Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.
@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr
Not bad earnings at $MCCK. Gold book took a mark to market loss. But core business is kicking at. Revenues up 8.9%. Gross margins expanding. Customer deposits and deferred revenue up 33%. Back out all the cash and gold and this is trading at a dirt cheap multiple.
Honestly $C is pretty fairly valued now, I don't there is much upside at all aside from the entire sector carrying it up. $OPBK continues to be heavily disrespected, think we are entering the "on par with peers phase" where CUBI and OPBK and ASIC have a chance to trade in line with competitors. Implies 20-30% upside on each, but will take some time.
Blackjack 21 hits 36% YTD, 29% above financials. Performance would've been a bit better actually, but I paper handed $WSBF, $HRTG, and $SNEX. Next week, will be adding a small cap financials name to the list, first new member of the Blackjack 21 in months. Below book, repurchasing shares, extremely niche, it'll be a fun one.
I’ve always felt that shares outstanding in microcaps tells you about the soul of Mgmt. So I instantly connected with @bmb21 when he made a similar comment pitching $AMNF at @MSmicrocaps summer virtual: “Share count tells you how Mgmt. feels about the sanctity of the shares.” https://t.co/88XsqxHLKB
Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC
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