Saturday, August 15, 2026

$DNOW: the boring distributor that could double on 2029 numbers | Firebird Management

DNOW’s MRC Global merger targets $75 million of synergies, with a 2029 bull case of $30 to $32 per share driven by cash flow and rerating.

DNOW $2.8B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 14 9 clicks

Aug 13 M $5.8B

Are Department Stores Finally Shortable?

Bristlemoon Capital 9 clicks

Aug 11 EVC $727M

Entravision Q2 Notes

The Value Road 13 clicks

From X

@eriksen_tim Apr 4 1 click

Tim Eriksen on X

ECIP recipient, Citizens Bancshares $CZBS announces $4 million repurchase program. About 5% of market cap. https://t.co/cXfWhyXnSF

@catechwilliams Apr 1 1 click

catechwilliams on X

@TaylorStCap $MRLN Investor presentations, company filings and public statements clearly represent that they are trying to develop pilotless technology (see intro slide of their IR deck below). Regardless I believe drone technology and auto-pilot assist systems have existed for many years. https://t.co/aCvg9KFLhP

@catechwilliams Apr 1 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$MRLN. Recent SPAC. Development-stage science project attempting to make autonomous airplanes. Even if they ever get FAA approval, it will take a brave sole to get in a plane with no pilot and/or send high value cargo. Many existing autopilot competitors. Burning $70M/ year.

@AltaFoxCapital Mar 31 2 clicks

Connor Haley on X

We just published a high-conviction report on one of our favorite businesses, $XPEL. Our conviction is rooted in a CEO with an exceptional track record: ~47% TSR CAGR and 35% revenue CAGR since taking the helm—who owns stock worth ~20x his salary and has laid out a credible path to roughly triple EPS through self-help margin expansion and continued secular growth. Even using assumptions well below management’s targets, we see a compelling risk-adjusted return with the potential to double our investment by FY28. If management delivers on its vision, we believe the shares can more than triple over that same period. See research report here: https://t.co/ZHKQmeWhmO

@Seawolfcap Mar 17 2 clicks

Porter Collins on X

@CorneliaLake 100% probability Geck rules against $SOC. It's going to be funny to watch

@LaughingH20Cap Mar 16

Laughing Water Capital on X

@Klad_blok delayed inflection stinks but I think Mr mkt wrongly thinks $LFCR needs to raise equity to redeem the Series A pfd. However, the pfd is designed to PIK. That is a real cost, but nowhere near as bad as an equity raise here. the biz is already won so the inflection is still coming. https://t.co/KmKu3aPsKF

@psyopcapital Mar 4 1 click

Psyop Capital on X

$OTCM beast of a quarter https://t.co/6h385yzu4x

@psyopcapital Mar 3 2 clicks

Psyop Capital on X

$trux gets a lot of love on here (and rightly so), what are some other high quality otc banks with good underwriting culture and history of compounding earnings power at a respectable clip?

$UWMC lost $600m hedging a deal they'd already lost

UWMC booked a roughly $600 million Q2 hedging loss tied to TWO months after the deal collapsed, contributing to an expensive capital raise.

UWMC $2BTWO $1.3B

Yet Another Value Blog Aug 11 11 clicks

40 Stock Pitches (3rd-9th August)

Navient trades near 40% of tangible book as Gator Financial Partners argues private student-loan growth and restructuring can reverse its…

NAVI $855M

Capital Employed Aug 10 9 clicks

$HIMS: Paul Cerro wouldn't trust the CEO to walk his dog. He's still long. Why? | Cedar Grove

Hims & Hers investor Paul Cerro is long again on lab and patient data driving retention and LTV, despite management concerns, GLP-1…

HIMS $7.1B

Yet Another Value Podcast Aug 7 9 clicks

These Power Stocks (Not Semis) Are The Real AI Beneficiaries, Say Investing Brother Duo Up 1,300%

Pernas Research names Capstone Energy and Stabilis Solutions as AI data-center power beneficiaries, alongside Tenable, Upwork, Wise and…

SLNG $97M

The Monetary Matters Network Aug 7 9 clicks

My Pitch Deck Slide Show from the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference

Butler National Corporation is the subject of a stock pitch presented at the MS Microcaps Summer Virtual Conference.

BUKS $262M

The Value Road Aug 6 8 clicks

DEC-laration of independence

Diversified Energy cut $233 million of debt in 1H26, repurchased $93 million of stock and sold $273 million of land and assets while…

DEC $983M

The Oak Bloke Aug 6 7 clicks

Perimeter Solutions: 2Q26 Business Recap

Perimeter Solutions’ 2Q26 revenue rose 31%, while operating income fell 11% as USDA pricing and DLA delivery timing hurt Fire Safety; it…

PRM $4.9B

Speedwell Memos Aug 5 9 clicks

Floor & Decor: 2Q26 Business Update

Floor & Decor’s same-store sales improved to minus 2%, while $45 million of tariff refunds lifted second-quarter gross profit and operating…

FND $5B

Speedwell Memos Aug 4 8 clicks

A Venezuela Lottery Ticket for 41 Cents

Lionheart Holdings’ 41-cent CUBWW warrants hinge on a SPAC merger valuing KEO Energy’s Venezuelan PetroUrdaneta stake at $1 billion, versus…

CUB $284M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Aug 3 7 clicks

[scuttleslops] BLDR, RYAN, APG, GFL, FND

Builders FirstSource reported Q2 2026 sales down 9% to $3.9 billion as weak housing demand and aggressive competitor pricing cut EBITDA…

BLDR $6.3B

scuttleblurb Aug 3 8 clicks

TDC · short

Teradata CORP

Teradata is a short as its on-premises analytics business declines while enterprises shift workloads to cloud-native platforms.

TDC $2.7B

Value Investors Club May 16

Floor & Decor 2Q'26: Tentative Green Shoots

Floor & Decor held 2026 guidance after a 2Q beat, with comps improving through June; tariff refunds lifted margins and may fund pricing…

FND $5B

MBI Deep Dives Aug 2 4 clicks

Vistance Networks (NASDAQ: VISN)

Vistance Networks plans a large post-Ruckus-sale dividend, leaving Aurora Networks valued below 4x guided EBITDA after $1.88 billion of…

VISN $1.5B

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 31 7 clicks

[OTCM] Listings for the rest of us

OTC Markets gives smaller, distressed, and lightly disclosed companies a trading venue outside NYSE and Nasdaq, with lower listing barriers…

OTCM $653M

scuttleblurb Jul 31 3 clicks

This Stock Just Got Cheaper on Better Numbers

A debt-free American manufacturer now trades at roughly 7x annualized Q2 EBITDA, with $7.35 per share in net cash and a tender floor 18.5%…

RGR $663M

The Value Road Jul 30 4 clicks

Entravision: Another Whale Has Emerged

Entravision’s Q1 filings contain a new footnote disclosure pointing to a potential second large advertiser beyond its Hong Kong customer,…

EVC $727M

The Value Road Jul 28 11 clicks

Seer

Seer trades at $2.04 against $3.90 per share of net cash as activists press a board that rejected five buyout proposals and won reelection.

SEER $104M

Triple S Special Situations Investing Jul 28 4 clicks

Hidden in Plane Sight

An aerospace company’s profitable core is obscured by a long-running FAA development program; approval, abandonment, or shrinking losses…

ASLE $266M

The Mikro Kap Jul 26 3 clicks

Gatekeeper Systems ($GSI.V) FINS Review

Gatekeeper Systems’ revenue rebound is overshadowed by $19.3 million in nine-month operating cash burn, swelling inventory and overdue…

GKPRF $139M

Wolf's Substack Jul 23 1 click

RI(N)sing higher

RIN prices near all-time highs reflect tighter renewable-fuel mandates, a shrinking credit bank, and biodiesel production shortfalls.

FF $228M

Treasure Hunting Jul 21 4 clicks

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Tim Eriksen on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Connor Haley on X

Porter Collins on X

Laughing Water Capital on X

Psyop Capital on X

Psyop Capital on X

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