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Wednesday, September 16, 2026

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@BlueDuckCap

BDC on X

This is the fundamental reason we too like $SNAP. And the catalyst now is that a decade of Specs capital deployment with material negative ROE to date is coming to a cross roads. Either Specs shows enough promise, while fully acknowledging that the units sold this season will not be much due to price point/form factor, OR it's a pretty underwhelming event which will raise pressure to guardrail spend going forward. Wildcard would be some sort of partner announcement. We'd love that to be a minority investor in Specs such as $SPCX where we've found a lot of industrial logic. In any event, FCF per share is going up.
@KEDM_COM

KEDM.com on X

Old KEDM flag Butler National $BUKS continues to perform, and insiders are still adding shares on the open market. The last quarter (ending Jan. 2026) showed very strong, accelerating revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of>40%. As a reminder, Butler has a casino and an aerospace business (because why not). It's mainly the latter that is performing quite well. Plenty of aircraft need (military) modifications. Still 8x LTM EV/EBITDA (though EBITDA can be lumpy), strong margins, ramping cash flow, no coverage.

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Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Alarm.com: False Alarm?

Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…

ALRM $2.7B
TSOH Investment Research 1 click

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B
Sylence Capital 1 click

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B
Hated Moats 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B
Net Interest 1 click

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