Thursday, September 10, 2026

Celsius: The Pepsi Put

Celsius holds 20% of the U.S. energy-drink market and 40% of sugar-free sales, but its $1.65 billion Alani acquisition complicates PepsiCo's brand strategy.

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 7 7 clicks

Sep 7 ONON $8.9B

On Holding $ONON: I Bought the Shoes First, Then the Stock

Substack von Philipp 5 clicks

Sep 4 RYN $6B

The Fed Is Going to Lose the Bond Market and I Found the Asset That Gets Paid When It Does

The Value Road 27 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP Sep 10

A Capital on X

$CIFR< $16 👀

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

What I'm carrying into the next list: → Short arithmetic, not narratives → Overleveraged and Industry Bubble earn their slot → Potential Fraud has to clear a much higher bar → Stop re-shorting $RUM Full table and methodology at Shorts & Squeeze Corner.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

The rest of the Sept '25 podium — a full year of holding: $EVTL +88% $SMR +77% $LVWR +76% $OKLO +73% $BTQ +73% $SOUN +69% $RGTI +67% 19 of the 20 names on that list fell. Nineteen.

@DeepSailCapital Sep 10

Deep Sail Capital on X

Biggest miss was $RUM. $RUM was my worst pick on four of five lists. Average: -23%. $PLTR: -13% average across four lists. Right on the multiple, wrong on the stock, repeatedly. $CVNA: -4% average — and I had it tagged Potential Fraud.

@BlueDuckCap Sep 10

BDC on X

$BKD - accelerating occupancy on operational improvements. Red-hot August making up for a softer than expected June. New chief sales officer seems to be doing a solid job. Renovations also helping. Like this management team. It might be an obvious play on Boomers aging but just because its obvious doesn't mean it won't work. The supply/demand mismatch is just econ 101. Lots of room to go if they keep up this solid execution under new management. Higher rates for longer keeps deters new supply too.

@irbezek Sep 10

Ian Bezek on X

@dede_eyesan @shortbus_ace @QuietProsperity $ASR has lower cost of capital than Motiva, and Motiva had too many capital commitments to its CAPEX on other things like the toll roads. Logical transaction for both parties as Motiva didn't have the balance sheet for it, $ASR can pay off the high-interest debt quickly.

@irbezek Sep 10

Ian Bezek on X

Colombia is likely to be extended, especially with Abelardo admin as counterparty. $ASR already in talks to fund Medellin expansion which would lead to new contract. What's wrong with Motiva acquisition? Balance sheet should be levered more, especially when buying at such low multiple. I don't think Cancun has "peaked" quite yet, but it will come at some point probably within 5-10 years. Cabos/PV are decent competition.

@ACapitalLP Sep 10

A Capital on X

@matthew_sigel $CIFR https://t.co/YFrXSMIK8i

TSOH Weekly Roundup (09/04/2026)

TSOH Weekly Roundup covers Costco’s $4.99 chicken supply chain, Celsius’s 20% energy-drink share, and California utilities’ wildfire…

CELH $7.1B

TSOH Investment Research Sep 4 5 clicks

Lumen Technologies - Accumulate $6-$8.30; STP<$6; PT >$12 - Q2 FY12/26 & Outlook

Lumen is shedding consumer lines for data-center services; $9.2 billion of deferred revenue, up 72%, supports its enterprise order book…

LUMN $6.9B

Cestrian Capital Research. Sep 1

MDA Space: Houston, We Have a New Position

MDA Space is added to the Aurelion Index after hiring engineers, signing large contracts and expanding facilities; the thesis cites…

MDA $5.2B

Aurelion Research Sep 1 5 clicks

Cleveland-Cliffs: 2027 Could Be A Very Big Year

Cleveland-Cliffs' 2027 upside depends on contract resets and Stelco earnings, while management directs free cash flow to deleveraging…

CLF $6.9B

The Bullionaire Sep 1 1 click

[WAY – Waystar] Healthcare is a very complicated invoice

Waystar sells revenue-cycle software for a US claims process where roughly 18% of submitted claims are initially denied and healthcare…

WAY $5.1B

scuttleblurb Aug 31 5 clicks

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

Miami International Holdings (MIAX)

Miami International Holdings, the No. 4 options exchange with 17% share, trades at 12x forward EBITDA despite 35% revenue growth, 54%…

MIAX $3.8B

Sylence Capital Aug 27

TPC 2026-08-27

Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger

Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…

TPC $4.5B

The Curious Analyst Aug 27

Quick Value #328 - Cal-Maine Foods (CALM)

Cal-Maine, the largest U.S. egg producer, trades at 1.6x book versus a 2.1x 20-year median, with net cash and investments equal to 23% of…

CALM $3.4B

Value Don't Lie Aug 25

FRMI · long

Fermi INC

Fermi Inc. is presented as a time-sensitive long special situation.

FRMI $3B

Value Investors Club Jun 10

2026 Q2 Earnings Updates: WeightWatchers, Shift4, Bumble

Bumble fell, Shift4 dropped 23% and WeightWatchers rose 18% after earnings, prompting added Shift4 exposure and a sharp WeightWatchers…

FOUR $3.3B

Modern Value Investing Aug 9

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $6.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (08/07/2026)

TSOH’s weekly roundup covers Crocs’ $218.6 million Malta tax savings, Roblox’s forecast bookings decline and Lululemon’s CEO change amid…

CROX $5.9B

TSOH Investment Research Aug 7

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Perimeter 2Q26 Business Recap: Light Fire Safety Earnings, but Strong M&A Execution

Perimeter Solutions’ Fire Safety EBITDA grew 1% as USDA pricing and a DLA inventory transition weighed, while its $120 million Monaco…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Research Aug 5

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

Floor & Decor 2Q26 Business Update: Encouraging Same Store Sales Trends

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2% in 2Q26, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted profit and funded pricing,…

FND $4.9B

Speedwell Research Aug 4

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

WD #352: Situational Awareness, Warsh, ICE/MKTX, Overvalued EM Currencies

ICE's purchase of MarketAxess spotlights takeout risk for value stocks, while the Situational Awareness blow-up, Kevin Warsh's FOMC presser…

MKTX $5.8B

Ian’s Insider Corner Aug 2

Thursday, September 10, 2026

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