Another High-Premium, Multi-Billion-Dollar Canadian Oil Deal
Strathcona Resources will acquire Greenfire Resources for C$2.8 billion including debt, valuing the Canadian heavy-oil producer at up to a 39% premium.
Strathcona Resources will acquire Greenfire Resources for C$2.8 billion including debt, valuing the Canadian heavy-oil producer at up to a 39% premium.
$AVO $CVGW 1) Retailers $CMG, etc sourcing elsewhere given MX tariff risk. 2) Avocado price spike during last year’s peak harvest season enabled distributors to realize outsized margins. 1-time benefit has reversed, significant earnings misses ahead for these commodity businesses
@catechwilliams $NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.
$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.
The industrial logic for the $UNF and $CTAS merger captured in one picture. Both have been going to the Chipotle (or same strip center) near our office in Houston on the same days at the same time (the store was closed at the time this pic was taken).
@olvehe That’s why I use $XPEL paint protection film on all my cars 😉
@AlphaVulture Tough end of the year in merger arb land $BATL, $RVNC, $X, $ACI, $CPRI
@catechwilliams $NX Rapidly declining levered (4x) commodity biz. Q1’25 guide -12% sales, mgmt hoping for 2H’25 recovery. End-mkts deteriorating ($OC -20% Q4 guide, $JELD), customer losses, internal controls issues, integrating a large acq, 0 prior M&A experience. +30x P/E on best case 2025 #s
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