Monday, August 17, 2026

@marginofdanger Jun 25

marginofdanger on X

$APTL is a tiny HIGHLY ILLIQUID OTC nano-cap that consists of two businesses that serve lower Alaska (essentially the tail of Alaska that extends toward lower British Columbia): 1) an electric utility and 2) a regional telco. These businesses generate $25 million of EBITDA and in my view the stock price in the low 80s reflects a discounted valuation on these two very stable assets. However, there is a third asset that could potentially be worth MULTIPLES of the current stock price that investors are essentially getting for free: Sealink Networks, which has the only approved landing zone for subsea cables in the state of Washington in a city called Westport. There are other landing zones in the lower 48, primarily in Oregon and Northern California, which provide connectivity to the Far East. The Westport landing spot will have capacity for six subsea cables. One cable will connect Western Washington to APTL's assets in lower Alaska, and could also serve other telcos in Alaska. The other five cables are currently being marketed to HYPERSCALER CLIENTS (i.e., Amazon, Microsoft, Google, etc.). The terms of these contracts are unknown, but my suspicion is that they will be 20-30 year contracts matching the useful life of the cables. When you have multiple trillion dollar companies competing for a scarce asset, you could easily see them paying literally any amount reasonable for this Far East conduit. I have no idea what APTL will be able to charge for these, but could it be $10 mm per line? $100 mm? APTL's market cap right now is ~$70mm. The company's recent buyback action is VERY TELLING: They just bought back ~250k shares by forcing retirements of retired employees in the pension plan and also have a deferred buyback of ~140k shares from an exiting shareholder (1/3 done, the other 2/3 over the next two years). Between the two transactions, this represents a 30% reduction in the share count! Because the company has a large ESOP ownership, they are required to put out an annual valuation. While I do not know for sure, the company's most recent valuation is ~$90/share and while I'm not sure I do not believe there is any real valuation in that number for the Westport landing spot. In conclusion, I don't know if the stock is worth $90, $190, $290, $390/share, etc. Ultimately it comes down to whether $APTL just happens to be at the perfect place at the perfect time. Do they succeed in convincing someone at Microsoft or Google to pay a nine figure rounding error to APTL? Or does APTL drop the ball and leave a lot of money on the table? It's anyone's guess. This is my favorite idea right now. But be very careful as the float here is small and the stock is very illiquid. I haven't seen anyone write anything on this and I think its just a matter of time before they announce a contract and there is more attention and focus on the name.

@natstewart5 Jun 25 1 click

Nat Stewart on X

The funny part about the WSB action in $WEN is that they hit on a pretty compelling idea with a hugely skewed risk/reward. Thinking the bull case needs to be about "squeezing shorts" to "save Wendy's" or similar BS is absurd.

@TimyanBankAlert Jun 24

Timyan Bank Alert on X

$CBAN to merge w/ $FSRL https://t.co/2hLKYqpeB6

@TimyanBankAlert Jun 24 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

What if after assessing, O’Brien decides it’s best to reset lower and recap $BCBP Cc @thebankzhar https://t.co/VpMUhD9ctQ

@psyopcapital Jun 23

Psyop Capital on X

Is contextlogic interesting/worth digging into? $LOGC. I really like the Salt acquisition but seems like they paid a rich multiple for it. Fear this will end up in the graveyard of mini-Berkshires over time

@LaughingH20Cap Jun 22 2 clicks

Laughing Water Capital on X

@snack8812 @CalgaryLeveen Hi - could you explain why you think the "admin in office" is against $NN? Is this just because of the OIRA delay? Or are there other reasons? TYIA

@TimyanBankAlert Jun 18 1 click

Timyan Bank Alert on X

$BCOW puts its shareholders out of their misery but only after pillaging from them as much as possible. https://t.co/LG4tR0ZLd3 https://t.co/eHQWjpMA5w

@LaughingH20Cap Jun 18

Laughing Water Capital on X

Grt🧵on $GSK's cancer biz. But IMHO GSK cant max their ROI b/c $ANAB can block GSK from partnering w/ other PD1s like $MRK's Keytruda. Trial is 7/14 & GSK could lose 100% of JEMPERLI which IMHO is ~10% of GSK's mkt cap. I think GSK settles or buys ANAB for big $$$. Disc: Long https://t.co/N4Rls7h63Z https://t.co/04Zx6UdUwi