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Tuesday, November 10, 2026

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Insider activity October 2026

Asian insider buying reached $2.9 billion in October, the highest since 2018, with South Korea and Thailand leading. The report highlights Bank Rakyat Indonesia among five purchases.

BKRKY $23B
Asian Century Stocks 1 click

From X

@aleabitoreddit 1 click

Serenity on X

I’m just calling out what I see with a failure in corporate communication, when so much is at stake. I’m really not sure why SK Hynix/Samsung representing SK’s economy let narratives of memory oversupply be dominated by their own customers on X. Or why $CBRS, which lost billions in valuation after the short seller report, is waiting for an analyst question in earnings to fix the damage Or why many of the “guppies” that would face a death in the Neocloud market aren’t actively fighting back against that claim here. A lot of narratives and claims originated and were distributed via X. Even if you don’t like Elon or X, even the Democratic Party combats narratives here as seen with the ratio on the VP’s New York post I don’t see why this can’t be done with AI companies calling BS on $4 B300 price gluts.
@BrokenMoats

Broken Moats on X

$MFC the spotlight has shifted off private credit but the issues have not gone away. MFC is in my opinion one of the more overlooked violators stuffing their life insurance investments with outsized exposure to private credit and cre. Just look under the hood of their earnings tonight. "𝐖𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐮𝐥𝐢𝐟𝐞 𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐞𝐫 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐫𝐞𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐧 𝐚𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐦𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬? Alternative long-duration assets missed expected returns by $153 million post-tax, marking six straight negative quarters and $1.35 billion of cumulative shortfalls by our math. Keeping unchanged return assumptions turns recurring investment shortfalls into excluded below-the-line charges every quarter."
@aleabitoreddit 2 clicks

Serenity on X

Yes $AAOI had a massive InP substrate purchase order earlier, and I don’t believe all of that is going toward transceiver lasers that Rosenblatt modeled. I believe have the similar 60%+ GM UHP laser capabilities that $COHR $20B LTAs and $LITE $5B LTAs are primarily for. While having a MC of <$5B and we’ll see some announcements there later. As for $SIVE, it’s mainly about qualifications given they have the capacity now with foundries + 100m laser expansion plan. $MRVL + $LITE gives it an extremely clear window of opportunity as well, alongside current laser bottlenecks for qualifying players like $CRDO, Innolight, Cambridge, and hyperscalers. We’ll see what new partners they announce in earnings this month. Given both their tiny $600m, ~$4.9B MCs, I would not be surprised if their 2028 revenue exceeded their valuations.

Investor Letters

All letters

Quick Value #337 - Dana Inc (DAN)

Dana is combining with Eaton’s Mobility unit via a 1Q27 Reverse Morris Trust after selling a division, delevering and accelerating buybacks.

DAN $2.1B
Value Don't Lie 2 clicks

Seed Corn

Chiron’s failed $49 million Beaumont sale and $178 million Pinnacle acquisition leave XRN with $70 million of liquidity and medical-office…

XRN $372M
Orphan REITs 2 clicks

STRL: 80 new electricians a week

Sterling’s $4.1 billion backlog faces Texas permitting risk after a governor proposed a moratorium, while Connexion, Capital Asset Planning…

STRL $7.6B
Trade Ideas Flow 1 click

Roblox: Capture This Moment

Roblox’s Q3 FY26 DAUs fell year over year for the first time, while bookings declined 12% to $1.7 billion.

RBLX $35B
TSOH Investment Research 1 click

DoorDash and Google

DoorDash and Google.

DASH $79B
Stratechery by Ben Thompson – On the business, strategy, and impact of technology. 4 clicks

Diamond Estates: Research Note

Diamond Estates converts $4.7 million of Lassonde debentures at a 69% premium, cutting debt to $10.9 million and raising Lassonde ownership…

LSDAF $1.2B
Atrium Research - Equity Research 3 clicks
AVO · long

Mission Produce INC

Mission Produce (AVO) is pitched long as a consumer-staples investment, countering a September 2024 short case.

AVO $1B
Value Investors Club

Vicor Update, Part Four

Vicor’s Federal Circuit hearing put Foxconn’s disputed patent license under pressure, reinforcing its AI server royalty model and licensing…

VICR $6.8B
CV's Substack 3 clicks

Floor & Decor 3Q26: Business Update

Floor & Decor’s 3Q26 sales rose 3% while comparable sales fell 1.4%; it cut 2027 openings to 10-15 as high mortgage rates pressure…

FND $5B
Speedwell Memos 1 click

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