$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management
DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.
Saturday, August 15, 2026
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Ian Bezek on X
@boujee_banker @Nobilis_Capital @HettyGreen2020 $FMX reports Bara data, it's growing double digits as well, albeit slower than $TBBB. https://t.co/hlJy1GhSnZ
Ian Bezek on X
@sadvalueinvestr Anthropic buying Pacifico Airports $PAC at 25x EBITDA would be accretive to their earnings, and I'd be a willing seller at that price. Let's make a deal!
Ian Bezek on X
@WaterworldCapi1 $jets Bad industry, oil might go up again, consumer spending may roll over, and the new "capacity discipline" is more lucky accident than strategic. Somebody, probably $aal will start dumping capacity on routes again and margins back to zero
Ian Bezek on X
@lasse108 @ReturnsJourney $intr
Nat Stewart on X
Fantastic $NRP update from John. Particularly appreciate his capital allocation framework and view on why paying out 100% of cash flow makes the most sense. https://t.co/6LngKKV9hC
JabroniCoin.USD on X
$CENX is a non-AI bottleneck https://t.co/L0PvNNH4HK
mavix on X
Leatt $LEAT Q2 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +1% *Consumer Direct +68% *Dealer Direct -2% *Distributor -6% ▫️EBIT -17.7% ▫️Net income -20% ▫️Cash of $19.5 million (+48%) ▫️Temporary supply chain timing challenges (now resolved) ▫️Consumer demand remains strong https://t.co/z8aStbpiKa
Chris Camillo on X
@eager28 @CAndreisen @quazijohir Correct. They’re tied to the same lockup as other pre-IPO investors. I’m not overthinking $SKM it’s simply my public equity proxy for Anthropic.
Investor Letters
All letters- Palm Harbour Capital July 2026 064850 $143M082920 $946M
- Protean Funds July 2026 DVYSR $91MEVGGF $17B
- White Falcon Capital Management Q2 2026 EPAM $5.8BNU $67B
- Merion Road Capital Q2 2026 HONA $53B
- Distillate Capital 2026 Q2 ACN $111BORCL $446B
- O'Keefe Stevens Advisory Q2 2026 SHC $5.3BCALY $2.6B
- CrossingBridge Advisors Q2 2026 ORCL $446BWBD $77B
- GreensKeeper Asset Management Q2 CFRHF $121BELV $87B
[scuttleslops] ZTS, APO, FISV, TTD, RELY
Zoetis’s U.S. companion-animal revenue fell 6% as dermatology competition drove rebates and discounts, pushing full-year net pricing to…
The Impact of Autonomous Vehicles on Copart, A Timeline-Based Assessment - ($CPRT)
Copart faces a near-term lift from pricier AV repairs and total losses, but shrinking accident volumes could eventually force its…
Permian Basin Q2 Update – Power, Water, Solid Waste, and Data Centers
GFL’s proposed acquisition of Secure follows 19% revenue growth at Secure and 14.8% EBITDA growth at GFL, with Permian produced-water and…
Entravision Q2 Notes
Entravision’s ATS revenue rose 230% to $182.8 million in Q2, but shares fell from above $14 to about $8 after management forecast…
$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost
UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.
Private Credit's Clock is Ticking w/ Glenn Schorr & Ken Worthington | The Real Eisman Playbook Ep 72
Glenn Schorr and Ken Worthington discuss risks in private-credit software loans, agentic AI at retail brokers, crypto use cases and bank…
Figma 2Q'26: Near-Term Re-acceleration vs. Long-Term Durability
Figma raised its 2026 revenue growth guide to 39%, but a roughly 1% sequential 3Q outlook and unchanged $125-135 million operating-income…
[V, MA] The more things change, the more they stay the same
Visa and Mastercard have absorbed digital wallets and BNPL into their networks, using global merchant acceptance to turn supposed…
40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)
Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…
Shopify 2Q'26: Sustained Miraculous Growth
Shopify sustained 30% FX-neutral GMV growth in 2Q’26, reaching roughly 44% of Amazon’s retail GMV as international, POS and B2B volumes…
WK · long Workiva INC
Workiva, an enterprise software platform, trades at a reasonable valuation as it approaches its first profitable period since its 2008…
This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers
A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…
[scuttleslops] ODFL, AMD, INTC, CDNS, URI, VRSK, KNSL, WSO
Old Dominion Freight Line grew Q2 revenue 10.4% and EPS 32.3% as pricing offset lower tonnage, while excess network capacity sets up…
Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged
Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…
Seer
Seer trades at $2.04 against $3.90 per share of net cash as activists press a board that rejected five buyout proposals and won reelection.
DoorDash: The Infrastructure of Local Commerce
DoorDash built a last-mile logistics network around restaurant delivery, then extended it to groceries, convenience, and other local…
DoorDash
DoorDash positions itself as infrastructure for local commerce.
Under the Hood - Adobe Inc. ($ADBE)
Adobe generates 96% of revenue from subscriptions and converts over 40% into free cash flow, but generative AI tests whether Creative…
The Fleet Owners' Push for Aggregating Demand
Uber’s hybrid-network proposal would keep AVs and human drivers on its dispatch platform, while Waymo and Tesla pursue vertically…
Hidden in Plane Sight
An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…
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A Capital
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David Orr
Deep Sail Capital
Devin LaSarre
DOMO Capital Management, LLC
Edwin Dorsey
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Fred Liu
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Ian Bezek
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JabroniCoin.USD
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KEDM.com
Laughing Water Capital
Lee Roach
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marginofdanger
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Mike
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Negligible Capital
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Rusholme Capital
Sahil Khetpal
SG
Tim Eriksen
Timyan Bank Alert
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ToffCap
Trevor Scott
Voss Capital
Yaron Naymark
Investor letters we follow
- 1851 Capital
- Aikya Investment Management
- Akre Capital Management, LLC
- Alluvial Capital Management
- Alpinum Investment Management AG
- Ariel Investments
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- Sequoia Fund
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