Friday, August 28, 2026

Meta Buys Away its Distraction at Minimal Cost

Meta’s $18 billion teen-addiction settlement makes $5.3 billion contingent on YouTube and TikTok adopting matching restrictions, while exempting direct messages from usage limits.

META $1.8TRBLX $35B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 28 7 clicks

Aug 28 SNDK $198B

Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 27 UWMC $1.9B

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Yet Another Value Podcast 13 clicks

From X

@eriksen_tim Jul 27 2 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

Cedar Creek Partners Q2 letter released. 12.6% in 1H26 net of fees and expenses. $SODI $EXCE $HRBR $PHIG $ENDI $QUCT $STLE $SLBK $RVRF https://t.co/d794sYsHAT

@TheBenSchmark Jul 27 1 click

JabroniCoin.USD on X

Hmmm so what happens to China WFE and local semicap? $ACMR https://t.co/zCLlueeF3O

@BlueDuckCap Jul 26

BDC on X

I think the worry is that the committed capex toward current RPO could be in excess of the demand that the market will ultimately finance. Demand is there now. But capital financing is getting more expensive and Frontier lab revenues better keep ripping. In $meta case they really need to pivot on their excess capacity

@irbezek Jul 25

Ian Bezek on X

@TidefallCapital I think macro beer is still deeply challenged, though I own a little bit of $TAP and $ABEV. I'm much more confident spirits will recover.

@TheBenSchmark Jul 25

JabroniCoin.USD on X

“Huawei’s report on its progress gave Ding leeway to be more aggressive. He delivered a blunt warning to China’s largest AI users, according to people familiar with the message: Anyone who resisted employing domestic chips was a traitor.” $ACMR https://t.co/2DDOgMTQEW

@BlueDuckCap Jul 24

BDC on X

Remember the good ole days when covering internet meant you just needed to have a view on: - If $GOOGL Search was going to accelerate or decelerate and what the opex was likely to be - $META fxn ad revs...how big a beat? Opex? - $NFLX are they going to beat on subs? - $AMZN AWS to accelerate? How much? Margins? EBIT guide? - $BKNG room nights ! I started my career covering these companies and a bunch of other internets....at that time capex was not something we cared about bc it didn't matter. It was a simpler time.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 24

BDC on X

@FrostByte123456 Yes. $GOOGL needs to feed TWO capex intensive businesses: 1. Search (Gemeni) and 2. Cloud. $AMZN needs to only feed one, which is AWS.

@BlueDuckCap Jul 24 4 clicks

BDC on X

$SNAP will generate more FCF this year than $GOOGL and maybe more than the hyperscalers combined in the 2H ex MSFT! Just sayin...

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…

VRRM $447M

The Oak Bloke Aug 27 6 clicks

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…

NVDA $5.2T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 27 5 clicks

BHVN 2026-08-27

Biohaven: Sale Of Opakalim Rights To SK Biopharmaceuticals Makes Sense On Many Levels

Biohaven’s $795 million global opakalim licensing deal with SK Biopharmaceuticals boosts cash, lowers R&D spending and extends its funding…

BHVN $1.7B

Edmund Ingham Aug 27 1 click

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

HUCK $147MPRGS $1.7B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.2T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.7T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 6 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 13 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $352B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $4.5B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 18 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $11BMRNA $87B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

VSEC · long

Vse CORP

VSE Corp trades at $185, with a stated $246 fair value and 2027 estimated EV/EBITDA of 15x.

VSEC $4.4B

Value Investors Club May 30 2 clicks

ACIW 2026-08-27

ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better

ACI Worldwide’s payment software segment grew 9% with a 48% adjusted EBITDA margin, while the company targets 50-60% of operating cash flow…

ACIW $5.3B

SiliconBytes Insights Aug 27 1 click

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $33B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 6 clicks

RCEL 2026-08-24

AVITA Medical: Favorable Reimbursements For Skin Wound Care

AVITA Medical’s more predictable reimbursement, RECELL GO rollout and PermeaDerm economics support adoption, with cash flow breakeven…

RCEL $406M

Myriam Alvarez Aug 24 4 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $106B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $447M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

APP 2026-08-19

AppLovin: Here's How I See 3 Catalysts That Could Drive Valuation Re-Rating

AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…

APP $92B

KL Research Aug 19 1 click

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $779M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Tim Eriksen on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

BDC on X

Ian Bezek on X

JabroniCoin.USD on X

BDC on X

BDC on X

BDC on X

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