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Wednesday, September 16, 2026

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BDC on X

$AIRS needs to refi their debt. Its a mega catalyst which we have no reason to believe won't happen. "term sheets on our desk". Been a frustrating stock and mgmt still has a lot to prove. Think they are the right team, but again, show me. GLP1 creating all sorts of new aesthetic demand. ASPS flagged lift/contour as the defining category. Facial fat grafting +39%, brow lift +29%, upper body lift +22%, arm lift +21%, neck lift +21%, thigh lift +20%, facelift +13%, breast lift +8% — broadest gains in the report, tied to post-GLP-1 skin laxity. AIRS has direct shots on goal to address much of this (not all). They also have partnered on AlloClae which looks timely. Checks here are encouraging. Minimally invasive still dominant by volume. Neuromodulators (~50%) and HA fillers (~30%) account for most non-surgical treatment volume — the space AIRS's new AlloClae partnership targets. These new pockets of growth need to offset what was a -1% lipo print in 2025 per ASPS. Still #1 by volume, though. Time to make it happen, Yogi. The opportunity is too big and timely for it to not start showing up. Start by signing those term sheets.
@KEDM_COM 1 click

KEDM.com on X

Deep Sail @DeepSailCapital turns up twice in our Q2 sweep. SK Hynix was one. Celestica $CLS is the bigger bet: Deep Sail initiated $CLS in Q2 and holds it as its largest conviction: after canvassing the whole space, it sees Celestica as the cheapest way to own the AI data-center build-out, with structural margin expansion and design wins secured in 1.6T and co-packaged optics. Deep Sail puts at least three years of runway on the build-out.

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Adobe 3Q26 Update

Adobe’s fiscal 3Q26 revenue grew 13%, while ARR growth slowed to 9.3% excluding Semrush.

ADBE $99B
Speedwell Memos 2 clicks

Alarm.com: False Alarm?

Alarm.com, founded after CEO Steve Trundle’s bad home-security experience, has fallen from $105 in 2020 to about $55, testing whether…

ALRM $2.7B
TSOH Investment Research 1 click

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B
Sylence Capital 1 click

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B
Hated Moats 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B
Net Interest 1 click

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M
Triple S Special Situations Investing 2 clicks

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