Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.
Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.
Why is $GTLB up ah? Expense dollar growth far outstripped revenue dollar growth? and 117 NR at this valuation is not impressive, let alone the 50% increase in SBC yoy.....
$QXO finally in my valuation zone, acquired shares this afternoon. Rates present a challenge, soft commodities surging and geopolitical could further stress inflation/yields but you usually do not get deal when everything is firing on all cylinders
$FFH.TO finally overtaking $MKL on P/B (M2M value not included) "Fairfax currently has roughly $5 billion of excess fair value over carrying value in its associate and market-traded consolidated holdings—about $250 per share pre-tax." - @VikingVan100 https://t.co/fjSNi41Xaj
Par example, $NN is a lottery ticket, there is no way it doesn’t get “positioned” again into the high teens around the next major catalyst… https://t.co/cqKmEmBS31
@GoodHouseCap Maybe the bigger question is.... if PCI went bankrupt so suddenly.... what about the other competitors? Maybe $PBI doesn't need to acquire anyone. It's increasingly becoming a "K" business. Those with scale are killing it and those without are (or soon will be) bankrupt.
@GoodHouseCap Yes and will almost purely be incremental profit. $PBI has all the fixed costs and plenty of capacity - the incremental variable costs to take on the volume will be miniscule.
@DeepSailCapital $ASAN has been caught up in the software bounce despite being a pretty obvious AI loser and having none of the qualities that make the other software companies good.
TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…
Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…
Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…
NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…
Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.
Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…
Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.
Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…
BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…
TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…
UHS · long Universal Health Services is a profitable hospital operator whose $146 share price over-discounts an earnings-collapse scenario.
USA Compression targets nearly 30% full-year EBITDA growth as JW Power synergies, telemetry and maintenance reduce costs; its units yield…
Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.
Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…
Dyne Therapeutics fell 16% after Novartis’ HARBOR failure raised doubts that RNA-targeting biomarker gains translate into functional…
ContextLogic will acquire specialty-solvent maker gChem for $850 million, funded by a $650 million rights offering and $250 million of…
Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…
Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…
Tecnoglass could recover tariff- and FX-hit margins as U.S. blanket tariffs on Colombian goods lift.
Scholar Rock’s apitegromab could become the first muscle-targeted SMA therapy by September 2026, but manufacturing setbacks and a…
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