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Friday, November 13, 2026

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The Spy Who Shagged The Market

Nvidia’s leadership scandal puts its AI-market role under scrutiny, with comparisons to AIG’s pre-GFC liquidity influence.

AIG $43B
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 2 clicks

From X

@aleabitoreddit

Serenity on X

It's been overwhelmingly negative recently, but here's some perspective on how supply-constrained demand from $LITE to $MU looks amid possible AI capex slowdowns. As one Korean executive on memory puts it: "Thirty people are already lined up at a restaurant that is full, and five of them leaving does not create a table." The amount of tables might expand, but supply shortages and price hikes in bottlenecks can persist through capex slowdowns or capacity buildout. From AI implications in medicine, physics, materials, robotics, cybersecurity, engineering, energy, to AI itself over the next 5-10 years... We've only reached the precipice of the next technological paradigm shift. The world is going to need a lot more compute.
@AsifSuria

Asif Suria on X

I wanted to think about it for a bit before responding and time go away from me this week. I think NBCU makes a lot of sense as an acquisition for Netflix $NFLX given its size and the optionality it provides the company. However beyond the tax part, getting this deal through antitrust will not be easy and integration will be even harder given all the moving parts to an organization of NBCU's size and Netflix's current culture as a tech company. $LION is much easier tuck-in acquisition on both those fronts.

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Qualcomm Custom ASICs?

Qualcomm’s Alphawave SerDes, CPU cores and HBC could support custom AI ASICs as hyperscalers build heterogeneous fleets beyond GPUs.

QCOM $190B
Chipstrat 2 clicks
WDC · long

Western Digital CORP

Western Digital, a hard-disk manufacturer, is pitched as a long after significant share-price moves deter investors.

WDC $116B
Value Investors Club 7 clicks

Is The Bond Market Running On Empty?

U.S. Treasury yields are testing credit and equity markets, while the discussion also targets recent changes at Glass House (GLAS).

GLAS $176M
WHAT ARE WE DOING? “Contrarians At The Gate” 1 click

Reddit: DCF Valuation

Reddit’s DCF values shares at $225, driven by international ARPU expansion from $2.2 to $8.3 by 2035 and 38% operating margins.

RDDT $19B
Hated Moats 5 clicks

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