Saturday, November 7, 2026

Post Q3 EVC Update

EVC's Q3 update cites $30 million for a single station, a broadcast-business sale and stronger positioning for 2027.

EVC $832M

Nat Stewart - Stock Picking Newsletter 18h ago 23 clicks

22h ago LOECF $726M

Oil & Gas M&A Boom Continues with Another Billion-Dollar Oil Buyout

Bison Insights 3 clicks

22h ago EVC $832M

Entravision Q3 Update

The Value Road 4 clicks

From X

@stockgutter Oct 31

SG on X

So you got an LLM to spin out a fancy DCF model for you, or maybe you hacked one together in Excel. How do you account for changes in outstanding shares? Most use a linear assumption. That might work for a company that throws off steady FCF, has limited SBC, and consistently buys back shares. For these, share count often shrinks predictably. But for money losing companies, its usually just a poorly reasoned throw-shit-at-the-wall guess. That's a problem. Dilution is the greatest threat to these names, and Wall Street's DCF models never give it serious contemplation. Example: show me an analyst who modeled in 2024 that $SPCE would 7x its outstanding share count. There are none.

@John_Hempton Oct 31 1 click

John_Hempton on X

Some things deserve a blog post because they are so silly. This one is on Arbor Realty ($ABR). Most the credit on this name should go to @viceroyresearch and @Gabe_Bernarde. https://t.co/vDkCqKMEIC

@BarbarianCap Oct 30

Barbarian Capital on X

"higher sales and recent cost-savings efforts weren’t able to fully offset steeper-than-expected inflation." $NWL Newell Brands Swings to Loss Despite Higher Sales https://t.co/WPRdY3lzz3

@StableBread Oct 30

Fajasy on X

Id say the cash has to cover building v5 too, not just getting it to work. Hurst told the Portland Business Journal in August that RoboFab is making fewer than 100 a year and should reach triple digits in 2027. The S-4 also admits they don't have the capacity, staff or equipment for high volume yet. free $CCXI writeup: https://t.co/DsEJ2d9TkU

@StableBread Oct 30 1 click

Fajasy on X

@Teo_Sinamin And $ELMT isn't betting on Vietnam alone. It holds 23.7M shares of $EQR.AX, which runs Mt. Carbine in Australia and Barruecopardo in Spain, and takes 70% of the JV restarting the Springer APT plant in Nevada, 4,000 tonnes a year in phase one.

@StableBread Oct 30 1 click

Fajasy on X

That $465M is more than the $395.8M of gross equity Agility raised in its whole history through 2025. And it'll need it, the S-4 says all $300M of v5 orders are RaaS, so Agility carries every one of those robots on its own balance sheet. free $CCXI writeup: https://t.co/DsEJ2d9TkU

@cfrischer1 Oct 30 1 click

Charles Frischer on X

$OMER The company just issued 500k shares to the CEO. The grants are four 125k tranches. They vest at $25, $30, $35 and $40 over the next five years. I love seeing this type of incentive structure and wish more companies did it this way. At $40, shares have to be up 120%.

@cfrischer1 Oct 30 1 click

Charles Frischer on X

$OMER I don't think any CEO would accept this type of compensation structure unless they had extremely strong conviction of hitting these targets. I think the CEO knows he will likely hit them based upon the information the company already has about Yartemlia sales. https://t.co/O6Z2Nc1wmx

(Idea) Transocean - Near-Term Results Obscure A Brighter Future

Transocean’s 25.6% selloff reflects oil-market shorting and weak Q3 headlines, while debt reduction after the Valaris acquisition could…

RIG $5.8B

HFI Research 7h ago 1 click

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR): Q3 2026 Earnings

Alpha Metallurgical posted a third consecutive quarterly loss as High Vol A coal margins fell to $14 a ton, while director Kenneth Courtis…

AMR $1.9BHCC $4.3B

Cannibal Stocks 17h ago 1 click

A clear solution to the “problem”

Shift4’s Q3 met guidance, but organic growth is decelerating, management credibility is weakening and leverage reduction remains too slow.

FOUR $3.4B

Best Anchor Stocks 17h ago 1 click

GREAT DEC-TECTIVE WORK

Diversified Energy reported $255.6 million of “true” nine-month free cash flow, while its $1.8 billion Birch acquisition would shift…

DEC $900M

The Oak Bloke 17h ago 2 clicks

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

NNN $8.1BVICR $6.8B

The Undercovered Dozen 19h ago 1 click

TransMedics Group Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026

TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.

TMDX $3.1B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 34h ago 5 clicks

JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly

JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.

FROG $9.4B

The Technology Letter 36h ago 2 clicks

Wolfspeed: Still Bullish After A Post-Earnings Wipeout

WOLF $1.2B

Vince Martin 38h ago 6 clicks

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

TWST $8B

Hunterbrook 44h ago 4 clicks

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

VSH $3.6B

Cestrian Capital Research 45h ago 3 clicks

AAP · long

Advance Auto Parts INC

Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.

AAP $2.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 8 1 click

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

LEA $5.6BAN $6.1B

Latticework by MOI Global 46h ago 5 clicks

Array Technologies And Shoals Merger Creates Upside Potential

Array Technologies and Shoals Technologies plan to merge, targeting cross-selling and cost synergies as ARRY's order book holds firm and…

ARRY $715MSHLS $1.5B

Caffital Research 46h ago 3 clicks

The Buyback Shows Up (ESRT Q3 2026)

Empire State Realty Trust repurchased $85.8 million of shares at $4.56 each, using 1359 Broadway sale proceeds to fund buybacks and debt…

ESRT $1.3B

Orphan REITs Nov 4 6 clicks

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…

HCC $4.3BBTU $2.1B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 4 3 clicks

AMSC, Datadog will be fine, SiTime is worth a look

AMSC and Datadog will be fine, while SiTime is worth a closer look.

AMSC $1.3B

The Technology Letter Nov 4 5 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

MDA $4.2B

Aurelion Research Nov 4 4 clicks

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

CURB $3.6B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 4 4 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

ZG $7.8B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

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Saturday, November 7, 2026

SG on X

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Barbarian Capital on X

Fajasy on X

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Fajasy on X

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Charles Frischer on X

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