Saturday, August 29, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 20 ELALF $3.2B

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

Yet Another Value Podcast 12 clicks

Aug 20 CCC $3.9B

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

scuttleblurb 17 clicks

From X

@ActAccordingly Jul 21

PAA Research on X

Yeah, $CPB bulls trying to hold the line on the 2002 and 1995 lows. They have some solid brands for sure, but the management is moronic, the board even worse, they have no clue on capital management, and the balance sheet is a disaster. Everything but the last point is an argument for this business to be sold. However, that leverage.... I guess someone can come in and eliminate the dividend which frees up $450MM in FCF. From there you can probably delever this biz 2-3 turns in a few years. Tough sledding, but there's a lot of wasted advertising across this company, that's for sure.

@catechwilliams Jul 21 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$SWIM. Stock has barely budged over the last 2 weeks despite: 1) $PNR pre-announcing pool pump sales -17% and 2) $LESL filing for BK citing slowing new pool demand. Expectation of HSD growth this year are disconnected from reality. Earnings miss and guidance cut likely coming.

@TheBenSchmark Jul 20

JabroniCoin.USD on X

$ACMR https://t.co/7I0HGYPlfP

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 17 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Home BancShares $HOMB hopes to revisit missed M&A opportunity amid stock rebound | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/Mn270s8Si6

@cfrischer1 Jul 17

Charles Frischer on X

$NN Some commentators on this board believe satellite companies have no interest in buying NN 900 MHz spectrum. I think this NPRM for space part 15 for 900 MHz implies the exact opposite is true. I believe satellite companies will show strong interest in NN spectrum.

@cfrischer1 Jul 17

Charles Frischer on X

@vdoubleux1 $NN While we would to have the NPRM already, I understand the company is working with full force towards that goal. CEO has long history of successfully navigating FCC approval process. This is not her first rodeo. She did this for years while working for Charlie Ergen.

@cfrischer1 Jul 17

Charles Frischer on X

@vdoubleux1 $NN The company will and does take calls from investors. This management team has delivered on all fronts. Purchased Telesaurus at a fantastic price, had the FCC do the public comment, had the FCC issue NOI and submit NPRM to OIRA for approval. I think CEO and her team are great

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 17 3 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@cfrischer1 The use cases for satellite part 15 are extremely limited, & to suggest this is bad for $NN is silly. If there is interference or not is the only thing that matters whether on land or in space.

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.3B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

ZETA 2026-08-19

Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)

Zeta Global’s Athena AI superusers grow four times faster, while comprehensive adopters generate 70% of revenue.

ZETA $7.6B

Alpha Line Aug 19 1 click

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $5.3B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

GPK · long

Graphic Packaging Holding CO

Graphic Packaging (GPK) is pitched as a long with $22 fair value, implying roughly 100% upside, based on its low-cost paper-based packaging…

GPK $2.8B

Value Investors Club May 31 2 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $2.1B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $5B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

$CBZ: stop the buybacks and restart the M&A flywheel? | Reference Equity

CBIZ activist Ryan Bunn urges ending buybacks, issuing equity and resuming bolt-on acquisitions to delever after the $2.3 billion Marcum…

CBZ $3B

Yet Another Value Podcast Jul 14 2 clicks

Under The Hood - Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.

Sprouts Farmers Market’s 483-store fresh-food format combines dedicated distribution, curated assortments and long-built site selection,…

SFM $6.4B

Bearhold Research Jul 11 2 clicks

$VEON: a busted EM telecom hiding a 4x? | Samit Umatiya, UIG Funds

VEON’s 84% Kyivstar stake and JazzCash underpin a sum-of-the-parts case for 4x upside, despite its sanctioned shareholder, capital…

VEON $4.8B

Yet Another Value Blog Jul 1 1 click

Pershing Square Challenge 2026 finalists on MSA Safety: a hidden quality compounder? $MSA

MSA Safety’s Pershing Square Challenge finalists pitch gas-detection subscriptions, mandated SCBA replacement cycles and a 2023 liability…

MSA $6.9B

Yet Another Value Blog Jun 30 2 clicks

Under The Hood, Wingstop Inc. ($WING)

Wingstop generates most of its $697 million revenue from franchise royalties across a 3,153-restaurant, 98%-franchised system while…

WING $2.8B

Bearhold Research Jun 28 2 clicks

A Hardware Multiple on a Software Powerhouse

A software powerhouse posts a record quarter while trading at a 52-week low, raising a valuation disconnect between its business model and…

CALX $2.2B

The Value Road Jun 12 5 clicks

Vidrala

Vidrala has grown from a Spanish glass-container maker into a multi-country packaging platform with expanding Latin American exposure.

VDRFF $3.6B

smallvalue. May 19 6 clicks

Saturday, August 29, 2026

PAA Research on X

catechwilliams on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

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