Friday, September 11, 2026

Lululemon: The 15-Minute Thesis

Lululemon’s North American sales, margins and legging demand are falling as Alo and Vuori gain share, leaving its brand moat and depressed valuation in question.

LULU $11B

Hated Moats Sep 11 2 clicks

Sep 11 LULU $11B

Why “Affordable Luxury” Doesn't Compound

MBI Deep Dives 2 clicks

Sep 11 APO $74B

The Five Deals That Made Apollo

Net Interest 1 click

From X

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

I'll never understand going long $ADBE at 14x '27 when you can buy $CSU.TO at 15x '27. Maybe because it's Canadian listed.

@jawagner92 Sep 11

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

Bought some $CVV <$5. Seems likely to be liquidated. $23.4m cash, $25 to $30m >100k SF building in NY, $3.5 million total liabilities (incl. high end of restr. charges), $1 to $2m wind down. ~$6-7 NAV on hard assets, could be more if they find a buyer for the whole enchilada. https://t.co/55FU3Goi0e

@stockgutter Sep 11

SG on X

$EVTL Reducing the exercise price of options awards is so grifty. It eliminates the alignment with shareholders those grants were intended to create in the first place. In the end this dogshit, low-governance co is going to zero so it may not matter here but as a general proposition don't do this!

@negligible_cap Sep 11

Negligible Capital on X

I simply refuse to believe that $ADBE has over 1 billion monthly active users https://t.co/U7tgBRDhM2

@kab604 Sep 11

kab60 on X

@MananaInvesting @AKWilk I'd love for you to lay out the math. Only expensive if you don't understand where Blackrod takes the company (or think it's a dud). It's cheaper than the financially engineered hodgepodge of assets Adam has assembled. $GFR obviously a magnet to value bois/generalists.

@StockJabber Sep 11

Edwin Dorsey on X

@Mike10947310 What do you think of Edenbrook selling off some of its $FEIM position in August? https://t.co/YOsXfjCnr4

@KEDM_COM Sep 11 2 clicks

KEDM.com on X

Deckers Outdoor $DECK increased its buyback authorization by $3.5bn to $5bn. Not bad for a ~$11bn market cap. And it makes sense: msd-hsd topline growth, >20% EBITDA margins, over 70% FCF conversion, strong and rapidly increasing net cash position. They bought back ~6.5% of s/o last year. 10x EV/EBITDA seems too low.

@TidefallCapital Sep 11

Trevor Scott on X

The VMS thesis: "AI is actually a tailwind" "I think most people -this is not a fact in dispute that AI is TAM expanding for software. The debate is who's going to be the claim that TAM expansion. We have a strong thesis that incumbents have a high, high, high right to win." $ROP

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/11/2026)

TSOH weekly roundup covers Meta’s child-safety settlement, Markel’s leadership transition, Peloton’s gym strategy and an upcoming Alarm.com…

MKL $22BPTON $2.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 11 2 clicks

Independence Realty Buying Centerspace: Opportunity And Implications

Independence Realty Trust is buying Centerspace in stock to create an $8.1 billion apartment REIT, targeting 5% 2027 Core FFO per-share…

IRT $3.8BCSR $935M

Dane Bowler Sep 11

NET Power (NPWR):

NET Power’s $1.80 shares are paired with January $2 covered calls for 40 cents as the company pivots from carbon capture to Permian…

NPWR $161M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Sep 11 2 clicks

Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) Stock Rating: Accumulate - Initiating Coverage

Joby Aviation is initiated at Accumulate after booking $116m of trailing revenue, forming a Toyota manufacturing venture and agreeing to…

JOBY $6.2B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 11

NewtekOne: Pivot Towards Holding Guaranteed Loans A Good Strategy

NewtekOne’s bank conversion and retention of SBA-guaranteed loans target recurring income, while a 6% yield and book-value valuation…

NEWT $343M

Stephen Nemo Sep 11

Sofwave Medical: Lifting Skin While the Beauty Sector Sags

Sofwave Medical grew Q2 revenue 43% as recurring usage fees reached 46% of sales for its non-invasive ultrasound skin-tightening devices.

SOFWF $364M

Substack von Philipp Sep 11 1 click

Zack Buckley on $PRTH's take private

Priority Technology’s chairman offered $6.00 to $6.15 a share to take PRTH private, while Zack Buckley argues Treasury Solutions and…

PRTH $479M

Yet Another Value Podcast Sep 10 3 clicks

Amplitude Q2 26 - Examining The Moat - Rating, Hold.

Amplitude reported Q2 revenue of $100.9 million, up 21%, as agentic AI and LLM vendors challenge the moat of its product analytics software.

AMPL $1.7B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 10

Single Stock Spotlight #14: Kosmos Energy (KOS)

Kosmos Energy (KOS) is pitched as an oil stock poised to outperform if oil stays above $70-$80, supported by a claimed 2 billion-barrel…

KOS $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Sep 10 2 clicks

BridgeBio Pharma: Attruby Peak Sales Set To Rise

BridgeBio Pharma raised Attruby peak-sales guidance as kidney-benefit data, fewer hospital days and competitor setbacks strengthen its…

BBIO $13B

Atticus Analysis Sep 10

STRL · short

Sterling Infrastructure INC

Sterling Infrastructure short pairs STRL against EME and FIX, arguing data-center sitework contractors lack the margin upside available to…

STRL $16B

Value Investors Club May 28

First Takes on GFL's Acquisition of Secure

GFL Environmental is buying Secure Waste at 11x 2026E EBITDA before synergies, adding high-margin produced-water and waste assets with $25…

GFL $15B

310 Value’s Newsletter Apr 13 1 click

Army Training Modernization to Elevate VirTra to Prime Contractor Status

VirTra competes for Army synthetic-training contracts as a $22 billion modernization initiative begins selecting prime contractors.

VTSI $33M

Byron Street Research Apr 13

Under The Hood, ResMed ($RMD)

ResMed’s 30 million connected sleep-apnea patients, recurring masks and software support a data-driven healthcare platform; 11.9% annual…

RMD $33B

Bearhold Research Apr 8 1 click

Performance & Portfolio Update: Q1 2026

Portfolio update reports a 20.5% Q1 loss, led by WeightWatchers’ 61% decline, while adding Bumble, Oscar and Shift4.

BMBL $376MOSCR $9.9B

Modern Value Investing Apr 8

Single Stock Spotlight #6: Huntsman (HUN)

Huntsman’s $800-$900 million mid-cycle EBITDA and 8-10x historical EV/EBITDA imply $30-$40 per share, versus roughly $13, after a chemicals…

HUN $1.6B

Hidden Rock Capital's Newsletter Apr 8

Updates: Judges Scientific, Jet2, XPEL (JDG, JET2, XPEL)

Judges Scientific reported 6% organic revenue growth, but US sales fell 22%; NIH funding release and a Geotek coring expedition are its key…

XPEL $1.2B

Hidden Gems Investing Apr 7 1 click

Why Nike ($NKE) Won't Make It Into the Bearhold Universe

Nike is excluded from Bearhold’s universe because cultural relevance and consumer taste drive demand, leaving its revenue model less…

NKE $54B

Bearhold Research Apr 5 1 click

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $27B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $4.2B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

Friday, September 11, 2026

Trevor Scott on X

Odd Lot Arbitrageur on X

SG on X

Negligible Capital on X

kab60 on X

Edwin Dorsey on X

KEDM.com on X

Trevor Scott on X

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