Saturday, November 7, 2026

(Idea) Transocean - Near-Term Results Obscure A Brighter Future

Transocean’s 25.6% selloff reflects oil-market shorting and weak Q3 headlines, while debt reduction after the Valaris acquisition could reduce volatility and strengthen earnings.

RIG $5.8B

HFI Research 9h ago 2 clicks

19h ago HCC $4.3B

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR): Q3 2026 Earnings

Cannibal Stocks 1 click

19h ago FOUR $3.4B

A clear solution to the “problem”

Best Anchor Stocks 1 click

From X

@BrokenMoats Oct 15 3 clicks

Broken Moats on X

Have to at least acknowledge rate reversal and move into low quality and retail/software today...... But oil/diesel/soft commodities/transportation all staying bid, find this more positioning over extended om rates then durable change (especially with the data and the still unresolved issues causing the inflation) AI sold off I think is what is driving both moves in rates (more out needs a home) and retail/rate sensitive/software were the funding shorts (see sectors and components today) ......but geez at these prices an easier trade I think is to fade software/retail then guess next stop on AI and funding.....the are correlated (for now) anyways. Go through the sectors and components and sort by % gain today almost stacked ranked from worst business (biggest intraday gain) to quality at the bottom.....tells you whats going on. Some might say low quality always leads on a reversal.....this is not a start this is after a stealth sharp move higher for $ARHS $ETSY $EBAY $KSS $SHAK $WMT $CBRL $APPN $DOCU $IT $FRSH $BSP etc.

@ACapitalLP Oct 15

A Capital on X

Trump is “jawboning” a peace deal. Cut Ukraine’s Starlink access, unfreeze Russian corporate assets, and suddenly everyone has an incentive to come to the table. A peace agreement would be a double catalyst for $KYIV: removal of the war discount and acceleration of underlying growth…

@ACapitalLP Oct 15 1 click

A Capital on X

$VSAT < $60 👀

@junkbondinvest Oct 15

junkbondinvestor on X

GTCR and Elliott are buying $CCC at ~5.3x fwd revenue and ~12.5x EBITDA. This is a uppier-tier vertical SaaS w/ ~42% EBITDA margins, ~98% gross retention, and network effects If the best assets are clearing at 5-6x, think about what that means for software lenders on everything else.

@valuedontlie Oct 15 3 clicks

Colin King on X

September 2026 write-ups: 1) $THRM RMT transaction (sort of a spin) 2) $CTVA $VYLR spin-off 3) Guide to M&A situations 4) $DECK beaten down (busted GARP) 5) $RAVE transitioning from turnaround to growth story https://t.co/fKWlrWNy4S

@irbezek Oct 15 3 clicks

Ian Bezek on X

If you're wondering why half of FinTwit is going nuts while everyone else is chilling, it's because some of the momo stuff is down 30% this week. $AAOI https://t.co/2s7dBv2qgq

@DeepSailCapital Oct 15 3 clicks

Deep Sail Capital on X

I’d throw out $JOBY, it’s still a legit company and leader in the EVTOL space with real catalyst ahead with Dubai commercial service is targeted for the end of 2026

@valuedontlie Oct 15

Colin King on X

@junkbondinvest CSWC spun off control stake in what is now $CSW Solid operators in an otherwise tough space

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

NNN $8.1BVICR $6.8B

The Undercovered Dozen 21h ago 1 click

TransMedics Group Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026

TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.

TMDX $3.1B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets 37h ago 5 clicks

JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly

JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.

FROG $9.4B

The Technology Letter 38h ago 2 clicks

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

TWST $8B

Hunterbrook 47h ago 4 clicks

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

VSH $3.6B

Cestrian Capital Research 47h ago 3 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

LEA $5.6BAN $6.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Nov 5 5 clicks

Hercules Capital: Earnings Lower, But Credit Holds, Still A Buy

HTGC $3.2B

Rubicon Associates Nov 5

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…

HCC $4.3BBTU $2.1B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 4 3 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

MDA $4.2B

Aurelion Research Nov 4 4 clicks

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

CURB $3.6B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 4 4 clicks

AAP · long

Advance Auto Parts INC

Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.

AAP $2.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 8 1 click

Amdocs: The T-Mobile Shock Changes Everything (Rating Downgrade)

DOX $4.5B

Motti Sapir Nov 4 2 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

ZG $7.8B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

What AI Bubble? AXT Reports Record Q3 Revenue And Positive Forward Outlook (Rating Downgrade)

AXT reported record Q3 revenue as AI data-center demand for indium phosphide drives supply agreements and capacity expansion.

AXTI $3.1B

Alan Sumler Nov 4 1 click

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $5.8BVAL $5.5B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Why Essential Properties Realty Trust Keeps Winning

Essential Properties Realty Trust is growing faster than Realty Income through acquisition opportunities while trading at a cheaper…

EPRT $5.9B

Jussi Askola, CFA Nov 3

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3…

CLMT $3.8B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 4 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 4 clicks

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Saturday, November 7, 2026

Broken Moats on X

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junkbondinvestor on X

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