Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Thursday, August 27, 2026
From X
PAA Research on X
Twenty-three S&P 500 stocks have doubled this year, mostly in AI, semiconductors and data centers, contributing 5% to 6% of the index’s 8% gain.
PAA Research on X
Google is losing small-business wallet share amid regulatory risks, stalling user growth in more markets and capital-allocation concerns.
PAA Research on X
Google's AdWords model is being replaced by a considerably worse business, while Meta's ad-share gains face long-term platform toxicity concerns.
PAA Research on X
Meta’s move into betting markets and rising AI capex threaten to outweigh advertising gains, supporting a short case centered on Zuckerberg’s capital allocation.
PAA Research on X
$PRIM printed above $200 just six weeks ago. This is one violent tape.
PAA Research on X
Elon Musk’s nearly 20-year-old interview is presented as evidence of his accomplishments and future potential, despite criticism of his management of Wall Street.
PAA Research on X
$SPCX's “funding secured” claim and Elon Musk's 2030 guidance days after trading raise IPO quiet-period questions amid criticism of SEC enforcement.
SG on X
👀 have been out of $WU for a short time. A sale would not surprise me, but probably makes more sense after it digests $IMXI. https://t.co/bno9ZATJ4I
Investor Letters
All letters- Sequoia Fund 2025 GOOGL $4.2T
- Palm Harbour Capital fourth quarter LNA $428M
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023 TKMAF $7.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Patient Capital Management 2Q25 BABA $289B
- Patient Capital Management 3Q25 PGEN $2.6B
- Intrepid Capital 2Q26 GOOGL $4.2T
- First Eagle Investments 3Q 2025 6273 $28B
ACIW 2026-08-27 ACI Worldwide: An Undercovered Payments Compounder Getting Better
SiliconBytes Insights 
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
MT 2026-08-27 ArcelorMittal: Regionalization Is Creating A Structurally Better Steel Company
Capital Connoisseur 
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
NCLH or her grandma Saga?
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN
IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…
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Older Stories
$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital
Yet Another Value Podcast
The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville
The Monetary Matters Network
Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?
The Oak Bloke
AI’s Achilles’ Heel: Why Everything Hinges on Anthropic & OpenAI | The Weekly Wrap
Steve Eisman
$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
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