Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.
Is contextlogic interesting/worth digging into? $LOGC. I really like the Salt acquisition but seems like they paid a rich multiple for it. Fear this will end up in the graveyard of mini-Berkshires over time
Little perplexed you get more negative redemption stories around private credit, and the market only sells off the the the pure play PE companies. First derivatives are up? $MFC $FG $MET $WAL all have sizable exposure to the same asset class.....
FWIW, I'm pretty sure Doug Lebda of $TREE experienced a (-95%)-(-99%) drawdown in 2000, 2008, and again post COVID-19. The company was purchased by $IAC and then spun out again after the dotcom bubble burst. Of course that implies that $TREE was a 10+ bagger on two separate occasions. RIP Mr. Lebda.
$PRIM printed above $200 just six weeks ago. This is one violent tape.
If it gets to mid to low 20s copart $Cprt seems like a good bet. Insurance mkt will harden and yes they have competition but duopolistic markets are still attractive and at 3-3.5x sales I think you’re good
Almost a 40% spread opened up since the beginning of June (3 weeks ago!) between $MSFT and $SOXX Nearly 60% on $CRM and $SOXX... Buckle up
@snack8812 @CalgaryLeveen Hi - could you explain why you think the "admin in office" is against $NN? Is this just because of the OIRA delay? Or are there other reasons? TYIA
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Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…
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