Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Sunday, August 30, 2026
Back to today 
From X
marginofdanger on X
$TIPT filed an 8-K this morning where they said they expected the Fortegra deal to close by Friday 5/29. Pro forma TBV is ~$24/share, stock last 17.17.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@scottwilsonUSD @cfrischer1 just more of the same. no effort to explain why US RFID/part 15 needs all of lower 900 when the rest of the world functions fine with much less, & ignoring that $NN is meant to be just part of a system of systems.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@scottwilsonUSD @cfrischer1 Womack is seemingly in $WMT's pocket & claiming $NN will interfere with RFID. However, $NN has the proof that they do not interfere with RFID, so presumably Womack will go away.
Charles Frischer on X
@scottwilsonUSD $NN I think there will be a solution that works for all parties. The country needs our spectrum.
Charles Frischer on X
$NN At this point in the process, it doesn't really matter if the NPRM drops in June, July or August. The value of spectrum has dramatically changed over the last 12 months. Direct to device with satellite companies like SpaceX and Amazon have become critical buyers of spectrum.
Charles Frischer on X
$NN Waiting a few extra months to get the NPRM doesn't matter compared to the ultimate value of the spectrum. Plus the NN spectrum can/will be used for many additional vital issues like IOT, drones and other AI uses.
Charles Frischer on X
$NN Finally, check out the comments recently made by Anterix regarding how they are thinking about the value of their spectrum. The numbers are much higher than I had ever imagined. I am long a bit of $ATEX. NN spectrum is far more powerful than the low band spectrum held by ATEX
catechwilliams on X
$POET $2.5B market cap Canada-based (formerly TSXV-listed) semi component designer. Perennially on the verge of commercialization ($1.4M LTM sales, hemorrhaging cash). Heavily promoted into a $400M offering on 5/18. Dubious order w related party, FEOC, PFIC, among many issues.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 082920 $946MVVVNF $1.7B
- Protean Funds July 2026 STOR-B $1.7BTRUE-B $615M
- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.4BDGXX $415M
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6BBRSL $1.9B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter ANAB $1.6BBUR $873M
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 NE $7.1B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 GTLB $8.2BMIPS $1B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 ACI $5.9BCNX $4.9B
TPC 2026-08-27 Tutor Perini: Q2 2026 Made My Strong Buy Case Stronger
Tutor Perini’s Q2 revenue rose 19% to $1.64 billion as higher-margin megaprojects lifted construction income 54%, prompting higher 2026 EPS…
The Curious Analyst 
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
PGY 2026-08-19 Pagaya Technologies: A Fast-Growing Industry Disruptor Trading At A P/E Of 6.6x
Pagaya Technologies reported Q2 2026 network volume of $3.54 billion, 19% revenue growth and 99% adjusted net-income growth, while trading…
Akim Guerreiro 
Jumia
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
Stock Trade Compilation Diez
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
CNR · long Core Natural Resources INC
Core Natural Resources is a US metallurgical and thermal coal producer formed in January 2025 through the merger of CONSOL Energy and Arch…
RR 2026-08-29 Richtech Robotics: An Easy Pass Based On Lackluster RaaS Growth Quality
Richtech Robotics faces 9.5% revenue growth, 159% higher OPEX and a RaaS contract pipeline that fell from $6.6 million to $2.1 million.
Andres Veurink 1 click
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove
Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…
DEC-laration of independence
Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
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- 1851 Capital
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