(Idea) Transocean - Near-Term Results Obscure A Brighter Future
Transocean’s 25.6% selloff reflects oil-market shorting and weak Q3 headlines, while debt reduction after the Valaris acquisition could reduce volatility and strengthen earnings.
Friday, November 6, 2026
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mavix on X
Shelly Group $SLYG H1 '26 results: ▫️Revenues +26.5% ▫️EBIT +45.6% ▫️EBIT margin of 26% (vs. 22.6%) ▫️Net result +51.4% ▫️OCF +260.6% ▫️FCF +354.3% ▫️Cash +133.1% ▫️DSO of 147 days (-21) ✅ Guidance confirmed https://t.co/do39CfwTEk
Lee Roach on X
The CEO of $HOG bought $250k of shares in the open market yesterday and you morons are selling it off today? https://t.co/gjtDirn6Hp
ToffCap on X
$MRX Q2: +39% revenue growth, 17% PAT margin (cont ops), 37% ROE, ~$2 EPS growing 100%+, mgt guiding further strong growth... Still 8.5x annualised PE https://t.co/ihSaFMMBLO
ToffCap on X
Solid results from Marex $MRX yet again. Strong beat + in the portfolio. That means the stock will probably close 20% down today https://t.co/8EYa8jlUHZ
JabroniCoin.USD on X
Bernstein China Semicap & WFE update: $101 bn in ‘28 > WFE ramp drives reacceleration of local WFE vendors > logic underestimated > memory revised up: CXMT, YM & JHICC easier to ramp clean rooms > local vendors take share from global vendors > ‘27-28 numbers go up $ACMR https://t.co/8qZFoulEau
SG on X
Market doesn't care for $PAGS earnings. I thought they were fine. Still long and may add. https://t.co/00u7Uy3BOO
Ian Bezek on X
@shortbus_ace @akeemcap @QuietProsperity $CAAP is 6x EV/EBITDA and no Mexico. But half of EBITDA is from Argentina, so that's its own can of worms (albeit the Argy fees are charged at a fixed USD rate not Peso)
Investor Letters
All letters- Spheria — Global Smaller Companies Fund month ended 31 October 2026 SFM $4.8B
- Protean Funds October 2026 AAK $4.7BVIMGF $2.2B
- Invesco — Discovery Fund Q3 2026 MOD $5.2BSMTC $8.5B
- Akre Capital Management, LLC Third Quarter 2026 TOI $6.2B
- Allspring Global Investments Q3 2026 3406 $2.9B
- Pendelhaven Asset Management B.V. Q3 2026 ALM $2.5BJXN $8.8B
- Chautauqua Capital Management Q3 2026 TMNSF $6.8B
- Night Watch Investment Management Q3 2026 AZLGF $3.3BIMCDY $6.7B
Undercovered Dozen: NNN REIT, Weyerhaeuser, Vicor, And More
Vicor earns a Strong Buy after record Q3 results and AI gains, while QXO falls to Hold over capital structure and execution risk.
The Undercovered Dozen 1 click
TransMedics Group Inc Earnings Update: Q3 2026
TransMedics reported record Q3 2026 revenue exceeding $200 million, driven by its organ transplant technology business.
JFrog soars, Innodata’s robotics, Quantum duopoly
JFrog jumped 35% to $100.44 after another beat-and-raise quarter, joining the TL20 Special Situations group.
Problems at Twist Bioscience (TWST)
Twist Bioscience’s $200 rebound followed an Anthropic-linked short squeeze, yet its DNA and protein services face broad competition while…
VSH Earnings Review
Vishay reported record Q3 revenue of $979 million, up 24%, and guided Q4 to about $990 million as rising backlog and margins contrast with…
This Week in Special Situations: Lear, AutoNation, NexPoint, AudioCodes, Xponential Fitness
AutoNation, Lear, NexPoint, AudioCodes and Xponential Fitness lead a 52-situation screen spanning buybacks, insider purchases, M&A and…
Hercules Capital: Earnings Lower, But Credit Holds, Still A Buy
Rubicon Associates 
Warrior (HCC): Q3 2026 Earnings
Warrior Met Coal’s Blue Creek mine cut costs to about $93 a ton, offsetting a wider discount for High Vol A coking coal as US supply…
New Ideas From The Road
Aurelion Research increased healthcare exposure and sees opportunities in banking and defense, alongside research on Alcoa, Nike, ONON and…
Site Centers (NYSE:SITC)
Site Centers' $3 per-share return-of-capital distribution and December delisting leave a discounted liquidation stub, with two properties…
AAP · long Advance Auto Parts INC
Advance Auto Parts, AAP, is presented as a long idea following prior write-ups at $48.81 per share in January 2025.
Amdocs: The T-Mobile Shock Changes Everything (Rating Downgrade)
Motti Sapir 2 clicks
Hedge Fund Manager David Orr Shares His Approach to Investing & Risk Management
David Orr describes running Militia Capital’s roughly 500-stock long-short portfolio, using expected value, correlation and factor…
What AI Bubble? AXT Reports Record Q3 Revenue And Positive Forward Outlook (Rating Downgrade)
AXT reported record Q3 revenue as AI data-center demand for indium phosphide drives supply agreements and capacity expansion.
Alan Sumler 1 click
Stevanato down 30%. Yikes.
Stevanato fell 30% after forecasting low-single-digit 2027 growth as lower Nexa syringe volumes from a GLP-1 customer offset solid Q3…
Transocean (RIG): Q3 2026 Earnings
Transocean enters its Valaris merger with 109 of 110 available deepwater rigs contracted and 313 million shares sold short, despite weaker…
Blackstone Digital Infrastructure Trust (NYSE: BXDC)
BXDC trades at a 14% discount to net liquidation value, with $1.9 billion of cash against a $1.6 billion market cap, ahead of data-center…
Why Essential Properties Realty Trust Keeps Winning
Essential Properties Realty Trust is growing faster than Realty Income through acquisition opportunities while trading at a cheaper…
Jussi Askola, CFA 
Portfolio Update: October 2026 + Q3 Earnings outlook
Calumet and other refiners sold off alongside AI names, but the RIN thesis for renewable fuel earnings remains unchanged ahead of Q3…
When the liquidity does not add up
Arbor Realty Trust’s dividend suspension is presented as creating $60 million of liquidity, raising questions about its ability to meet…
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Ordered by how often our editor reaches for them.
