitable Fix business, driving active clients below 3.4 million, quarterly revenue…

SFIX $327M
MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

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