Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Saturday, August 29, 2026
Back to today 
From X
Ian Bezek on X
@WaterworldCapi1 Copying industry best practices from $OKLO https://t.co/VnEtGXDOn0
SG on X
$FLR share count reduction is impressive. Another year or two at this clip could really transform the capital structure. https://t.co/H0a7syQHHb
Maj Soueidan on X
@StableBread Nice summary. Thanks for sharing. I’m somewhat excited about the new CEO hire from the competitor, $CECO, who has actually been winning data center contracts.
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Victory Capital $VCTR is a traditional asset manager that has crushed traditional and alternative asset managers over the last 8 years. Despite being in a “melting ice-cube” industry and not having that much multiple expansion… https://t.co/4uzVT9gRJl https://t.co/rrHsOqxTvM
BDC on X
@BoxLongs They wont close it down. But they could structure something so that $SNAP shareholders no longer footing the bill directly
BDC on X
Subs are the $SNAP inflection nobody has cared about, yet: H/T @Jack64128896 for the find on memories https://t.co/c5FVBZfK4c
Investor Letters
All letters- Alluvial Capital Management Second Quarter 2026 ZEG $5.4BGTX $4.9B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.5BCBZ $3B
- Greenhaven Road Capital second quarter CLBT $2.9BHGTY $4.7B
- First Eagle Investments second quarter 2026 NE $7.1B
- RGA Investment Advisors Q2 2026 GTLB $8.2B
- Southeastern Asset Management 2Q26 ACI $5.9BCNX $4.9B
- Horizon Kinetics 2nd Quarter 2026 LB $6.8BMIAX $3.8B
- Ariel Investments Quarter Ended June 30, 2026 HAE $4.9BMSGE $3.7B
SA 2026-08-20 Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Redfern Research 
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
ZETA 2026-08-19 Zeta Global's AI Story Just Became Measurable (Rating Downgrade)
Zeta Global’s Athena AI superusers grow four times faster, while comprehensive adopters generate 70% of revenue.
Alpha Line 1 click
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove
Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…
Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap
Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…
Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update
Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…
[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND
Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…
EQPT · long Equipmentshare.com INC
EquipmentShare.com, EQPT, is presented as a long idea and potential multibagger following its recent IPO, with a setup compared to Carvana.
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