Late August 2026 Random Ramblings
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Higher rates could compress equity multiples and raise AI data center lease costs, while UWMC and Cogent raise questions about CEO-driven capital allocation.
Is contextlogic interesting/worth digging into? $LOGC. I really like the Salt acquisition but seems like they paid a rich multiple for it. Fear this will end up in the graveyard of mini-Berkshires over time
If it gets to mid to low 20s copart $Cprt seems like a good bet. Insurance mkt will harden and yes they have competition but duopolistic markets are still attractive and at 3-3.5x sales I think you’re good
TeraWulf could secure a data-center tenant by late June as Anthropic pursues leases, raising the prospect of AI infrastructure upside.
KVH Industries' NASA ETF inclusion has driven its runup and decline, obscuring the company's underlying business momentum.
What’s the $BR mega bear case?
$UTGN looked promising as an illiquid deep value sit with buybacks at way below IV, but this relatively recent option grant struck below NAV seems like a thesis killer. Anybody know the name well?
$HPE let's fucking go. https://t.co/OjNXeIX0yM
@Minnvestor $NVT you'd think would be up more today. Also w/ TPUs and Project Deschutes what w/ Anthropic S-1 and rev growth. Do you think just overlooked?
Domo’s $400 million sale to Progress would leave a cash-rich public shell with $900 million of NOLs; January 2028 $5 calls cost 22 cents.
Nvidia faces questions over the durability of its long-term profit margins ahead of earnings.
AWS AI campuses cost $40–$45 billion per gigawatt, with Trainium 3 expected to lift compute per megawatt and improve infrastructure returns.
Big Tech’s $3 trillion AI commitments are disclosed and largely long-dated, with nearly 60% of Amazon’s $650 billion commitments falling…
El Al trades near 2x EBITDA after wartime near-monopoly profits, with $1.3 billion of net cash and owned aircraft weighed against…
CCC, the dominant auto physical-damage claims estimator, connects 27 of the top 30 insurers with 31,000 repair shops as takeout rumors…
Verra Mobility's new seven-year Avis agreement replaces a customer worth over 10% of revenue on materially worse economics, exposing…
Norwegian Cruise Line’s $15 billion debt and 2026-27 capex delay deleveraging, despite fuel-efficient new ships and stronger projected 2028…
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