Friday, November 6, 2026

(Idea) Transocean - Near-Term Results Obscure A Brighter Future

Transocean’s 25.6% selloff reflects oil-market shorting and weak Q3 headlines, while debt reduction after the Valaris acquisition could reduce volatility and strengthen earnings.

RIG $5.8B

HFI Research 25h ago 2 clicks

35h ago HCC $4.3B

Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR): Q3 2026 Earnings

Cannibal Stocks 2 clicks

35h ago FOUR $3.4B

A clear solution to the “problem”

Best Anchor Stocks 1 click

From X

@catechwilliams May 22 1 click

catechwilliams on X

$PLUS Accelerating decline: Networking -37% (largest category), Product sales -18%, zero margin/ low quality Professional services now 15% of sales. Cut FY2026 top and bottom-line guide by 7% w further cuts almost certain to come. Trading at 14x 2026 guidance vs peers at 6-8x.

@catechwilliams May 9 2 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$ACA Levered roll-up (4x levered) hodgepodge of low-quality cap intensive commodity businesses w struggling end-markets (sub-scale aggregates, building products, ag). Negative organic growth w unrealistic guidance. Forced to sell an asset to avoid covenant breach. 30x P/E

@HedgeyeRetail Apr 3

Brian McGough on X

Seriously considering going dark on $RH from a coverage perspective -- so I can buy it in my PA. The risk/reward here is unlike anything I've seen...

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

BTW, his stock trades for 10x, posts an ROE of 17% while running with excess capital, and is part of a banking oligopoly in Puerto Rico. $OFG

@gatorcapital Mar 6

Derek Pilecki on X

At the RBC FIG Conference this week, a bank CEO referred to himself as "below average". His stock has compounded above 20% since 2017. I know he was being self-deprecating and trying to make the point that his employees were "above average", but it was still shocking to hear. A lot of CEOs with much worse stock performance think very highly of themselves. $OFG

@catechwilliams Feb 28 3 clicks

catechwilliams on X

$FTDR Vol declining (existing home sales=driver). Pricing lagging inflation, massively over-earning. Problematic given 25% churn w aggressive new entrants. Dubious company overall. Investor day yesterday was comical, compared themselves to $NFLX. Earnings misses coming.

@catechwilliams Feb 11

catechwilliams on X

$NX Outlandishly guiding to flat 2025 sales, customers and channel -DD. Commodity window and door components facing pricing pressure from larger customers ($JELD, $OC). Now levered 4x, trading at a premium to higher value-add building products peers. Guide cut inevitable.

@catechwilliams Feb 5

catechwilliams on X

$J Beat earnings yesterday. Holding back detailed guidance for Investor Day (2/18)—likely raise ’25 #s, 4-year financial targets w significant upside on margins ($ACM and other peers +15% EBITDA margins). Record backlog and multi-year growth runway.

Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More

Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.

NNN $8.1BVICR $6.8B

The Undercovered Dozen 37h ago 1 click

TransMedics Group Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026

TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.

TMDX $3.1B

SixSigmaCapital: Navigating the Financial Markets Nov 5 5 clicks

JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly

JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.

FROG $9.4B

The Technology Letter Nov 5 2 clicks

Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)

Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…

TWST $8B

Hunterbrook Nov 5 4 clicks

VSH Earnings Review

Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…

VSH $3.6B

Cestrian Capital Research Nov 5 3 clicks

This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness

AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…

LEA $5.6BAN $6.1B

Latticework by MOI Global Nov 5 5 clicks

Hercules Capital: Earnings Lower, But Credit Holds, Still A Buy

HTGC $3.2B

Rubicon Associates Nov 5

Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings

Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…

HCC $4.3BBTU $2.1B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 4 3 clicks

New Ideas From The Road

Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…

MDA $4.2B

Aurelion Research Nov 4 4 clicks

Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)

Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…

CURB $3.6B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 4 5 clicks

AAP · long

Advance Auto Parts INC

Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.

AAP $2.9B

Value Investors Club Aug 8 1 click

Amdocs: The T-Mobile Shock Changes Everything (Rating Downgrade)

DOX $4.5B

Motti Sapir Nov 4 2 clicks

Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management

David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…

ZG $7.8B

Raging Capital Nov 4 5 clicks

What AI Bubble? AXT Reports Record Q3 Revenue And Positive Forward Outlook (Rating Downgrade)

AXT reported record Q3 revenue as AI data-center demand for indium phosphide drives supply agreements and capacity expansion.

AXTI $3.1B

Alan Sumler Nov 4 1 click

Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.

Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…

STVN $3.6B

Best Anchor Stocks Nov 3 3 clicks

Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings

Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…

RIG $5.8BVAL $5.5B

Cannibal Stocks Nov 3 2 clicks

Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)

BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…

BXDC $2.1B

Real Assets, Real Value Nov 3 5 clicks

Why Essential Properties Realty Trust Keeps Winning

Essential Properties Realty Trust is growing faster than Realty Income through acquisition opportunities while trading at a cheaper…

EPRT $5.9B

Jussi Askola, CFA Nov 3

Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook

Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3…

CLMT $3.8B

Treasure Hunting Nov 1 4 clicks

When the liquidity does not add up

Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…

ABR $2.2B

John Hempton's Newsletter Oct 31 4 clicks

Publications we follow

Every publication on this site, hand-picked.

129 publications

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 74 of 278

Nominate a publication

X accounts we follow

Every account on this site, hand-picked.

91 accounts

Nominate an account

Investor letters we follow

359 firms

Sectors

Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.

Friday, November 6, 2026

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Brian McGough on X

Derek Pilecki on X

Derek Pilecki on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

catechwilliams on X

Investor Letters

Publications we follow

Newsletters 109

YouTube 4

Blogs 15

Seeking Alpha 74 of 278

X accounts we follow

Investor letters we follow

Sectors