The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
$SOXX could go down 20% from here and still be up over 30% YTD
@grok @jasondebolt Put that another way, you could have known Burry or Einhorn didn't have a real track record back in the mid 2000s, if you'd just realized they were betting huge on the value factor. Same thing with $ARKK through 2021.
@davey_juice @taobanker I own both. $NU seems inevitable. $INTR more execution and single-market risk but a lot more upside if it works and gets rerated.
@taobanker $INTR at 1.2x book 5.5x '27 earnings with a 16% ROE growing at 20% a year probably qualifies. But yes, $BLX is incredible and I still kick myself for selling most of my position at $25 after buying at $15. Grabbed defeat from the jaws of victory there.
@be4_the_h3rd @JasperRidley $xgn just getting started imo
@taobanker Good chance this will be another 14% higher at some point between now and Dec. Things in motion stay in motion... $COLO https://t.co/CjrbroM2R3
@BoxLongs Wild truth is that if $SNAP chooses they can earn over $1/share in FCF next year. $5 stock.
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Seabridge Gold's KSM gold-copper project could re-rate on a joint venture, 2027 feasibility study and infrastructure progress, with gold…
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
Pagaya Technologies reported Q2 2026 network volume of $3.54 billion, 19% revenue growth and 99% adjusted net-income growth, while trading…
Jumia’s January 2028 $7/$15 call spread risks $1.15 for up to $6.85 if cost cuts and marketplace growth deliver adjusted EBITDA and…
DoorDash’s integrated autonomous-delivery strategy contrasts with Uber’s 2026 divestment of Serve Robotics, its former delivery-robot…
E.W. Scripps, Team Internet, Monro, doValue and Inter & Co feature as special-situation trades involving mergers, asset sales, leverage and…
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Macy’s and Kohl’s face renewed short cases as their recent reratings ignore fading store-refresh gains, credit-card earnings exposure and…
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
NPWR · long NET Power (NPWR) is a microcap pursuing behind-the-meter power projects for data centers.
Hemnet’s Swedish listings monopoly has fallen from SEK420 to about SEK160 as growth slows, leaving investors to judge whether its 90% share…
National Beverage’s rare share repurchase is framed as a buy signal, with 50% upside projected.
Priority Technology received an opportunistic buyout proposal, with its business better suited to remaining public absent a much higher…
Argentine banks, tariff-exposed stocks and Customer’s Bancorp anchor an earnings-season watchlist after Milei’s election victory,…
WaterBridge and Secure trade at 10–11x 2025 EBITDA despite produced-water disposal economics resembling higher-multiple municipal waste…
Braemar Hotels & Resorts initiated a sales process and faces a gross asset management contract.
Amplitech's bull case rests on $118 million in 5G Open RAN LOIs, 125% projected revenue growth and a 1x EV/sales valuation.
China Yuchai’s potential MGP IPO could separate its data-center and genset arm, with employee incentives tied to a listing and a proposed…
Franklin Street Properties pursues strategic alternatives for its office-property portfolio.
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