Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns

Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling after 2030.

AMZN $2.7T

MBI Deep Dives Aug 25 4 clicks

Aug 24 ADYEY $31B

Stripe’s “Singularity” and the Divergence from Adyen

MBI Deep Dives 6 clicks

Aug 23 ABNB $99B

Core Memory

MBI Deep Dives 11 clicks

From X

@orrdavid Aug 23 5 clicks

David Orr on X

A rhetorical thought experiment: Someone was all in $GME or $AMC stock on Jan 1st, 2021. They sold all of their stock right near the top. That's +1,600% for $GME and +2,500% for $AMC. They simply did nothing for the next 5 years. $GME guy still has a 65% CAGR, $AMC guy an 80% CAGR. These skilled investors?

@AltaFoxCapital Aug 23 6 clicks

Connor Haley on X

@tomicki @Biohazard3737 What’s your $CRL thesis?

@irbezek Aug 23 8 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

@davey_juice What did we learn from the all-in $pdd guy crashing out? Not much, apparently.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 23 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@FrenchV33921 Those are the ones that hurt. Mine was $MNST when it was HANS. I owned it during their early energy drink launch days. I sold it after a quick 2x after the CEO told me, “we got this new energy drink, but we don’t know where it’s going - or if it’ll even be successful.”😂😂

@RagingVentures Aug 23 6 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@Cashflowfarming * $NVDA’s competitors are doing the same with their balance sheets, not customers.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 22 1 click

Maj Soueidan on X

@scottfelsenthal It used to be on my do not buy list. However, it’s back on my watchlist. For the record, $SIF was also on my do not buy list for years. 🤐… until recently.. Regarding $OML.V, I think they’ve been setting that gross margin expansion target for a while. So, we’ll have to see.

@majgeoinvesting Aug 22

Maj Soueidan on X

👀 Potential $SIF InfoArb worth digging into… $RTX (Raytheon) just received a massive $22.9B, 7-year Tomahawk contract, with production targeted to ramp to 1,000+ missiles/year. What’s interesting is that Raytheon says the production ramp will “require investment across its supply chain and working with hundreds of small and midsized suppliers.” $SIF explicitly says its military-aerospace forgings are used in “Missile & Ordnance” applications. They also list Raytheon among its customers Given that Raytheon is now “looking across its supplier base to support an enormous munitions ramp,” does SIF maybe have a fighting chance here? There are probably more direct beneficiaries than SIF. But for its size, even a relatively small piece of the work could move the needle… it’s a rabbit hole worth digging into. 🔎… Time for @realLigerCub to step in :) Important caveat: I have found no evidence that SIF supplies Tomahawk, or even that its existing Raytheon relationship is tied specifically to Raytheon’s missile business.

@RagingVentures Aug 22 8 clicks

Raging Capital Ventures on X

@Ross__Hendricks @DratchCap @WarrenPies Equity is abundant even while absolute debt issuance skyrockets. I would think prudent capital allocators would tap the former… (see $GOOG, $ORCL as of late)

$ELAL: El Al is a wartime monopoly at 2x EBITDA. Is that a trap? | ASB Partners

El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…

ELALF $3.5B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 20 14 clicks

BAC 2026-08-20

Bank of America Preferreds: Better Propositions Available Than Series GG

Bank of America’s BAC.PR.B yields just over 6% near par, while discounted lower-coupon series such as BAC.PR.P offer better value despite…

BAC $375B

Prakhar Agarwal, CFA Aug 20 1 click

CCC Is in the Middle of the Wreckage

CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…

CCC $3.9B

scuttleblurb Aug 20 18 clicks

Aloe Aloe Aloe what 'ave VERRA then?

Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…

VRRM $445M

The Oak Bloke Aug 20 14 clicks

BHP 2026-08-20

BHP: Stop Calling This An Iron Ore Stock

BHP expects copper to generate over half of FY2026 EBITDA and plans a 40% production increase by FY2035 after profit, free cash flow and…

BHP $216B

On the Pulse Aug 20 1 click

NCLH or her grandma Saga?

Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…

NCLH $7.1B

The Oak Bloke Aug 19 14 clicks

APP 2026-08-19

AppLovin: Here's How I See 3 Catalysts That Could Drive Valuation Re-Rating

AppLovin’s AXON 2.0 self-serve rollout, e-commerce onboarding and Connected TV expansion aim to revive growth after Q2 2026 revenue and…

APP $93B

KL Research Aug 19 2 clicks

Jumia

Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…

JMIA $866M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 18 14 clicks

Shitcos, Griftcos, and alignment versus enrichment at $IREN

IREN awarded each co-CEO roughly 9 million RSUs, about 2.5% of shares and $400 million, in exchange for no further equity grants until…

IREN $15B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 18 13 clicks

$NU: is Nubank Capital One in 1994 or Capital One in 2006? | Vanshap Capital

Nubank's 140 million customers, 20% efficiency ratio and 30% ROE frame whether its high-teens P/E reflects a scalable fintech or a maturing…

NU $74B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 17 10 clicks

OFRM · long

Once Upon A Farm Pbc

Once Upon a Farm (OFRM) makes organic baby food, smoothies and kid snacks using high-pressure processing instead of heat pasteurization.

OFRM $703M

Value Investors Club May 27

NRIX 2026-08-24

Nurix Therapeutics: Roche Has Changed The Economics Of The Bull Case

Nurix Therapeutics gained $700 million upfront from Roche, a 50% U.S. profit share and Roche-funded global bexobrutideg development,…

NRIX $2.3B

Equity Eagle Aug 24 3 clicks

The Non-linear Economics of Grocery Delivery Basket

Instacart’s larger grocery baskets create disproportionately better delivery economics than DoorDash’s, making half the basket size worth…

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 22 10 clicks

Walmart’s Evolution

Walmart says Medicare Maximum Fair Price rules will cut FY27 US comps by 125 basis points, while pharmacy margins and prescription volumes…

WMT $877BPYPL $47B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 21 7 clicks

VISN 2026-08-21

Vistance Networks: The Valuation Makes This Stock A Strong Buy

Vistance Networks trades at $11 after a $5 special distribution, with a DOCSIS 4.0 upgrade cycle, cash reserves and a $160 million tax…

VISN $1.4B

Investor Overview Aug 21 2 clicks

Instacart’s Unit Economics, and Implications for DoorDash

Instacart’s per-order unit economics provide a benchmark for assessing DoorDash’s LTM profitability and operating model.

DASH $83B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 20 6 clicks

NBIS 2026-08-20

Nebius: The Market Is Arguing About The Wrong Number

Nebius posted 454% revenue growth and a 41% EBITDA margin, while Meta’s $27 billion agreement supports its AI infrastructure backlog.

NBIS $60B

The Quality Growth Investor Aug 20 3 clicks

Stock Trade Compilation Diez

E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…

SSP $271MMNRO $421M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 17 10 clicks

The $1.5 Trillion of Hidden Debt Fueling the AI Boom | Robin Wigglesworth of FT Alphaville

Hyperscalers’ off-balance-sheet lease and purchase obligations rose from roughly $1 trillion to $1.5 trillion, turning the AI buildout into…

GOOGL $4.2TMETA $1.8T

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 16 11 clicks

Will Hubspot go the way of the Dodo?

HubSpot trades near its 2020 share price despite quadrupled revenue and $750 million in free cash flow, with Breeze AI upside weighed…

HUBS $12B

The Oak Bloke Aug 16 10 clicks

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

David Orr on X

Connor Haley on X

Ian Bezek on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Maj Soueidan on X

Raging Capital Ventures on X

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