Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2.2BCCOI $515M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $445M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 NVDA $5.5T

Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries

MBI Deep Dives 5 clicks

From X

@BlueDuckCap Aug 21 2 clicks

BDC on X

Reviewing some expert transcripts. On $XGN this is worth flagging. The Rheumatologist being interviewed confirms the bull thesis. Says he uses AVISE (XGN) for his panels bc generic tests don't work well in autoimmune, and AVISE more accurate. Flat out says that the one autoimmune marker XGN doesn't offer is for Myositis, where he uses another lab. Guess what $XGN is offering in 2027?

@SowingAlphaSeed Aug 21 1 click

Farmer on X

All that complexity and blow-up risk to clone $SPY's returns in a bull market? https://t.co/kYImPyU49M

@stockgutter Aug 21 1 click

SG on X

$SUJA just under $9m in purchases from Paine Schwartz, telegraphed beforehand with a press release.👀 https://t.co/nwmFTEx0kE https://t.co/wUTLfBKL2p

@TimyanBankAlert Aug 21 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Deutsche Bank $DB freed from consent order in 2010s FX scandal https://t.co/BsHGBheaWK

@majgeoinvesting Aug 21 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

It’s happening… Seller’s remorse is starting to set in for trigger-happy $KLNG shareholders. I have a feeling the same will happen to $SIF panic sellers who blindly accepted “horrendous” GAAP EPS as true earnings power. Lesson 👉 Read the transcripts & do your own math. https://t.co/0u7pxLVft4

@AltayCapital Aug 21 1 click

AltayCap on X

@finphysnerd @taobanker A sentiment check on X searching $DECK, its universally positive except @CatNyanpital who is the only bearish comments on this name. Doesn't mean it can't work though

@cfrischer1 Aug 20

Charles Frischer on X

@Goldridge_Cap $KWY I only think about per share growth. This assumes they are only issuing a small number of shares each year under their executive comp plan. Not additional shares to do acquisitions.

@cfrischer1 Aug 20

Charles Frischer on X

@Goldridge_Cap $KWY Great questions. If they continue to have quarters like the most recent, they will deserve a 20x multiple. If they reinvest cash flows and can grow at 15-20% per year, a 20x multiple seems reasonable. That is why the next 4-6 quarters will be so valuable to review.

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.

HUCK $145MPRGS $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 27 3 clicks

MT 2026-08-27

ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company

ArcelorMittal’s regional steel franchises, integrated mining and India expansion are lifting EBITDA per ton and supporting per-share…

MT $47B

Capital Connoisseur Aug 27 1 click

Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question

Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.

NVDA $5.5T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 26 5 clicks

[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX

AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.

AMZN $2.7T

scuttleblurb Aug 26 6 clicks

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 3 clicks

STNE 2026-08-25

StoneCo: Deep Value Hiding Behind Brazil's Rate Fears - For Now

StoneCo's buybacks and special dividend produced roughly 39% H1 shareholder yield as Brazil's rate cuts slow and competition persists.

STNE $2.8B

IWA Research Aug 25 3 clicks

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 13 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

TEM 2026-08-20

Tempus AI Just Had Their Entire Strategy Validated By Moderna's Vaccine Advance

Tempus AI's diagnostics and data businesses grew Q2 2026 revenue 19.4% year over year, with FDA approvals, expanded tests and pricing aimed…

TEM $12BMRNA $79B

Robert J. Lake Aug 20 2 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $445M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

LGCY · long

Legacy Education

Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.

LGCY $130M

Value Investors Club May 29

RKLB 2026-08-26

Rocket Lab Is Becoming Much Bigger Than Neutron

Rocket Lab generated $234 million in Q2 revenue and built a $2.36 billion backlog, with Neutron priced at $50 million to $55 million before…

RKLB $40B

Pythia Research Aug 26 3 clicks

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

Stripe’s net revenue rose 41% in 1H 2026 versus Adyen’s 21% FX-adjusted growth, fueled by AI-native startups and acquisitions including…

ADYEY $31B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 24 5 clicks

Core Memory

Airbnb Experiences faces a supply bottleneck from manual approvals, while a farm host raised her price from $15 to $25 after stronger…

ABNB $99B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 23 9 clicks

FUTU 2026-08-23

Futu Holdings: The China Discount Is Obsolete After Q2 Earnings Report

Futu Holdings' Q2 funded accounts rose 33.6%, client assets 43.6% and net income 41.6% as it shifts from mainland China toward Singapore,…

FUTU $15B

Emanuel Nemec Aug 23 4 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 9 clicks

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7.1B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

APP 2026-08-19

AppLovin: Here's How I See 3 Catalysts That Could Drive Valuation Re-Rating

AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…

APP $93B

KL Research Aug 19 1 click

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $866M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 12 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

BDC on X

Farmer on X

SG on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Maj Soueidan on X

AltayCap on X

Charles Frischer on X

Charles Frischer on X

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