Saturday, September 12, 2026

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

Sep 11 APO $74B

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Net Interest 1 click

From X

@Fierce__beast Sep 12

Fierce_beast on X

For $CASY, let's say it grows earnings roughly 6% on average for the next 20 years, then 3% terminally. Maybe its 9% for the next 5 years, but gradually moves toward something like maturity of 3%, average let's say is 6%. What multiple would you currently pay on that earnings stream? Personally, i would pay no more than 25x for this. Add other considerations to the business, maybe you think it will grow faster or longer, adjust your multiple as you prefer.

@TidefallCapital Sep 12

Trevor Scott on X

my mistake $ADBE has a Nov year end. so it's 12x nov 2027, 14x nov 2026.

@finphysnerd Sep 12 1 click

Myles on X

I feel $GEO is a pretty decent short here. It's not cheap, and I might be politically biased, but I think it's hard to see Republicans getting many wins in the midterms, which the market will likely extrapolate to 2028.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

@KEDM_COM Sep 11 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Deckers Outdoor $DECK increased its buyback authorization by $3.5bn to $5bn. Not bad for a ~$11bn market cap. And it makes sense: msd-hsd topline growth, >20% EBITDA margins, over 70% FCF conversion, strong and rapidly increasing net cash position. They bought back ~6.5% of s/o last year. 10x EV/EBITDA seems too low.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

The VMS thesis: "AI is actually a tailwind" "I think most people -this is not a fact in dispute that AI is TAM expanding for software. The debate is who's going to be the claim that TAM expansion. We have a strong thesis that incumbents have a high, high, high right to win." $ROP

@TidefallCapital Sep 11 1 click

Trevor Scott on X

"I've never been more excited than I have in my career about the opportunity in front of us with AI. We are literally delivering a button when you press it magic happens. And I've always been in like the boring part of software and all of a sudden, software is not boring." $ROP https://t.co/AIQZYxhy8R

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

The Williams Companies: A Tough Competitor Tackles The Northeast

Williams Companies faces a revoked Northeast pipeline permit while pursuing growth through Momentum Midstream, Gulf export access and…

WMB $87B

Long Player Sep 10

TransDigm is still in it for the money

TransDigm’s sole-source aerospace parts generate roughly 70% aftermarket margins, with 90% of revenue tied to owned IP and 80% from…

TDG $61B

scuttleblurb Sep 10 1 click

Gaming And Leisure Properties: Guilty By Association With VICI

Gaming and Leisure Properties raised AFFO guidance and dividends after Q2, trading at 10.2 times forward AFFO with an 80% payout ratio and…

GLPI $12BVICI $26B

Dividend Collection Agency Sep 10

Quick Value #330 - Deckers Outdoor (DECK)

Deckers Outdoor has fallen about 60% from its late-2024 peak and trades at 11x earnings as HOKA growth slows.

DECK $11B

Value Don't Lie Sep 9 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] UNP-NSC merger, HEI, NVDA, AVGO, DG, DLTR

Union Pacific’s $85 billion Norfolk Southern merger pitch centers on a coast-to-coast rail network that cuts interchange delays and wins…

NSC $71B

scuttleblurb Sep 9 3 clicks

Lululemon: Deep Dive Analysis

Lululemon’s Q2 revenue fell 4% and Americas comparable sales 12%, as markdowns, tariffs and activewear rivals pressure its premium apparel…

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 8 5 clicks

P&C Stocks Worth Owning: The AI Hedge with Ryan Tunis | The Real Eisman Playbook Episode 74

Ryan Tunis discusses P&C insurers, favoring Travelers over Chubb in a soft commercial market and calling AIG a near-book-value self-help…

TRV $79BAIG $39B

Steve Eisman Sep 7 6 clicks

Pinterest: Underlying Growth Remains Stronger Than The Market Thinks

Pinterest’s Q2 showed reaccelerating North American growth, while weaker international trends, AI-related engagement risks and elevated…

PINS $11B

Richard Durant Sep 7 2 clicks

SIRI · long

Sirius Xm Holdings INC

SiriusXM, SIRI, combines a 32% EBITDA margin with 3.6x net leverage and a 16% free-cash-flow margin despite elevated capex.

SIRI $9.4B

Value Investors Club Jun 2 1 click

Apollo and what even is private credit?

Apollo’s Marc Rowan argues private-credit risk depends on underwriting, seniority, leverage and diversification, not whether a bank or fund…

APO $74B

scuttleblurb Jun 19 1 click

Weekend Digest #346 (AVAL, SpaceX QQQ & Passive Indexing, CBOE Vs. Kalshi)

Grupo Aval has doubled from entry, with further upside tied to Colombia’s new government.

AVAL $6BCBOE $28B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 15 1 click

Quick Value #318 - Campbell's (CPB)

Campbell's trades at 10-11x earnings and a 7% yield after shares fell over 50%, while 4x leverage, weaker volumes and margin pressure…

CPB $6B

Value Don't Lie Jun 15

What I've Been Reading

Yesway, Dollar General and Expedia feature in a research roundup spanning convenience retail, discount stores and AI-driven travel search.

DG $28BEXPE $34B

Stock Thoughts Jun 15

The Cheapest Toll Road in the AI Economy?

A U.S. last-mile telecom network trades at 3.9x trailing earnings and 5.7x TEV/EBITDA, with AI traffic growth, capex normalization, merger…

CHTR $15B

Modern Value Investing Jun 14

ASR: Sureste Airports Soaring To 50%+ Upside, Market Is Missing The New Assets

Sureste Airports’ 20-airport Motiva acquisition and U.S. concessions are set to lift EBITDA, while shares trade at 7x forward EBITDA.

ASR $6.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Jun 14

Under The Hood - Rollins ($ROL)

Rollins ($ROL) pairs automatically renewing pest-control contracts with route density and family-business acquisitions, producing 24…

ROL $16B

Bearhold Research Jun 14

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Single Stock Spotlight #9: Fiserv (FISV)

Fiserv trades below 7 times 2026 earnings after a 60% decline, as new management resets guidance and seeks to stabilize its banking…

FISV $26B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Jun 9

Saturday, September 12, 2026

Fierce_beast on X

Trevor Scott on X

Myles on X

Trevor Scott on X

Negligible Capital on X

KEDM.com on X

Trevor Scott on X

Trevor Scott on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 91

YouTube 4

Blogs 12

Seeking Alpha 29 of 158

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors