Making sense of Sandisk’s long-term financial model
Sandisk’s FY28-FY30 model relies on long-term NAND agreements holding near-80% gross-margin floors despite pricing 26-28% below current ASPs.
Latest
From X
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@wamackey88 Management is the only constituent to have benefited from this grift that is $BCOW
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@Stl_MAR @Catahoula_Value I think (from past close experience) that the family calling the $TRCY shots is hopelessly inept. Doesn’t mean they won’t sell it at some point but they have turned away some great alternatives.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
$BCOW Fact check: 100% true https://t.co/AqIAdOnsSa
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@Catahoula_Value It feels like $BCOW management would rather continue stealing from the shareholders. $LRBI is performing well on its own and improving so not needed. Sure does spotlight the values though. $MBBC also in $PSBQ backyard where Nick Z is really improving his bank.
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Home run merger for $PSBQ holders in sale to $BFC https://t.co/wujj6AML12
Timyan Bank Alert on X
Every bank should have a Chair like Charles Alan Williams of $NPB @NorthpointeBank https://t.co/WJNBIgvvAZ
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@SEC_digger Patience… $STBI 🤷🏼 https://t.co/wg2SpE9mZy
Timyan Bank Alert on X
@charrisinvest @dirtcheapbanks I think he’s talking about $PWBK not $NSTS
Investor Letters
All letters- Hayden Capital 3rd Quarter 215A $1.1B
- Hayden Capital 4th Quarter EDU $9.1B
- Sequoia Fund 2025 GOOGL $4.2T
- Sequoia Fund first quarter of 2026
- Palm Harbour Capital fourth quarter LNA $428M
- Palm Harbour Capital first quarter of 2023 TKMAF $7.7B
- Royce Investment Partners Year-to-Date Through 6/30/26 AAP $2.6B
- Maran Capital Management second quarter SPCX
AMPX 2026-08-28 Amprius: A Better Entry Point After A 50%+ Decline (Rating Upgrade)
Kurt Christensen 
Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven…
The Verra Sneerer (NASDAQ:VRRM)
Verra Mobility renewed Hertz tolling management for five years. AutoKinex lets rental customers buy tolling, fuel and protection products…
Nvidia Climbing the Wall of Worries
Nvidia guided FY2028 revenue toward $700 billion, roughly 70% growth, while supply constraints and neocloud demand face concerns over…
Domo (Arigato), for this potential multi-bagger options trade
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia’s Long-Term Margin Question
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
[scuttleslops] AI Data Center Economics, ADI, INTU, IDXX
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech Off-Balance Sheet Concerns
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
Atlas Engineered Products ($AEP.V) FINS Review
Atlas Engineered Products reported Q2 revenue up 19% to $16.2 million, but ended cashless on its credit line as inventory rose 47% and…
The Junk (Mail) Merger Arb
Star Equity’s $5 per-share Harte-Hanks acquisition offers $2.50 cash plus 0.25 STRRP per share after proration, against a $2 break price.
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