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Wednesday, November 11, 2026

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@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

$MNRO must buy all lubricants, non-lubes and service chemicals from Valvoline and can't market competing products. This is an in-depth partnership. Could there be a price increase? Sure, prices have already gone up this year quite a bit, but it won't be the price gouging type of supply that shops with no vendor will be facing. Two main points here. $MNRO is not in danger of running out of supply and if the price does increase, it won't be to the level of competitors without this type of relationship. I had a discussion with a manager at TiresPlus that points to exactly this. Prices so far this year have increased, but he said that the pricing he is getting from vendors he doesn't have a relationship with is multiples higher and he's going to have to pull the trigger with one of them within weeks.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Nice call - 100% agree! Having an exclusive retail partnership with Valvoline may make them even more attractive to a potential buyer now. Did you listen to the CEO speak last week? He know his stuff and they are already winning market share... What also makes this interesting is that not only does a sale to Mavis (who bought Pep Boys) make sense, but so does a piecemeal sale since $MNRO has very distinctive brands in different geographical locations.
@DOMOCAPITAL

DOMO Capital Management, LLC on X

Local oil change companies using vendors like Halron which get their supply from Shell are running out of OW-20 (includes Walmart / CostCo). Huge benefit to $MNRO who sources directly from Valvoline through an exclusive retail partnership. Soon places like TiresPlus, etc will have to implement massive price hikes that will drive market share for $MNRO. Really interesting situation especially since Ichan has economic interest of 33% in the company (16% share ownership / 16% swap agreement) and recently sold the inferior Pep Boys for a valuation that would price $MNRO at $25+. Now that Pep Boys has closed - wouldn't be surprised to see $MNRO get an offer very soon especially given their prime opportunity to take advantage of coming motor oil shortage.

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