The Trade Desk (NASDAQ: TTD) Stock Rating: Upgrade To Accumulate After Q3 FY12/26 Earnings
The Trade Desk beat Q3 guidance with $736 million in revenue and $266 million EBITDA, but revenue fell 0.5% and Q4 guidance implies an 11% decline.
Monday, November 9, 2026
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catechwilliams on X
@TonyTony9999991 There is a massive shortage of capacity industrywide. AI DC vacancy rates running 2-3%. Tenants are scrambling for access to computing power. The customer loss was referenced as it would strongly signal that $WYFI won't get a new one (ie. likely performance issues at NC-1).
catechwilliams on X
The $WYFI data center which was formerly a food distribution center.
catechwilliams on X
$WYFI Retrofitted a food distro warehouse into a NC-1 DC. Lost anchor tenant ($20M rev), promising a new large customer since 10/27. CEO claiming “very very soon” for last 20 days. Increasingly evident will not happen. Sell-side & stock prices assume huge rev ramp. Burning cash.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@mil01425146 @yummyCenturyEgg @JBonfato @23Titan31 Happy to talk about $NN, Part 15, antenna science, radar science, tolling, etc., but I prefer to not be tagged on anything having to do with baked goods and personal proclivities. TYIA.
Laughing Water Capital on X
Interesting framing for $NN. $95 is pretty far above my upside case, but agree the $T / FirstNet arrangement is interesting context, despite some obvious differences.
Laughing Water Capital on X
@FishOnCapital IMHO best to view this in context of the pod w/ the banker from the 600 MHz. To paraphrase, all of the likely buyers wanted the 600, but AT&T won b/c they were able to move fastest. I suspect $VZ, $TMUS & others will be ready to move fast for $NN's 900.
@CapitalVoss Voss Capital on X
Here is a link to our Q3 2025 letter to Partners. Theme: Escaping value purgatory. $FIVN $XPOF $EEFT $PRKS $CLBT $FLYW @jonrice80 @taylor_hndrson @Scott_K_Rodgers @AggieCapitalist
catechwilliams on X
$PTRN Recent IPO. $AMZN Mktplace wholesaler. Buys products up front, capital intensive, bears price, inventory risk. Exposed to FBA cost & AMZN algo changes. Claims AI optimization which AMZN explicitly blocks. Razor thin margins, neg op leverage. All peers went BK in last 3yrs.
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.6B
- Forager Funds Management October 2026 OFX $70MPLT $95M
- FCL Capital October 2026 INTR $1.8BRSGN $881M
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.8BVIMGF $2.3B
- Horizon Kinetics 3rd Quarter 2026 LB $5.1B
- NS Partners third quarter 2026 LZRFY $6B
- Invesco — Small Cap Value Fund Q3 2026 ITGR $4.3BKNCRF $7.6B
- Arisaig Partners September 2026 CHA $2.4BJBFCY $2.8B
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