Sunday, September 13, 2026

Unpolished Thoughts on Stocks #1

Genius Sports aims to turn official sports data into AI-driven, real-time advertising, with media and ads already about 40% of revenue.

GENI $1.6B

Sylence Capital Sep 13 2 clicks

Sep 13 BKNG $126B

Booking Holdings Deep Dive: An Attractive Setup

Capitalist Letters 4 clicks

Sep 13 SVM $2.7B

Oak Bloke Bonkers Conkers 13th September 2026

The Oak Bloke 3 clicks

From X

@DeepSailCapital Sep 8

Deep Sail Capital on X

Quantum stocks can’t even pump at all anymore. 4% move for $RGTI 2% move in $IONQ Fades all across the group.

@P_Remarks Sep 8

Prepared Remarks on X

On compute, “we still feel really short,” with weekly trade-offs between training, research and serving $orcl https://t.co/JtZ8bzgsuE

@ActAccordingly Sep 8

PAA Research on X

We published an extensive report on our short thesis on $CASY and $MUSA a few weeks ago. In general, people were highly interested in our bearish views on $MUSA, not as much on $CASY. Early days here on our thesis, but so far so good. Comp deceleration across the industry and it's now showing up at $CASY despite the rollout of WINGS!!

@blondesnmoney Sep 8

Cluseau Investments on X

"Fintech" these days is just Billionaires enriching themselves at your expense and acting like they are doing you a favor. Let's be realistic here, Kalshi is just a slightly more efficient bookie and $HOOD, in a literal sense, collects 12.35% of the spread during regular market hours for equity trades. HOOD 606 Report: The payment received by RHS (i) for orders executed between 4:00 a.m. and 8:00 p.m. ET, varies based upon a fixed percentage of the spread between the National Best Bid and National Best Offer for the security at the time of order execution (12.35% of the spread during the regular market hours of 9:30 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET). Sure, there's some innovation, but as soon as a fintech innovates and brings down costs, feels like they immediately pull the ladder up and just try to rent-seek and extract the absolute maximum from clientele, becoming the old guard they used to rail against. Are they really your friend? Nah, just rich guys separating you from your money

@negligible_cap Sep 8

Negligible Capital on X

*GOOGLE, BLACKSTONE VENTURE FACES DELAYS AT DATA-CENTER SITES "Alphabet Inc. and Blackstone Inc.’s new cloud venture has hit delays for major data-center locations that were supposed to run Google’s chips, underscoring the obstacles standing in the way of Big Tech’s AI ambitions." - BN If $GOOG and $BX can’t get by without delays it’s hard to imagine other neoclouds getting by without issues

@SowingAlphaSeed Sep 8 1 click

Farmer on X

Asking Astra why Value shows up as the top factor for $MO, but doesn't show up as a factor for $PM or $BTI at all: https://t.co/xGCtAwuWGt

@Mike10947310 Sep 8

Mike on X

I am not saying $SIF deserves nearly the same multiple at all, but it is surprising to see a comp go for 26x EBITDA when it’s at like… single digits Caveat is SIF hasn’t been focusing on power space (though historically they did play in this space)

@John_Hempton Sep 8

John_Hempton on X

Having a ugly day in markets. The only thing that is working is my (too small) $AMC short. It seems sensible to trade along with Ken and his naked short ladder attacks.

Nintendo: The Software Payoff Is Still Ahead

Nintendo expects software, digital sales and character licensing to drive growth, with FY2027 revenue forecast at ¥2.05 trillion and…

NTDOY $62B

LL Insights Sep 13

AI Terminator Fears Grow & Rates Breach 4.9% | The Weekly Wrap

Ten-year Treasury yields breach 4.9% as Steve Eisman discusses AI fears, OpenAI's price cut, Oracle's 30% revenue growth and Tesla's…

ORCL $446B

Steve Eisman Sep 11 2 clicks

USA Compression: Unlocking Efficiency As It Heads To The Texas Stock Exchange

USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…

USAC $3.8B

Ron Ferrie Sep 11 3 clicks

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

Lululemon’s growth stalled as affordable-luxury apparel brands face fading post-Covid demand, cheap social-media influence and China…

LULU $11BNKE $54B

MBI Deep Dives Sep 11 2 clicks

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Apollo Global Management’s five defining deals, from Executive Life to Intel, built a $1 trillion asset manager spanning insurance and…

APO $74B

Net Interest Sep 11 1 click

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Applied Materials (NASDAQ: AMAT) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY10/26 Earnings - Accumulation Zone And Stop Inside

Applied Materials reported Q3 revenue of $9.1 billion, up 25%, and $2.3 billion in free cash flow as AMAT fell roughly 40% from its June…

AMAT $375B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

Tsakos Energy Navigation: Watch Those Oil Prices

Tsakos Energy Navigation benefits from higher oil prices and stronger tanker sentiment, but faces long-term demand destruction and…

TEN $1.6B

Long Player Sep 11

HNRG · long

Hallador Energy CO

Hallador Energy, a coal producer, is pitched as a long based on five value components and potential 2026 catalysts.

HNRG $708M

Value Investors Club Jun 15 3 clicks

Keurig Dr Pepper: Beverage Momentum And JDE Peet's Synergies Support A Buy

Keurig Dr Pepper’s U.S. beverage growth and JDE Peet’s acquisition support earnings growth as coffee-cost and tariff pressures ease.

KDP $42B

Value Capital Research Sep 12 1 click

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

One of the Best Business Models in the World Just Went on Sale

AppLovin trades at 18 times EBITDA after a 57% drop, despite 84% EBITDA margins, rapid growth and a machine-learning advertising platform.

APP $104B

The Value Road Sep 10 5 clicks

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

Sunday, September 13, 2026

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