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The Monday Morning Briefing: Meta, Tesla, Netflix, P&G on Deck

Lennar’s land-bank costs pressure homebuilding margins, while Flowers Foods weighs a Tastykake sale after falling branded-bread share, higher leverage and a dividend cut.

LEN $17B

Latticework by MOI Global 2h ago 4 clicks

4h ago OXY $62B

Our Q3 2026 Update: Our Companies (OXY, RIG, VAL)

Open Insights 3 clicks

10h ago AAPL $5T

Do You Trust Apple?

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 1 click

From X

@aleabitoreddit Sep 24

Serenity on X

$AKAM signs $11.6B compute deal with Anthropic for accelerated CPU workloads demands over 7 years. $AMD to $MU should be happy to hear this… Akamai ests. ~$5.5B of capex to service the $11.6B commitment. Including +$1.7B of 2026 capex specifically to pre-purchase supply chain components like memory. So much for Anthropic/OpenAI calling for an AI slowdown?

@ChrisCamillo Sep 24 3 clicks

Chris Camillo on X

@RiduFly how do u follow me and not know i want $AMZN down, not up

@ActAccordingly Sep 24 2 clicks

PAA Research on X

All trading below their 200-day moving averages right now: - Dow transports ($DJT) - Industrials $XLI - Retail $XRT - $GS Right at the 200-day MA - $KRE. $RUT seems destined to test the 200-day. Normal late September action, but it doesn't feel good. I guess we're setting the state for some golden crosses come late October/November or we're going lower. $MAGS carrying the day like 2024 when we dreamed of lower deficits and lower rates....

@negligible_cap Sep 24 2 clicks

Negligible Capital on X

*BLUE ORIGIN RAISES $10B AT $140B VALUATION: WSJ Blue Origin’s first ever outside capital raise. Per WSJ they’re expecting to do $1.4B in revenue this year, and over $30B by 2030. That puts their valuation at 100x this year’s sales. $SPCX is valued at only around 45x FY26 sales estimate. SPCX looking like a steal

@leevalueroach Sep 24

Lee Roach on X

Disclosing a large short position in $META. Thesis: Muse is offered free of charge with no meaningful cap on inference consumption. Meta is absorbing the full cost of compute, memory, and power on every query in pursuit of user growth. We believe this subsidy is unsustainable under adversarial usage. Position: We have deployed 10,000 endpoints running maximally compute-intensive workloads on a continuous basis. Deployment is scaling at 10,000 units per day. Unit economics: Our marginal cost per endpoint is approximately $300, incurred once. Meta's cost per endpoint is recurring and uncapped. We view this as a highly asymmetric trade. Channel checks: Retail sources confirm unusual laptop demand in the region. We are the source of that demand. Risks: Rate limiting, supply constraints at our primary vendor, and rising operating expenses on our side. Outlook: We expect material margin compression, a miss on next quarter's earnings, and elevated data center thermal risk. This is called activist investing.

@negligible_cap Sep 24

Negligible Capital on X

*AKAMAI SHARES SURGE OVER 20% POSTMARKET ON ANTHROPIC PACT $AKAM reported an $11.6B multi-year pact with Anthropic – deal may expand upp to $20B total, and AKAM issues warrants to Anthropic for up to 5% of the company. $AKAM sees $5.5B in capex tied to the pact https://t.co/8a9xf4uJfX

@ChrisCamillo Sep 24 1 click

Chris Camillo on X

if u thought Zuck’s metaverse spending was insane, wait until we see $META’s $AMZN Bedrock and graviton bill to keep Muse running.

@ACapitalLP Sep 24

A Capital on X

$FSLR @ $173 way too cheap. Thx.

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What Lies Beneath: The Developer Building a Data Center on a Former Army Dump Laced With Munitions and Carcinogens

Digital Realty paid $120 million for Atlanta-area parcels including a former Army dump with buried carcinogens and military ordnance.

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Hunterbrook 14h ago 11 clicks

Wells Fargo Earnings Aren't Inspiring Enough, But A 7% Income Opportunity Is

Wells Fargo’s Q3 EPS beat and $12.5 billion net interest income failed to move shares, while WFC.PZ preferreds yield 7.10%.

WFC $254B

Jeremy LaKosh 20h ago 3 clicks

Semtech Analyst Day Review

Semtech raised Q3 guidance and targets $3.2 billion of fiscal 2030 revenue, excluding upside from its AI data-center optical and copper…

SMTC $16B

CV's Substack 31h ago 10 clicks

DigitalOcean CEO: ‘We are not going to be extraordinarily leveraged like some others’

DigitalOcean’s CEO says the cloud company will not take on extraordinary leverage to fund its AI push.

DOCN $13B

The Technology Letter 34h ago 10 clicks

Expert Call | Q3 2026 Optical Components Market Dynamics, Vendor Market Share, & 2027 Growth Outlook

Optical-component vendor call covers 800G and 1.6T demand, AI cluster optical density, market share, pricing and 2027 growth for Coherent,…

COHR $52BLITE $77B

P Equity Research 36h ago 12 clicks

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

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Eagle Point Capital Oct 17 49 clicks

Meritage Homes: Cheaper On Book Than Any Year-End In A Decade

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Tim Travis Oct 17 10 clicks

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman examines AI data-center debt, CoreWeave's tech correction and agentic AI's effect on banks as earnings season begins.

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Steve Eisman Oct 16 21 clicks

RELX: The Risk Segment Makes This Buy Less Risky

RELX’s 13-petabyte fraud and identity data moat supports its high-margin Risk segment as its valuation falls to roughly half its peak P/E.

RELX $64B

LA Capital Oct 16 5 clicks

OpenAI Does Math, Reward Hacking, Meta Launches Personal Agent

OpenAI and Meta push AI agents forward as reward hacking remains a core challenge for model training.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 5 clicks

One More Note on Agents, Meta Connect, Meta Enterprise Platform

Meta ties AI agents and Meta Connect to its enterprise-platform opportunity.

META $1.9T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 14 clicks

2026.42: Home At Last

Stratechery’s weekly bundle covers Apple HomeView and SpaceX’s cellular ambitions.

AAPL $5T

Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. Oct 16 6 clicks

TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

NFLX $511B

TSOH Investment Research Oct 16 11 clicks

Liberty Global: Things Got Much Worse, But I Am Still Greedy

Liberty Global faces VMO2 restructuring-priced bonds and Ziggo unsecured yields near 16% after owners extracted £5.15 billion since 2021.

LBTYA $2.8B

Andrew Mach Oct 16 2 clicks

LLY · long

LILLY (ELI) & CO

Eli Lilly trades at 33 times this year’s earnings and 26 times next year’s, versus roughly 12 times for big pharma peers.

LLY $1.2T

Value Investors Club Jul 18 2 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research Oct 15 7 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 19 clicks

ASML Is Building a Hybrid Bonding Tool!

ASML’s patent filings point to a track-based die-to-wafer hybrid bonding tool that could challenge Besi in advanced logic packaging.

ASML $631B

SemiAnalysis Oct 15 12 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

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Speedwell Research Oct 15 27 clicks

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