Saturday, September 12, 2026

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

Sep 11 APO $74B

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Net Interest 1 click

From X

@TheBenSchmark Sep 12

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Sometimes a simple chart and pun captures the entire thesis. Just go with the $FLO and make bread. https://t.co/VyIYTaVRF1 https://t.co/lGn8FncexY

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@stockgutter Sep 11

SG on X

$EVTL Reducing the exercise price of options awards is so grifty. It eliminates the alignment with shareholders those grants were intended to create in the first place. In the end this dogshit, low-governance co is going to zero so it may not matter here but as a general proposition don't do this!

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

@kab604 Sep 11

kab60 on X

@MananaInvesting @AKWilk I'd love for you to lay out the math. Only expensive if you don't understand where Blackrod takes the company (or think it's a dud). It's cheaper than the financially engineered hodgepodge of assets Adam has assembled. $GFR obviously a magnet to value bois/generalists.

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

HWKN · short

Hawkins INC

Hawkins (HWKN) faces margin pressure as cost increases and municipal budget constraints weigh on its water-chemical distribution business.

HWKN $2.6B

Value Investors Club May 30 1 click

Inflection Points for XPEL and Douglas Dynamics (XPEL, PLOW)

Douglas Dynamics’ Attachments revenue rose 67% in Q1 as heavy snowfall drove parts sales and dealer restocking.

XPEL $1.2BPLOW $920M

Hidden Gems Investing May 12 1 click

[RDVT] Red Violet and the Identity Resolution Mafia

Red Violet CEO Derek Dubner and CSO Ole Poulsen came from Hank Asher’s Seisint, a Florida identity-resolution data-mining firm.

RDVT $1.2B

scuttleblurb May 12 1 click

Quick Value #314 - New Enviri (NVRI)

Enviri plans to sell Clean Earth for $3.04 billion, distribute $14.50-16.50 a share, and spin New Enviri at an implied 4-5.5x EBITDA ahead…

NVRI $579M

Value Don't Lie May 11

How I’m Voting My MAPS Shares & What Other Cannabis CEOs Are Saying About Generational Federal Reform

MAPS shareholder will vote 1.75 million shares against declassification, say-on-pay and auditor ratification, and withhold from all…

MAPS $56M

Rod’s Ruminations May 8

OXY's Q1: The Good, The Bad, and The Pretty

Occidental Petroleum’s Q1 2026 execution and operating outperformance were offset by a costly management derivative misstep.

OXY $59B

Open Insights May 8

Bye the Index

Nasdaq’s QQQ amassed $456 billion through aggressive marketing, turning index licensing into a larger earnings source than trading, data…

NDAQ $51B

Net Interest May 8

Under The Hood: Domino's Pizza - $DPZ

Domino’s 99%-franchised model converts global retail sales into royalties and supply-chain revenue, but $4.8 billion of debt and mature…

DPZ $9.8B

Bearhold Research May 8 2 clicks

Will the real AI company please stand up?

Entravision’s Smadex and Adwake mobile ad platform generated $154 million in Q1 2026 revenue, up 204% year over year, using proprietary…

EVC $727M

First Strike Research May 6

Bumble Q1: A Hated Stock, a Product Rebuild, and a 30% Owner Earnings Yield

Bumble’s Q1 revenue fell 14% to $212.4 million as paying users dropped 21%, while marketing cuts lifted EBITDA margin to 39% ahead of a Q4…

BMBL $376M

Modern Value Investing May 6

Saturday, September 12, 2026

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Fierce_beast on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

SG on X

Negligible Capital on X

kab60 on X

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