Bullpen.News · the best place to find stock ideas

SiriusXM: Dirt Cheap, Looming Catalysts, Short Squeeze Candidate

SiriusXM trades at 6.5 times free cash flow, a 15% yield, with high short interest and catalysts that could drive a short squeeze.

SIRI $9B

Eagle Point Capital 12h ago 8 clicks

26h ago CRWV $34B

Market Cracks Under AI Debt Burden | The Weekly Wrap

Steve Eisman 11 clicks

29h ago GLOO $298M

GLOO: Gloo's own filings make the short case

Guardian Research 8 clicks

From X

@ACapitalLP 1h ago 1 click

A Capital on X

The asset base is too large and diversified to ever underwrite loan by loan. The thesis is that the private credit apocalypse is exaggerated, $OWL became the poster child given its reliance on the HNW channel, and the market is assigning far too little value to its non-credit assets and durable fee-generating franchise.

@gnoble79 4h ago 3 clicks

George Noble on X

@FrenchV33921 Already there with $CRWV and $IREN IS $NBIS worse?

@ACapitalLP 4h ago

A Capital on X

@kingdomcapadv People aren’t convinced $MNRO gets sold

@calvinblissett 4h ago

Calvin Blissett on X

@sidecarcap This is exactly what I think is happening with $SLM $KSPI and maybe $YB. $KNSL too

@ACapitalLP 5h ago 1 click

A Capital on X

@Pembrokestcap But isn’t $OWL reputation, and by extension their ability to raise capital, permanently impaired? Who cares if they own valuable GP stakes and real estate businesses that never tapped the high-net-worth channel? Isn’t the entire franchise structurally compromised?

@finphysnerd 5h ago

Myles on X

Shorts that aren't actually that overvalued (a 10+15% grower trading at 30x earnings can be overvalued, but still easily trade to 40-50x). Sizing is very important. Stuff like $CBA, $WDFC, $WMT, $WING have been some of my biggest winners this year with no catalyst.

@ACapitalLP 5h ago

A Capital on X

My favorite part of this $OWL article… What possible value could investment bankers see in a full or partial sale of the business that the public market is apparently missing? https://t.co/5rjY1IZQv1 https://t.co/yWPrLNBD21

@ACapitalLP 5h ago

A Capital on X

What are the most interesting asset monetization / SOTP situations in the market right now? Looking for companies where the public market is materially undervaluing the underlying assets, with a credible path to unlocking that value through asset sales, spin-offs, or corporate simplification. Not just cheap conglomerates. Actual catalysts. I’ll start: $FUL $CODI $KBR

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TSOH Weekly Roundup (10/16/2026)

Bumble agreed to a $1.3 billion take-private deal, while Netflix cut about 1,000 jobs and Meta discussed its Muse superintelligence models.

BMBL $783M

TSOH Investment Research 31h ago 6 clicks

Dorchester Minerals: Variable Royalty Income Without Enough Valuation Discount

Dorchester Minerals' 9.5% normalized yield and debt-free royalty model are offset by limited upside at $29.71, as extraordinary…

DMLP $1.5B

Atlas Diary 31h ago 1 click

Tuya: A Global Smart-Home Platform Priced Like a Cash Box

Tuya’s $976 million cash pile equals 94% of its $1.04 billion market cap as its smart-home platform returned to 16% revenue growth in Q2…

TUYA $1.1B

Substack von Philipp 39h ago 28 clicks

Fannie Mae Preferreds For Post-Midterm IPO Announcement

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could leave conservatorship through a 2026 restructuring and IPO, monetizing the government’s equity stake while…

FNMA $4.2B

Glen Bradford 39h ago 3 clicks

Is The Market Turning The Page?

CoreWeave’s debt and equity price action is framed as a wake-up call for investors amid a broader market discussion.

CRWV $34B

WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” Oct 15 51 clicks

PesoRama: Research Flash

PesoRama will reach 54 JOi Dollar Plus stores by November after raising C$28.4 million, funding more than 50 additional Mexican store…

TBBB $6.8B

Atrium Research - Equity Research 46h ago 5 clicks

Modine Deep Dive

Modine, soon Modexus Solutions, has a $4 billion hyperscaler cooling contract but must ramp factory output and restore margins as data…

MOD $9.2B

CV's Substack Oct 15 15 clicks

CoreWeave: Why Credit Markets See A 54% Chance Of Default

CoreWeave’s 2032 notes yield over 15%, signaling a 54% default probability as borrowing costs exceed rental yields on AI infrastructure…

CRWV $34B

Dustin Quasney Oct 15 21 clicks

AppLovin Deep Dive

AppLovin rebuilt its ad model with AXON 2.0, lifting LTM revenue to about $7 billion and margins to 77% as Unity competition threatens…

APP $88B

Speedwell Research Oct 15 24 clicks

Problems at Dream Finders Homes (DFH)

Dream Finders Homes’ controlling owner borrowed against DFH stock before the homebuilder agreed to finance an acquisition with costly…

DFH $764M

Hunterbrook Oct 15 12 clicks

LWAY · long

Lifeway Foods INC

Lifeway Foods holds 95% market share in kefir, is growing 20% to 35%, and trades at 12 times projected 2027 earnings as its capex cycle…

LWAY $336M

Value Investors Club Jun 3

Under the Hood, Copart ($CPRT)

Copart’s salvage-auction network pairs scarce storage land with global online bidding, supporting insurer returns and a durable moat…

CPRT $26B

Bearhold Research Apr 3 1 click

AXT’s Tongmei Problem: Great Asset, Fragile Economics

AXT’s 85.5%-owned Tongmei depends on offshore pricing, export approvals and transfer-pricing economics despite AI-optics demand.

AXTI $4.2B

Maius Partners Apr 2 7 clicks

Cracks in the Coconuts: Why Vita Coco’s ($COCO) Growth Narrative is Spoiling

Vita Coco’s growth narrative is deteriorating, supporting a short thesis on COCO.

COCO $3.4B

Shallow Dives Apr 2

Portfolio Update March 2026

Portfolio adds Nomad Foods and Judges Scientific, increases Constellation Software, trims Roper, and exits UnitedHealth after a 4.57% March…

NOMD $1.6BJSCIF $235M

D Invests Apr 2

It Pays to be a Winner: Our ML model and social research layer just went 14-for-16 on Nike’s Q3 call. (Kalshi, Mentions)

First Strike Research’s ML and social-sentiment system correctly called 14 of 16 Nike Q3 Kalshi contracts, reporting 208¢ net P&L.

NKE $52B

First Strike Research Apr 1

Why Lindblad's Record Year Should Terrify Its Shareholders

Lindblad's record year is the basis for a short thesis against LIND.

LIND $2.3B

Shallow Dives Apr 1

AI turned my Report into a Video

Google’s NotebookLM turned a 30-page Douglas Dynamics report into an 8-minute video, while Custom GPTs screen earnings transcripts for…

PLOW $920M

Hidden Gems Investing Apr 1

Alta Fox PBH CN Presentation

Premium Brands Holdings faces margin expansion and free-cash-flow growth as a six-year investment cycle ends, while Alta Fox says its…

PBH $2.3B

Research - Alta Fox Capital Apr 1 1 click

Hasbro Isn't a Toy Company Anymore. That's the Problem.

Hasbro’s shift beyond toys is framed as the core problem for the company.

HAS $14B

Shallow Dives Mar 31

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