How to Read a 10-K Like a Short Seller
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.
A four-layer 10-K framework tests revenue timing, receivables, reserves and depreciation against cash flow, using Hertz’s 2012-14 accounting as a case study.
@DavidBrail Doesn’t seem like they will. But, for the new bid to be worse than Trian’s $49/share cash bid, committee would have to assume $VCTR shares decline 45% to $36. That seems like an unreasonable assumption because Victory would then trade at a 3x P/E.
@CorneliaLake 100% probability Geck rules against $SOC. It's going to be funny to watch
New $VCTR bid for $JHG. In the slide deck, Victory says the deal will result in +50% accretion. 2027 EPS goes from $7.56 to at least $11.34. The combined company would trade at 6x 2027 EPS.
@Klad_blok delayed inflection stinks but I think Mr mkt wrongly thinks $LFCR needs to raise equity to redeem the Series A pfd. However, the pfd is designed to PIK. That is a real cost, but nowhere near as bad as an equity raise here. the biz is already won so the inflection is still coming. https://t.co/KmKu3aPsKF
$OTCM beast of a quarter https://t.co/6h385yzu4x
The Voss Q4 2025 Letter to Partners is up. Updates on $PAR, $FLYW, $CLBT, and new core idea $CHH, an asset light hotel franchisor that has rarely ever been cheaper. https://t.co/DTOoXGIN0M https://t.co/gjWBSHET4j
Voss Capital Issues Open Letter to the Board of Xponential Fitness $XPOF https://t.co/eGXBtb2MHT
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