Thursday, August 27, 2026

Late August 2026 Random Ramblings

Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.

UWMC $2BCCOI $476M

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 27 13 clicks

Aug 27 VRRM $536M

The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)

The Oak Bloke 6 clicks

Aug 27 DOMO $177M

Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade

Triple S Special Situations Investing 3 clicks

From X

@LaughingH20Cap Jul 22 1 click

Laughing Water Capital on X

@CFAs4CFPs @BATMongoose it was disclosed at trial that GSK tried to buy $ANAB 3 times over the last year. IMHO this is more important than whatever odds I put on the trial outcome. It seems that in all scenarios ANAB gets sold. If they win trial, the $ will be higher. If they dont it will still be fine

@irbezek Jul 21 1 click

Ian Bezek on X

@EdwardR02184224 Posted on the newsletter about $ASR recently. Similar thoughts for $OMAB except Sureste has the catalysts with the new airport packages and improvements in Colombia... https://t.co/ZO0t5ghX40

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21

Timyan Bank Alert on X

WaFd's $WAFD valuation limits M&A ambitions, CEO says | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/7BDy1GI1mj

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Finward Bancorp Acquisition $FFBC is a great partner for $FNWD- 6.4 x cost save earnings, 7 month payback and a dividend increase. Everything’s Archie! - https://t.co/qymOJS625L

@ActAccordingly Jul 21

PAA Research on X

Let's congratulate the market and the investment community for a moment on filling the gap from $WDFC on that nonsensical earnings beat. I read the transcript twice and the magnitude of upside in the quarter still didn't make sense. For this kind of business it should have been a simple explanation from management. Instead it was innuendo and evasion.

@ActAccordingly Jul 21

PAA Research on X

Yeah, $CPB bulls trying to hold the line on the 2002 and 1995 lows. They have some solid brands for sure, but the management is moronic, the board even worse, they have no clue on capital management, and the balance sheet is a disaster. Everything but the last point is an argument for this business to be sold. However, that leverage.... I guess someone can come in and eliminate the dividend which frees up $450MM in FCF. From there you can probably delever this biz 2-3 turns in a few years. Tough sledding, but there's a lot of wasted advertising across this company, that's for sure.

@TimyanBankAlert Jul 21

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Independent Bank, Simmons address credit quality; South Plains $SPFI interested in M&A | S&P Global Market Intelligence https://t.co/TWGUKwHaIL

@catechwilliams Jul 21 4 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$SWIM. Stock has barely budged over the last 2 weeks despite: 1) $PNR pre-announcing pool pump sales -17% and 2) $LESL filing for BK citing slowing new pool demand. Expectation of HSD growth this year are disconnected from reality. Earnings miss and guidance cut likely coming.

FUFU 2026-08-27

BitFuFu: A $93 Million Liability No One Can Explain

BitFuFu’s $93.4 million unexplained long-term payable equals 57% of liabilities, overshadowing sharply higher self-mining and hosting…

FUFU $245M

Dorine Cherop Aug 27

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.2B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 12 clicks

PTLO 2026-08-20

Portillo's: Guidance Cut Confirms It's Cheap For A Reason

Portillo's guidance cut followed a 1.2% same-restaurant-sales decline and 1.9% margin compression, while its $343 million TRA liability…

PTLO $278M

KC Research Aug 20 2 clicks

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 17 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $536M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 13 clicks

SA 2026-08-20

Seabridge Gold: Fairly Valued Now But Big Upside

Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…

SA $3.5B

Redfern Research Aug 20

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $6.5B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 13 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $938M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 13 clicks

Why DoorDash’s Autonomous Strategy Beats Uber’s Hodgepodge

DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…

SERV $385M

MBI Deep Dives Aug 17 4 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $292MMNRO $422M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 9 clicks

LGCY · long

Legacy Education

Legacy Education operates six California campuses offering post-secondary nursing, physician assistant and surgical education.

LGCY $127M

Value Investors Club May 29

SM 2026-08-26

SM Energy: Tailwinds From Fading Hedge Drag And Strong Oil Leverage

SM Energy's Civitas acquisition doubled acreage and production, while underwater oil hedges depress cash flow through 2026 before rolling…

SM $8.1B

Elliott Gue Aug 26

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…

M $5.8BKSS $1.9B

Bristlemoon Capital Aug 13 9 clicks

Entravision Q2 Notes

Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Aug 11 13 clicks

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%

Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…

SLNG $97M

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 7 9 clicks

My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference

Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.

BUKS $262M

The Value Road Aug 6 8 clicks

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Laughing Water Capital on X

Ian Bezek on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

PAA Research on X

PAA Research on X

Timyan Bank Alert on X

catechwilliams on X

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